Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies

Dordrecht , L. , Heidelberg , NY : Springer, 2013.

Under the general editorship: Meissner, Dirk, Gokhberg, Leonid, Sokolov, Alexander

The book gives practical guidance for policy makers, analysts and researchers on how to make the most of the potential of Foresight studies. Based on the concept of evidence-based policy-making, Foresight studies are common practice in many countries and are commonly understood as a supportive tool in designing future-oriented strategies. The book outlines approaches and experiences of integrating such Foresight studies in the making and implementation of science, technology and innovation (STI) policies at different national levels. It delivers insights into practical approaches of developing STI policy measures oriented towards future societal and technological challenges based on evidence drawn from comparable policy measures worldwide. Authors from leading academic institutions, international organizations and national governments provide a sound theoretical foundation and framework as well as checklists and guidelines for leveraging the potential impact of STI policies.​

Chapters

Integrated Framework for Evaluation of National Foresight Studies

Sokolova A., Makarova E. A., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 11–30.

With the growing importance of Foresight in strategic decision-making, there is parallel growth in interest in ways in which we might evaluate Foresight activities and outputs, and thus learn how to improve their effectiveness. But general principles for such evaluation have not yet been formulated. The purpose of this chapter is to identify the basic ...

Added: June 3, 2013

Results and Impact of National Foresight-Studies

Meissner D., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 31–41.

This paper presents evidence suggesting that countries that continuously conduct Foresight studies, and that integrate the results systematically in policy making and the development of supporting measures and programs, perform clearly better in the national innovative performance than other countries. In retrospect, the Foresight studies are also generally considered as something positive in most countries, ...

Added: June 4, 2013

Instruments to measure Foresight

Meissner D., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 43–62.

Foresight is a powerful tool that is frequently applied in response to major challenges facing science, technology, and innovation policy. With the use of Foresight studies, policy makers give a clear indication to the science, technology, and innovation community that policy making is considering a bottom-up approach rather than a purely top-down one. Foresight exercises ...

Added: June 4, 2013

Systemic Foresight Methodology

Saritas O., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. Ch. 6 P. 83–117.

Based on the ideas of systems thinking, the Systemic Foresight Methodology (SFM) proposes a framework for designing and implementing Foresight activities. This framework recognises the complexities that emerge due to multifaceted interplays between the Social, Technological, Economic, Ecological, Political and Value (STEEPV) systems. To conducting Foresight systemically, we need to undertake a set of ‘systemic’ ...

Added: June 4, 2013

Sectoral Foresight Studies: Future Perspectives of Nanotechnologies

Karasev O., Razheva (Edelkina) A., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 121–136.

Nanotechnology applications are proliferating, though the number commercialised is far outstripped by those under development. This chapter presents an approach to identifying the most promising nanoindustry product groups, the technological breakthroughs associated with these, and prospects for emergence of nanotechnology markets. In the Russian context, it suggested that significant niches in these nanotechnology markets can ...

Added: June 4, 2013

A Toolkit for Integrated Roadmaps: Employing Nanotechnologies in Water and Wastewater Treatment

Karasev O., Vishnevskiy K., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 137–159.

Integrated roadmaps can be effective instruments for forecasting and planning in the sphere of emerging technologies, as long as certain requirements are fulfilled. These requirements include: (1) the creation of a group of experts who can provide the necessary level of expertise concerning key issues related to the development of the subject area; (2) accumulation ...

Added: June 4, 2013

Foresight in Russia: Implications for Policy Making

, in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 183–198.

Foresight has become important in Russia, including identification of National S&T priorities and Critical technologies, and three cycles of the National S&T Foresight being performed during the last decade to guide development of S&T and innovation policies. The chapter shows that Foresight in Russia has evolved from being just one on information source for S&T ...

Added: June 4, 2013

Innovation Policy or Policy for Innovation? – In Search of the Optimal Solution for Policy Approach and Organisation

Meissner D., Roud V., Cervantes M., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 247–255.

Governments believe in the effectiveness of public funding to support innovation support, in part, because of the positive conclusions of impact analyses of such programs. Industry typically claims that it would not have innovated (or innovated so rapidly) without the motivation of continued public support. Given that public support for innovation is available in all ...

Added: June 4, 2013

Indicators for Science, Technology and Innovation on the Crossroad to Foresight

Gokhberg L., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 257–288.

This chapter introduces a systemic model which combines indicators for science, technology and innovation (STI) policy with Foresight approaches. The aim is to build a bridge between the existing information and knowledge base and the potentials for extending this into the longer term which are offered by Foresight studies. STI involve dynamic phenomena which are ...

Added: June 4, 2013

Targeting STI Policy Interventions – Future Challenges for Foresight

Gokhberg L., Sokolov A., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 289–292.

The scope for Foresight studies to contribute to S&T strategy development, at different levels of governance, is growing. But little is known about the actual implementation of the results of Foresight studies, even though these aim to improve innovation capacities and national innovation systems. The design and initiation phase of Foresight studies include the setting ...

Added: June 4, 2013

The Meaning of Foresight for Science Technology and Innovation Policy

Meissner D., Gokhberg L., Sokolov A., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 1–7.

Science, technology and innovation (STI) policies are topics that has been much written about in the last decades. However until today no common understanding has been articulated on what these policy fields are and how they are correlated in daily practice of policy making. The book thus pursuits a completely new approach, which goes much ...

Added: July 12, 2013

Systemic Foresight Methodology

Saritas. O., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. Ch. 6 P. 83–117.

Based on the ideas of systems thinking, the Systemic Foresight Methodology (SFM) proposes a framework for designing and implementing Foresight activities. This framework recognises the complexities that emerge due to multifaceted interplays between the Social, Technological, Economic, Ecological, Political and Value (STEEPV) systems. To conducting Foresight systemically, we need to undertake a set of ‘systemic’ ...

Added: January 17, 2014

Interactive Impacts – Foresight as a Product, Service and Coproduction Process

Miles I., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 63–81.

Foresight is often addressed to topics that are in essence complex service systems. Thus, attention to service research can enhance more than just our understanding of Foresight practice. Analysis of features of service systems can provide useful inputs – at least general background, and sometimes absolutely critical elements – for understanding social and organisational dimensions ...

Added: January 17, 2014

Keywords: инновационная политика, научно-техническая политика, форсайт-исследования, science, technology and innovation policy, STI policy, стратегическое планирование, Foresight Studies, Policy Future Thinking