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July 9, 2026
HSE Economists Use Search Queries to Forecast Birth Rates
Researchers from the HSE Faculty of Economic Sciences have shown that the accuracy of birth rate forecasts for Russia can be improved by almost 50% by incorporating the dynamics of online search queries related to pregnancy and childbirth into forecasting models. In the best-performing models, the forecasting error fell from 4.6% to 3.2%. The findings have been published in Populations and Economics.
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HSE University and the Russia Renewable Energy Development Association (RREDA) have signed a partnership and information cooperation agreement to support Renewable Energy of the Planet—2026, a national competition with international participation for students and early-career researchers. Applications are open on the competition's website until September 20, 2026.

 

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Особенности применения рыночных стимулов в российских корпорациях с государственным участием

Журнал институциональных исследований. 2023. Т. 15. № 1. С. 89–99.
Agamirova M.

The article discusses the possible negative effects of the implementation of the market motivation methods in the public sector and management systems of state corporations. In particular, we focus on the introduction of performance assessments of civil servants which are based on a number of quantitative indicators. There is a belief that high-powered incentives can make this relationship closer. However, such incentives can lead to the negative contract externalities which had been analyzed for the past few decades in the framework of the contract theory. Applying such motivation practices is not always successful even in the business environment; we assume that such practices are not suitable for the public sector. It is also worth mentioning that the performance indicators, the choice of which is left to officials, have only one positive feature - observability, and thus have a weak connection with the final result of the evaluated process.

Research target: Economics and Management
Language: Russian
Full text
DOI
Keywords: государственные корпорацииpublic sectorгосударственный секторключевые показатели эффективностиmoral hazard моральный рискkey performance indicatorsстимулирующие контрактыstate corporationsincentive contracts
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