?
The Demand Dynamics Forecasting for Perishable Products
Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems. 2023. Vol. 596. P. 277–287.
Pankratova Y., Trofimova I., Firyago U., Kocherov I.
In this paper, models for forecasting the dynamics of demand for products with a short expiration date are constructed. Here we propose to construct models for time series forecasting using the decomposition method and taking into account the assumptions of experts about the influence of certain factors on the behavior of product consumers. These models were implemented and tested on real data, and the obtained forecast were evaluated. The decomposition method and Holt-Winters method were used, and comparative analysis of these models was carried out, and a forecast are made
Смирнов С. В., Миллионщиков Д. В., Уфимский математический журнал 2021 Т. 13 № 2 С. 44–73
В данной работе изучаются характеристические алгебры для систем экспоненциального типа, соответствующих вырожденным матрицам Картана. Эти системы обобщают хорошо известные в теории интегрируемых систем гиперболические уравнения синус-Гордон и Цицейки. Для таких систем, соответствующих матрицам Картана ранга 2, характеристические алгебры описаны явно в терминах образующих и соотношений, и доказано, что они имеют линейный рост. Исследуется связь между ...
Added: September 11, 2026
Смирнов С. В., Glasgow Mathematical Journal 2026 Vol. 68 No. 2 P. 299–316
In the second half of the 19th century Darboux obtained determinant formulae that provide the general solution for a linear hyperbolic second order PDE with finite Laplace series. These formulae played an important role in his study of the theory of surfaces and, in particular, in the theory of conjugate nets. During the last three ...
Added: September 11, 2026
Смирнов С. В., Journal of Physics A: Mathematical and Theoretical 2023 Vol. 56 No. 26 Article 265204
There are different methods of discretizing integrable systems. We consider semi-discrete analog of two-dimensional Toda lattices associated to the Cartan matrices of simple Lie algebras that was proposed by Habibullin in 2011. This discretization is based on the notion of Darboux integrability. Generalized Toda lattices are known to be Darboux integrable in the continuous case ...
Added: September 11, 2026
Enatskaya N., Труды Карельского научного центра РАН. Серия 10: Математическое моделирование и информационные технологии 2026 № 6 С. 132–138
In schemes S for placing r particles in n distinguishable cells, their placement in selected m cells – schemes S∗ is studied, for which the analysis is carried out by a new enumerative method (EM) in extended areas of enumerative combinatorics: finding the number of outcomes and, based on the construction of a model of ...
Added: September 11, 2026
Enatskaya N., Труды Карельского научного центра РАН. Серия 10: Математическое моделирование и информационные технологии 2026 № 6 С. 139–147
The class of particle cell arrangements under consideration is characterized by the introduction of an upper limit on the filling levels of the cells, which must be achieved in at least one cell of each outcome of each arrangement. The circuits are distinguished by the paired qualities of their constituent elements (cells and particles) according ...
Added: September 11, 2026
Podinovskiy V. V., Нелюбин А. П., Автоматика и телемеханика 2026 № 8 С. 110–123
Для многокритериальных задач принятия решений по аналогии с качественной вероятностью введены понятия полной и частичной качественной важности как бинарных отношений, обладающих постулируемыми
свойствами. Предложено новое определение отношения нестрогого предпочтения на множестве вариантов решений, порождаемое качественной
важностью. Исследованы его свойства. Указаны аналитические правила,
позволяющие попарно сравнивать варианты по предпочтительности. Проведено сравнение новых отношений предпочтения с разработанными ранее для задач, ...
Added: September 9, 2026
Podinovskiy V. V., Нелюбин А. П., Автоматика и телемеханика 2026 № 7 С. 113–126
Рассматриваются задачи принятия решений, когда предпочтения оцениваются в порядковой шкале, а возможности реализации значений
неопределенного фактора описываются качественной вероятностью (полной или только частичной). Вводятся определения отношений предпочтения и безразличий на множестве стратегий. Предлагаются простые
решающие правила, позволяющие сравнивать стратегии по предпочтительности, и приводятся иллюстративные примеры. ...
Added: September 9, 2026
Chemical Papers 2026
Benzenoid hydrocarbons are structurally regular aromatic compounds, which makes them well suited for quantitative structure–property relationship (QSPR) studies. This study presents a QSPR analysis of nineteen benzenoid hydrocarbon species using degree-based topological co-indices. We developed a Python program to compute eleven degree-based topological co-indices from molecular graphs and evaluated their ability to explain variations in ...
Added: September 8, 2026
Glutsyuk A., / Series arXiv "math". 2026.
B.Josephson (Nobel Prize, 1973) predicted a tunnelling effect for a system of two superconductors separated by a narrow dielectric (such a system is called Josephson junction): existence of a supercurrent through it and equations governing it. The overdamped Josephson junction is modeled by the family of differential equations on the 2-torus, dθdτ=1ω(cosθ+B+Acosτ), which is known as ...
Added: September 8, 2026
Glutsyuk A., / Series arXiv "math". 2026.
A planar dual billiard is a planar curve γ equipped with a family (σP)|P∈γ of projective involutions of the projective lines LP tangent to γ at P that fix P. A dual billiard is called rationally integrable, if there exists a rational function R(x,y) of two variables (called first integral) whose restriction to each tangent ...
Added: September 8, 2026
Alexandrov A., Glutsyuk A., Journal of Differential Equations 2026 Vol. 465 Article 114178
The overdamped Josephson junction in superconductivity theory can be modeled by the family of dynamical systems on the torus, which is known as the RSJ model. This family admits an equivalent description by a family of second-order differential equations: special double confluent Heun equations. In the present paper, we construct two new families of dynamical systems on ...
Added: September 8, 2026
Glutsyuk A., Inventiones Mathematicae 2026 Vol. 245 P. 977–1058
A caustic of a strictly convex planar bounded billiard is a smooth curve whose tangent lines are reflected from the billiard boundary to its tangent lines. The famous Birkhoff Conjecture, studied by many mathematicians, states that if the billiard boundary has an inner neighborhood foliated by closed caustics, then it is an ellipse. In the paper we study ...
Added: September 8, 2026
Prikhodko Artem, Kubrak D., Compositio Mathematica 2026 Vol. 162 No. 6 P. 1377–1438
In this follow-up paper we show that smooth Hodge-proper stacks over O𝐾 are ℚ𝑝-locally acyclic: namely the natural map between étale ℚ𝑝-cohomology of the algebraic and Raynaud generic fibers is an equivalence. This establishes the ℚ𝑝-case of general conjectures made in D. Kubrak and A. Prikhodko [p-adic Hodge theory for Artin stacks, Mem. Amer. Math. ...
Added: September 7, 2026
Ismailov A., Constructive Approximation 2026
The measure of the positivity set {x ∈ [0; 2π] | f (x) > 0} of a trigonometric polynomial f is bounded from below by the Motzkin density.
We generalize the bound to polynomials in several variables and almost periodic functions.
We then use these generalizations to extend known results on Taikov’s problem. ...
Added: September 7, 2026
Kelbert M., Statistics 2026 Vol. 60
We present variational representations for the weighted divergencies
and exponential error function, and discuss implications for the
statistical inference and entropic optimal transport. ...
Added: September 7, 2026
Kucheryavyy P., Математические заметки 2026 Т. 2026 № 120 С. 380–401
В работе изучаются перестановки, возникающие при упорядочивании по возрастанию дробных долей произведений элементов фиксированной целочисленной последовательности на вещественный параметр. Исследуется количество различных перестановок, которые можно получить таким образом при изменении этого параметра от нуля до единицы. ...
Added: September 7, 2026
Осипов Д.В., Математический сборник 2026 Т. 217 № 9 С. 130–146
Изучаются законы взаимности, связанные с комплексными линейными расслоениями на расслоениях на ориентируемые окружности. В частности, доказывается следующий закон взаимности. Пусть B – комплексное многообразие и πi:Mi→B – расслоение на ориентируемые окружности, где индекс i пробегает конечное множество. Пусть Li и Ni – комплексные линейные расслоения на каждом многообразии Mi. Закон взаимности утверждает, что сумма всех элементов (πi)∗(c1(Li)∪c1(Ni)), где (πi)∗ – ...
Added: September 3, 2026
Temirkhanov A., Костромина А. М., Цымбой О. А. et al., Доклады Российской академии наук. Математика, информатика, процессы управления (ранее - Доклады Академии Наук. Математика) 2025 Т. 527 № S С. 485–494
The industry is rich in cases when we are required to make forecasting for large amounts of time series at once. However, we might be in a situation where we can not afford to train a separate model for each of them. Such issue in time series modeling remains without due attention. The remedy for ...
Added: February 24, 2026
Manevich V., Ignatov D. I., Applied Soft Computing Journal 2025
This paper studies the forecasting of time series of exchange assets values and realized volatility. We take their most prominent representatives from cryptocurrencies (3 assets) and the largest participants of the S\&P500, divided into 12 sets by sectors (86 assets). The paper compares a large number (above 200000) of the state-of-the-art models starting from classical ...
Added: September 19, 2024
Bufalo M., Orlando G., Tourism Review 2024 Vol. 79 No. 2 P. 445–464
This study aims to predict overnight stays in Italy at tourist accommodation facilities through a nonlinear, single factor, stochastic model called CIR#. The contribution of this study is twofold: in terms of forecast accuracy and in terms of parsimony (both from the perspective of the data and the complexity of the modeling), especially when a ...
Added: February 16, 2024
Sizykh N., Orshanskaya E., Sizykh D., , in: 2022 15th International Conference Management of large-scale system development (MLSD).: M.: IEEE, 2022. P. 1–6.
The paper presents the research results of the predictive ability of stock quote forecasting models using the ARIMA/LSTM hybrid model. This study is based on a predictive power analysis using a sample of 30 companies from three sectors: energy, finance, and technology. ...
Added: November 14, 2022
Danilov K., Maltseva S. V., , in: 2021 IEEE 23rd Conference on Business Informatics.: IEEE, 2021.
Added: June 13, 2022
Danilov K., Барахнин В. Б., , in: INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INFORMATION SYSTEMS 2021 SPECIAL INTEREST GROUP ON BIG DATA PROCEEDINGS.: [б.и.], 2022.
Big data is the foundation of modern energy management systems. There are two energy consumption models where systems are one of the consumers with intelligent equipment: static and dynamic. The dynamic model uses a two-tariff closed-loop accounting scheme, which implies changes in tariffs based on the analysis of current consumption. The results of an experimental ...
Added: June 13, 2022
Moiseev N., Sorokin A., Zvezdina N. et al., Mathematics 2021 No. 9(19) Article 2423
The research paper is devoted to developing a mathematical approach for dealing with time-varying parameters in rolling window logit models for credit risk assessment. Forecasting coefficients yields a better model accuracy than a trivial approach of using computed past statistics parameters for the next time period. In this paper, a new method of dealing with ...
Added: October 1, 2021