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Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies
Under the general editorship: Meissner, Dirk, Gokhberg, Leonid, Sokolov, Alexander
The book gives practical guidance for policy makers, analysts and researchers on how to make the most of the potential of Foresight studies. Based on the concept of evidence-based policy-making, Foresight studies are common practice in many countries and are commonly understood as a supportive tool in designing future-oriented strategies. The book outlines approaches and experiences of integrating such Foresight studies in the making and implementation of science, technology and innovation (STI) policies at different national levels. It delivers insights into practical approaches of developing STI policy measures oriented towards future societal and technological challenges based on evidence drawn from comparable policy measures worldwide. Authors from leading academic institutions, international organizations and national governments provide a sound theoretical foundation and framework as well as checklists and guidelines for leveraging the potential impact of STI policies.
Chapters
Sokolova A., Makarova E. A., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 11–30.
With the growing importance of Foresight in strategic decision-making, there is parallel growth in interest in ways in which we might evaluate Foresight activities and outputs, and thus learn how to improve their effectiveness. But general principles for such evaluation have not yet been formulated. The purpose of this chapter is to identify the basic ...
Added: June 3, 2013
Meissner D., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 31–41.
This paper presents evidence suggesting that countries that continuously conduct Foresight studies, and that integrate the results systematically in policy making and the development of supporting measures and programs, perform clearly better in the national innovative performance than other countries. In retrospect, the Foresight studies are also generally considered as something positive in most countries, ...
Added: June 4, 2013
Meissner D., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 43–62.
Foresight is a powerful tool that is frequently applied in response to major challenges facing science, technology, and innovation policy. With the use of Foresight studies, policy makers give a clear indication to the science, technology, and innovation community that policy making is considering a bottom-up approach rather than a purely top-down one. Foresight exercises ...
Added: June 4, 2013
Saritas O., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. Ch. 6 P. 83–117.
Based on the ideas of systems thinking, the Systemic Foresight Methodology (SFM) proposes a framework for designing and implementing Foresight activities. This framework recognises the complexities that emerge due to multifaceted interplays between the Social, Technological, Economic, Ecological, Political and Value (STEEPV) systems. To conducting Foresight systemically, we need to undertake a set of ‘systemic’ ...
Added: June 4, 2013
Karasev O., Razheva (Edelkina) A., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 121–136.
Nanotechnology applications are proliferating, though the number commercialised is far outstripped by those under development. This chapter presents an approach to identifying the most promising nanoindustry product groups, the technological breakthroughs associated with these, and prospects for emergence of nanotechnology markets. In the Russian context, it suggested that significant niches in these nanotechnology markets can ...
Added: June 4, 2013
Karasev O., Vishnevskiy K., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 137–159.
Integrated roadmaps can be effective instruments for forecasting and planning in the sphere of emerging technologies, as long as certain requirements are fulfilled. These requirements include: (1) the creation of a group of experts who can provide the necessary level of expertise concerning key issues related to the development of the subject area; (2) accumulation ...
Added: June 4, 2013
, in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 183–198.
Foresight has become important in Russia, including identification of National S&T priorities and Critical technologies, and three cycles of the National S&T Foresight being performed during the last decade to guide development of S&T and innovation policies. The chapter shows that Foresight in Russia has evolved from being just one on information source for S&T ...
Added: June 4, 2013
Meissner D., Roud V., Cervantes M., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 247–255.
Governments believe in the effectiveness of public funding to support innovation support, in part, because of the positive conclusions of impact analyses of such programs. Industry typically claims that it would not have innovated (or innovated so rapidly) without the motivation of continued public support. Given that public support for innovation is available in all ...
Added: June 4, 2013
Gokhberg L., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 257–288.
This chapter introduces a systemic model which combines indicators for science, technology and innovation (STI) policy with Foresight approaches. The aim is to build a bridge between the existing information and knowledge base and the potentials for extending this into the longer term which are offered by Foresight studies. STI involve dynamic phenomena which are ...
Added: June 4, 2013
Gokhberg L., Sokolov A., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 289–292.
The scope for Foresight studies to contribute to S&T strategy development, at different levels of governance, is growing. But little is known about the actual implementation of the results of Foresight studies, even though these aim to improve innovation capacities and national innovation systems. The design and initiation phase of Foresight studies include the setting ...
Added: June 4, 2013
Meissner D., Gokhberg L., Sokolov A., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 1–7.
Science, technology and innovation (STI) policies are topics that has been much written about in the last decades. However until today no common understanding has been articulated on what these policy fields are and how they are correlated in daily practice of policy making. The book thus pursuits a completely new approach, which goes much ...
Added: July 12, 2013
Saritas. O., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. Ch. 6 P. 83–117.
Based on the ideas of systems thinking, the Systemic Foresight Methodology (SFM) proposes a framework for designing and implementing Foresight activities. This framework recognises the complexities that emerge due to multifaceted interplays between the Social, Technological, Economic, Ecological, Political and Value (STEEPV) systems. To conducting Foresight systemically, we need to undertake a set of ‘systemic’ ...
Added: January 17, 2014
Miles I., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 63–81.
Foresight is often addressed to topics that are in essence complex service systems. Thus, attention to service research can enhance more than just our understanding of Foresight practice. Analysis of features of service systems can provide useful inputs – at least general background, and sometimes absolutely critical elements – for understanding social and organisational dimensions ...
Added: January 17, 2014
Potanin B., Statistics and Computing 2026 Vol. 36 Article 200
We propose double machine learning (DML) estimators for a partially linear model (PLM) with endogenous treatments and multivariate sample selection. We prove asymptotic normality of the estimators under mild regularity conditions and study finite sample properties on simulated data. The results demonstrate the importance of addressing sample selection in PLMs and the usefulness of the ...
Added: August 8, 2026
Papushina I. O., Shenkman E., Социологические исследования 2026 № 7 С. 31–43
The external shocks of 2022 have altered the operating environment for Russian
companies and the demand for skilled workers. This study examines how demand has responded for
different categories of professionals in the fashion industry, where the departure of international brands
has simultaneously increased uncertainty and opened up market niches for Russian manufacturers.
The empirical basis of the research ...
Added: August 7, 2026
Gaete Sepulveda M. A., Dymarskaya O. Y., Chesnokov-Posadsky I. et al., М.: Грифон, 2026.
Recognizing the transformative potential of social entrepreneurship, the Reputation Management in Education Laboratory (RepLab) at the Higher School of Economics in St. Petersburg and the ACT Lab at the Azman Hashim International Business School (AHIBS) at the University of Technology Malaysia (UTM) established the Satellite Lab for Social Entrepreneurship in 2023. This joint initiative aimed ...
Added: August 5, 2026
Gaete Sepulveda M. A., Rozhdestvenskaia N., Кулькова В. Ю. et al., М.: Грифон, 2026.
This workbook is a practical guide for those who are ready to turn their desire to take action into a sustainable social entrepreneurship business model. The social entrepreneurship roadmap is structured around the steps “I’m changing the world” — “I’m developing a comprehensive approach,” guiding you from identifying problems and analyzing stakeholders, through formulating goals ...
Added: August 5, 2026
Пермь: Управление издательской деятельности Пермского государственного национального исследовательского университета, 2025.
The monograph is dedicated to the 70th anniversary of the founding of the Department of Socio Economic Geography at Perm State National Research University. The collective monograph covers a wide range of issues related to the geographical study of the territorial organization of society, which were laid down in the numerous works of M. D. Sharygin and have ...
Added: August 3, 2026
Lysenok N., Enterprise Development and Microfinance 2026 Vol. 36 No. 4s P. 81–92
This paper decomposes the performance of volatility-informed multi-strategy trading in constituents of the MOEX index, using six systematic strategies on 17 liquid stocks that account for about 80% of Russian equity market capitalization, evaluated walk-forward over 2022–2025. Two results emerge. First, diversification arithmetic: with an average pairwise return correlation of 0.09 and negatively correlated trend ...
Added: August 2, 2026
Maghsoohi A., Pavlov V., Rouse P. et al., Health Care Management Science 2026 Vol. 29 No. 37
As the numbers of older people (65 +) rise globally, the pressure on acute hospitals to provide efficient and effective care while addressing resource inequities increases. In this study we introduce Recognising Episodes of Acute Complexity in Health (REACH), a novel Automatic Machine Learning (AutoML)-based predictive model that prioritises older patients and assigns them to complex ...
Added: July 30, 2026
Федеральное государственное бюджетное учреждение науки Институт Европы Российской академии наук, 2026.
This edited volume examines the place of the European Union in the global economy during the first quarter of the twenty-first century against the backdrop of an emerging global economic order in which BRICS countries are playing an increasingly important role. Particular attention is paid to the evolution of the EU’s integration strategy – its ...
Added: July 30, 2026
Lola I. S., Семенова М. Т., Усов Н. А., ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
Центр конъюнктурных исследований Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний НИУ ВШЭ представляет информационно-аналитический материал «Деловой климат в оптовой торговле во II квартале 2026 г.», подготовленный в рамках Программы фундаментальных исследований НИУ ВШЭ на основе ежеквартальных конъюнктурных опросов руководителей 6,5 тыс. организаций оптовой торговли, проводимых Федеральной службой государственной статистики в 82 субъектах Российской Федерации. Обследования проводятся на ...
Added: July 29, 2026
Lola I. S., Ostapkovich G. V., Asoskov D. et al., ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
Для расчета индекса экономического настроения (ИЭН ВШЭ) использовались результаты обследований деловой активности российских предприятий и организаций, а также потребительских ожиданий, в мониторинговом режиме проводимых Росстатом. В обследованиях принимают участие 17,5 тыс. руководителей организаций различных секторов экономики (около 6 тыс. крупных и средних предприятий добывающей и обрабатывающей промышленности, 6,2 тыс. строительных фирм, 3,4 тыс. организаций розничной торговли, около ...
Added: July 29, 2026
Lodiagin B., Petrov V., International Journal of Innovative Research and Scientific Studies 2026 Vol. 9 No. 7 P. 127–141
This study compares seven Russian regional airport public-private partnership projects to examine how governance arrangements relate to implementation performance and adaptation under uncertainty. The analysis draws on public documents, project-participant materials, industry reports, and business media available by May 2026. A qualitative multiple-case design combines thematic analysis with cross-case synthesis. The cases range from comparatively ...
Added: July 27, 2026
Pashkov S., Социологический журнал 2026 Т. 32 № 2 С. 32–44
This article discusses the methodological possibilities and specific features of constructing chain indices based on longitudinal sociological data. The relevance of the study stems from the shortage of diverse socio-economic indicators for promptly tracking fluctuations in the expectations and intentions of small business owners under heightened uncertainty. The authors show that the chain index methodology ...
Added: July 27, 2026
Slabolitskiy I. S., Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики 2026 Т. 30 № 2 С. 215–244
This paper proposes a new approach for modeling and forecasting key indicators of Russia's foreign economic activity based on a block-based architecture of a Bayesian Vector Autoregression model with exogenous variables (BVARX). In conditions of high external uncertainty and the absence of publicly available data on the physical volumes of foreign trade since 2022, the ...
Added: July 24, 2026
Лобоцкий М. Ю., Komarov M. M., Zaramenskikh E., Бизнес-информатика 2026 Т. 20 № 2 С. 7–21
By early 2026, AI agents ceased to be experimental tools and began to be considered as a form of business process automation. Based on the analysis of in-depth interviews, an expert session, a quantitative survey of Russian companies, and sources reflecting Russian and foreign experience in the deployment of AI agents, a fivelevel maturity model ...
Added: July 24, 2026
Zhuravleva T., Afanasev K., Engelmann J. et al., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Extortionary ("harassment") bribery can persist even when widely condemned, consistent with a coordination problem sustained by beliefs about what others do and what others consider acceptable. We study whether a minimal institutional featurethe presence of a third-party monitor empowered to punish-shifts (i) normative expectations about extortion and compliance and (ii) empirical expectations about their prevalence. ...
Added: July 22, 2026
Veselitskaya N., Malekova D. K., European Journal of Futures Research 2026 Vol. 14 P. 1–13
Foresight methods are often treated as transferable tools whose selection depends mainly on the object of analysis, the time horizon or the available data. This article argues that such a view is incomplete because foresight methods are embedded in governance settings and perform different institutional functions across them. The article does not claim that the ...
Added: July 22, 2026
Лалетин С. В., Кучина О. В., Shekova E. et al., СПб.: Академия русского балета им. А.Я. Вагановой, 2026.
Сборник статей посвящен актуальным проблемам управления творческими коллективами, финансированию государственных балетных театров, особенностям современных проектов и бизнес-планированию в сфере хореографического искусства. ...
Added: July 21, 2026
Tyurkin M., Azamat A., Cham: Springer, 2025.
This chapter explores the role of tokenization in blockchain technologies. Tokenization is a key enabler of the smart circular economy and organizational sustainability. Tokenization involves converting assets or value into digital tokens on a blockchain. This process offers new opportunities to enhance resource efficiency, transparency, and accountability within circular economy initiatives. By leveraging blockchain’s immutable ...
Added: July 20, 2026
Lola I. S., Asoskov D., Зинина Т. С., ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
Центр конъюнктурных исследований Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний НИУ ВШЭ представляет результаты ежегодного специализированного конъюнктурного мониторинга деловой активности ИТ-отрасли, проведенного в 2025 году. Выборка – около 700 организаций ИТ-отрасли (виды экономической деятельности 62, 63 согласно ОКВЭД2) из 30 субъектов Российской Федерации.
Программа обследования запущена с 2010 г. и основана на международном опыте измерения деловых тенденций ...
Added: July 20, 2026
Заболотнева П. А., Шаркова А. В., Новоселова И. Ю. et al., М.: Издательско-торговая корпорация «Дашков и Ко», 2025.
This monograph presents the author's research findings on improving the effectiveness of entrepreneurial activity. The relevance of the monograph's topic stems from the practical demand for applied research in the field of entrepreneurship development among Russian enterprises operating in the face of new challenges.
The monograph is intended for a wide range of readers, including representatives ...
Added: July 20, 2026
Abankina I., Зиньковский К. В., Креативные индустрии 2025 Т. 1 № 1 С. 53–66
The article presents an analysis of the demand for higher education in various fields of study in the context of public policy, the study is based on data from the HSE research “Monitoring of reception quality” for 2018–2024. The article proves that higher education in the creative industries sector directly depends on the income level ...
Added: July 20, 2026
Mishin A., Guerrieri L., Kim J., / Series 2026-042 "Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS)". 2026.
Within narrowly defined industries, the most productive firms produce far more than the least productive from the same inputs, and this dispersion widens in downturns. We build a tractable representative-agent model in which financial frictions—adverse selection and moral hazard—make firms sort endogenously into lenders, strategic defaulters, and producers. As credit conditions vary, the resulting misallocation ...
Added: June 28, 2026
Власов С. А., Nevalennyi M., Сафиулин Р. Р. et al., / Банк России. Серия Аналитическая записка "Материалы Банка России". 2026.
В аналитической записке обсуждается долгосрочно устойчивый уровень цены на российскую нефть. Это тот уровень, к которому цена нефти, вероятнее всего, будет тяготеть в долгосрочной перспективе. Потребность в его определении возникает по нескольким причинам. Во-первых, цена на нефть остается одним из ключевых экономических показателей российской экономики, определяющих экспорт, обменный курс рубля, прибыль, доходы и расходы бюджета, ...
Added: June 27, 2026
Глазова А. М., Nevalennyi M., Синяков А. А., / Банк России. Серия Препринты Банка России "Серия докладов об экономических исследованиях". 2025. № 154.
The paper proposes a graphical model of a small open economy. The dynamics of the graphical model is then illustrated using impulse responses from the corresponding formal semi-structural model (QPM model). The authors have several goals in preparing this description of the graphical macroeconomic model. The first goal of the paper is to present an adapted ...
Added: June 27, 2026