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Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies
Under the general editorship: Meissner, Dirk, Gokhberg, Leonid, Sokolov, Alexander
The book gives practical guidance for policy makers, analysts and researchers on how to make the most of the potential of Foresight studies. Based on the concept of evidence-based policy-making, Foresight studies are common practice in many countries and are commonly understood as a supportive tool in designing future-oriented strategies. The book outlines approaches and experiences of integrating such Foresight studies in the making and implementation of science, technology and innovation (STI) policies at different national levels. It delivers insights into practical approaches of developing STI policy measures oriented towards future societal and technological challenges based on evidence drawn from comparable policy measures worldwide. Authors from leading academic institutions, international organizations and national governments provide a sound theoretical foundation and framework as well as checklists and guidelines for leveraging the potential impact of STI policies.
Chapters
Sokolova A., Makarova E. A., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 11–30.
With the growing importance of Foresight in strategic decision-making, there is parallel growth in interest in ways in which we might evaluate Foresight activities and outputs, and thus learn how to improve their effectiveness. But general principles for such evaluation have not yet been formulated. The purpose of this chapter is to identify the basic ...
Added: June 3, 2013
Meissner D., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 31–41.
This paper presents evidence suggesting that countries that continuously conduct Foresight studies, and that integrate the results systematically in policy making and the development of supporting measures and programs, perform clearly better in the national innovative performance than other countries. In retrospect, the Foresight studies are also generally considered as something positive in most countries, ...
Added: June 4, 2013
Meissner D., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 43–62.
Foresight is a powerful tool that is frequently applied in response to major challenges facing science, technology, and innovation policy. With the use of Foresight studies, policy makers give a clear indication to the science, technology, and innovation community that policy making is considering a bottom-up approach rather than a purely top-down one. Foresight exercises ...
Added: June 4, 2013
Saritas O., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. Ch. 6 P. 83–117.
Based on the ideas of systems thinking, the Systemic Foresight Methodology (SFM) proposes a framework for designing and implementing Foresight activities. This framework recognises the complexities that emerge due to multifaceted interplays between the Social, Technological, Economic, Ecological, Political and Value (STEEPV) systems. To conducting Foresight systemically, we need to undertake a set of ‘systemic’ ...
Added: June 4, 2013
Karasev O., Razheva (Edelkina) A., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 121–136.
Nanotechnology applications are proliferating, though the number commercialised is far outstripped by those under development. This chapter presents an approach to identifying the most promising nanoindustry product groups, the technological breakthroughs associated with these, and prospects for emergence of nanotechnology markets. In the Russian context, it suggested that significant niches in these nanotechnology markets can ...
Added: June 4, 2013
Karasev O., Vishnevskiy K., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 137–159.
Integrated roadmaps can be effective instruments for forecasting and planning in the sphere of emerging technologies, as long as certain requirements are fulfilled. These requirements include: (1) the creation of a group of experts who can provide the necessary level of expertise concerning key issues related to the development of the subject area; (2) accumulation ...
Added: June 4, 2013
, in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 183–198.
Foresight has become important in Russia, including identification of National S&T priorities and Critical technologies, and three cycles of the National S&T Foresight being performed during the last decade to guide development of S&T and innovation policies. The chapter shows that Foresight in Russia has evolved from being just one on information source for S&T ...
Added: June 4, 2013
Meissner D., Roud V., Cervantes M., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 247–255.
Governments believe in the effectiveness of public funding to support innovation support, in part, because of the positive conclusions of impact analyses of such programs. Industry typically claims that it would not have innovated (or innovated so rapidly) without the motivation of continued public support. Given that public support for innovation is available in all ...
Added: June 4, 2013
Gokhberg L., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 257–288.
This chapter introduces a systemic model which combines indicators for science, technology and innovation (STI) policy with Foresight approaches. The aim is to build a bridge between the existing information and knowledge base and the potentials for extending this into the longer term which are offered by Foresight studies. STI involve dynamic phenomena which are ...
Added: June 4, 2013
Gokhberg L., Sokolov A., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 289–292.
The scope for Foresight studies to contribute to S&T strategy development, at different levels of governance, is growing. But little is known about the actual implementation of the results of Foresight studies, even though these aim to improve innovation capacities and national innovation systems. The design and initiation phase of Foresight studies include the setting ...
Added: June 4, 2013
Meissner D., Gokhberg L., Sokolov A., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 1–7.
Science, technology and innovation (STI) policies are topics that has been much written about in the last decades. However until today no common understanding has been articulated on what these policy fields are and how they are correlated in daily practice of policy making. The book thus pursuits a completely new approach, which goes much ...
Added: July 12, 2013
Saritas. O., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. Ch. 6 P. 83–117.
Based on the ideas of systems thinking, the Systemic Foresight Methodology (SFM) proposes a framework for designing and implementing Foresight activities. This framework recognises the complexities that emerge due to multifaceted interplays between the Social, Technological, Economic, Ecological, Political and Value (STEEPV) systems. To conducting Foresight systemically, we need to undertake a set of ‘systemic’ ...
Added: January 17, 2014
Miles I., , in: Science, Technology and Innovation Policy for the Future — Potentials and Limits of Foresight Studies.: Dordrecht, L., Heidelberg, NY: Springer, 2013. P. 63–81.
Foresight is often addressed to topics that are in essence complex service systems. Thus, attention to service research can enhance more than just our understanding of Foresight practice. Analysis of features of service systems can provide useful inputs – at least general background, and sometimes absolutely critical elements – for understanding social and organisational dimensions ...
Added: January 17, 2014
Grebnev L., Вопросы философии 2026 № 7 С. 5–15
In the coming millennium, the transformation of our world has become a matter
of global concern. The first attempts to move in this direction were unsuccessful.
The globalization of economic activity is being replaced by the formation of relatively
autonomous macroregions. But it would be a mistake to assume on this
basis that joint dominion over the entire planet ...
Added: July 11, 2026
Родичев А. И., Zinyakov Y., Вестник Московского университета. Серия 6: Экономика 2026 Т. 61 № 2 С. 340–357
This paper analyzes discrepancies between direct and mirror data in Russia's foreign trade statistics over the period of 2003-2024. Special attention is given to assessing the impact of sanction policies on the level of statistical discrepancies, which reflect trade costs, manipulations in customs and tax reporting, as well as structural changes in logistics and the ...
Added: July 10, 2026
Kuzminov Y., Kruchinskaia E., Вопросы экономики 2026 № 7 С. 5–23
The year 2026 marks the 250th anniversary of Adam Smith’s “An inquiry into the nature and causes of the wealth of nations”, the work that had laid the foundations of economic science. The three factors of production Smith implicitly introduced — labor, land, and capital — no longer operate in their pure form: the digital ...
Added: July 9, 2026
Sizova A., Барнаул: Алтайский государственный педагогический университет, 2026.
В сборник включены научные статьи, посвященные различным аспектам социально-экономической и культурной истории Сибири в контексте внутренней и внешней политики России. Сборник посвящен 70-летию со дня рождения известного ученого, педагога, просветителя и общественного деятеля, доктора исторических наук, профессора Александра Владимировича Старцева (1956–2019).
Сборник предназначен для специалистов в области отечественного исторического сибиреведения, а также всех, кто интересуется историей ...
Added: July 8, 2026
Besstremyannaya G., Кузнецова Ю., Прикладная эконометрика 2026 Т. 82 С. 26–46
This paper studies the technical efficiency of Russian retail companies in 2019 to 2023 using stochastic frontier analysis (SFA) with the Battese and Coelli (1995) model. A translogarithmic production function is employed for estimations. The dependent variable is company revenue, and the production factors are the average number of employees, fixed assets, and assets less ...
Added: July 8, 2026
Dormidontova Y., Central European Business Review 2026 Vol. 15 No. 2 P. 69–90
This study examines the individual factors of artificial intelligence (AI) implementation by small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) owners, based on a survey of 499 respondents in Russia. Drawing on Innovation Diffusion Theory, the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM), and stakeholder-oriented sustainability approach, the analysis shows that SME owners who already use AI for private purposes are ...
Added: July 7, 2026
Kozlov N., Semenova M., Journal of Corporate Finance Research 2026 Vol. 20 No. 2 P. 108–135
This paper introduces a novel approach to identifying and operationalizing political connections of banks. We manually code 2,598 bankers who owned or worked in 115 Russian banks between 2015 and 2021 to classify political connections and uncover their institutional patterns through cluster analysis. We propose a set of variables that capture the origins, relevance, and ...
Added: July 6, 2026
Grebnev L., Вопросы философии 2025 № 6 С. 105–116
The relevance of the topic is related to the fact that after the complete abandonment of real values in the 1970s of the main means of international settlements - the US dollar – there is a growing feeling that money increasingly represents an illusory reality. The article begins with an analysis of the illusions associated ...
Added: July 6, 2026
Volkova N., Кочетков Н. В., Чикер В. А., Психологическая наука и образование 2026 Т. 31 № 3 С. 35–49
Context and relevance. Artificial intelligence is a technology with the potential to fundamentally transform all spheres of human life. Its rapid integration into everyday reality intensifies research dedicated to the psychology of using neural networks. However, the development of empirical research in the Russian scientific field is limited by the lack of validated psychodiagnostic tools that ...
Added: July 5, 2026
Alekseeva O., Nazarova V., AlterEconomics (ранее - Журнал экономической теории) 2026 Т. 23 № 2 С. 329–354
IPO underpricing remains one of the most persistent anomalies in capital markets and is particularly pronounced in emerging markets, where information asymmetry and valuation uncertainty are especially high. This article examines the relationship between board gender composition and the level of IPO underpricing among Chinese companies. The study aims to assess whether a higher share ...
Added: July 4, 2026
Ershova N. V., Журнал институциональных исследований 2026 Т. 18 № 2 С. 82–97
This article, based on a survey data from 1,860 Russian manufacturing enterprises, analyzes the
scale of enterprise participation in science-industry collaboration (SIC), defines the characteristics of
enterprises that are more actively involved in SIC, and identifies regional institutional factors that
contribute to increased enterprise participation in SIC using correlation analysis. It is shown that
Russian manufacturing firms are very ...
Added: July 3, 2026
Podrugina A., Романова В. А., Пространственная экономика 2026 Т. 22 № 2 С. 56–85
Исследование посвящено анализу институциональных усилий развивающихся стран по дедолларизации и укреплению роли национальных валют. На основе систематизации теоретических подходов к интернационализации валют авторы разрабатывают новый аналитический инструмент – Индекс институционального развития финансового рынка в национальных валютах. Методология индекса охватывает четыре ключевых направления политики: использование валюты в международных расчетах, создание валютных своп-линий между центральными банками, развитие ...
Added: July 3, 2026
Anikeev K., AlterEconomics (ранее - Журнал экономической теории) 2026 Т. 23 № 2 С. 410–428
This study empirically tests the deposit channel hypothesis, which holds that increases in deposit markups cause liquidity outflows from the banking sector and a contraction in credit supply. The central question is whether deposit substitution effects, whereby depositors shift funds to other financial instruments during monetary tightening, are reflected in banks’ balance sheets and aggregate ...
Added: July 2, 2026
Kuzminov Y., Koshel A., Kruchinskaia E. et al., BRICS Law Journal 2026 Vol. 13 No. 2 P. 5–36
Today’s economy is undergoing a fundamental institutional shift in which digital ecosystems have emerged not only as a key driver of development but also as a critical condition for market access for billions of users. Despite the rapid global proliferation of these phenomena, the evolution of legal regulation—from e-commerce and data protection to antitrust oversight ...
Added: July 2, 2026
Kuzminov Y., Kruchinskaia E., Россия в глобальной политике 2026 Т. 24 № 4 С. 92–109
В статье анализируется структурный разрыв между увеличивающейся когнитивной нагрузкой и снижающейся отдачей от неё. Подход, при котором развитие научных и образовательных школ, ориентированных на тренировку суждения, может стать альтернативой количественному наращиванию вычислительных мощностей, которое служит основной стратегией Китая и США. Применительно к России традиция фундаментального образования и сильных исследовательских школ приобретает в новых условиях значение ...
Added: July 1, 2026
Saakyan T. V., Барабанова Ю. В., Финансовый журнал 2026 Т. 18 № 3 С. 110–121
In this article the authors aim to determine the place and role of methodological guidelines within the system regulating internal state financial control. The research holds both theoretical and applied significance, as a scholarly interpretation of this issue has not been previously undertaken and its examination will enable the full potential of the studied methodological ...
Added: July 1, 2026
Федорова В. С., Zavertiaeva M. A., Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики 2026 Т. 30 № 2 С. 276–312
Crowdfunding is a relatively new method of project financing that involves raising funds from a large number of non-professional investors. Despite the rapid growth of this sector, only about 41.98% of crowdfunding campaigns are successful, which highlights the need to identify factors that increase the likelihood of successful fundraising. This study aims to address the ...
Added: July 1, 2026
Mishin A., Guerrieri L., Kim J., / Series 2026-042 "Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS)". 2026.
Within narrowly defined industries, the most productive firms produce far more than the least productive from the same inputs, and this dispersion widens in downturns. We build a tractable representative-agent model in which financial frictions—adverse selection and moral hazard—make firms sort endogenously into lenders, strategic defaulters, and producers. As credit conditions vary, the resulting misallocation ...
Added: June 28, 2026
Власов С. А., Nevalennyi M., Сафиулин Р. Р. et al., / Банк России. Серия Аналитическая записка "Материалы Банка России". 2026.
В аналитической записке обсуждается долгосрочно устойчивый уровень цены на российскую нефть. Это тот уровень, к которому цена нефти, вероятнее всего, будет тяготеть в долгосрочной перспективе. Потребность в его определении возникает по нескольким причинам. Во-первых, цена на нефть остается одним из ключевых экономических показателей российской экономики, определяющих экспорт, обменный курс рубля, прибыль, доходы и расходы бюджета, ...
Added: June 27, 2026
Глазова А. М., Nevalennyi M., Синяков А. А., / Банк России. Серия Препринты Банка России "Серия докладов об экономических исследованиях". 2025. № 154.
The paper proposes a graphical model of a small open economy. The dynamics of the graphical model is then illustrated using impulse responses from the corresponding formal semi-structural model (QPM model). The authors have several goals in preparing this description of the graphical macroeconomic model. The first goal of the paper is to present an adapted ...
Added: June 27, 2026
Mishin A., Guerrieri L., Canzoneri M. et al., / Series 2026-042 "Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS)". 2026.
Added: June 27, 2026
Brambila F., Gribkova D. E., Проблемы Дальнего Востока 2026 № 3 С. 123–139
Contemporary studies on Japanese science and technology (S&T) policy often focus on the limitations of various government initiatives in addressing the nation's developmental stagnation, overlooking distinctive institutional and policy features of its public-private sector symbiosis. This deprives policymakers of critical insights into demand-side governance mechanisms, including policy instruments and coordination frameworks. This research article provides ...
Added: June 22, 2026
Bogatyrev R., Sandomirskaia M., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series EC "Economics". 2026. No. 19(1).
This work develops a tractable model of price competition in fragmented markets where consumers consider both local and distant varieties, with cross-regional purchases subject to stochastic costs. Global competition and full localization emerge as polar cases; hybrid competition is not merely intermediate and exhibits distinctive features such as an endogenous price ceiling and non-monotonic entry ...
Added: June 11, 2026
Fonotov A., Kosychev A., Управление наукой: теория и практика 2026 Т. 8 № 1 С. 12–31
The study compares the national artificial intelligence (AI) strategies of the United States, China and Russia, assessing their substantive completeness and governance logics. It employs a hybrid framework that combines governance approaches (anticipatory, reflexive, experimentalist and tentative) with a content analysis of the structures of the strategies. The results show that the United States relies ...
Added: June 4, 2026