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Моделирование оценки рыночного риска рынков европейских стран в период финансового кризиса 2008 года
Прикладная эконометрика. 2012. № 3. С. 20–35.
Щерба А. В.
The work is dedicated to VaR models, estimated on the equities quotes of the six European countries. The time series cover three economic periods - pre crisis, crisis and post crisis, where the crisis period is the financial crunch of the 2008 year. The volatility estimation is based on the four APARCH(1,1) models and six distribution functions. The results of the investigation show the connection of the model with country's economic development and its financial condition at the different periods of time.
Language:
Russian
Nikulina Y., Jamali Jaghdani T., Götz L. et al., / Series "Working Papers". 2026.
The impact of state subsidies on Russia's post-Soviet dairy output remains controversial; this study provides an empirical analysis of that relationship. Using an unbalanced panel dataset of 123 dairy enterprises in the Leningrad Region spanning the period from 2010 to 2023, we employ stochastic frontier analysis to assess these relationships. The results indicate that subsidies ...
Added: September 30, 2026
Kapeliushnikov R., / Высшая школа экономики. Серия WP3 "Проблемы рынка труда". 2026. № WP3/2026/02.
The paper is the first attempt in the Russian literature to assess returns to platform employment in the Russian labor market. The theory offers no clear predictions regarding its impact on workers’ earnings: there might be both a premium and a penalty. We distinguish three groups of workers: employees; self-employed using internet-platforms; self-employed not using ...
Added: September 28, 2026
Levashev V., / Series arXiv "math". 2026. No. 2609.06010.
We prove that continuous A-bilinear pairings on the ring of Laurent series that are invariant under continuous automorphisms coincide, up to a constant, with the pairing given by the residue of a differential form over any commutative associative ring with identity. ...
Added: September 24, 2026
Pyatov P. N., Pivovarov P. A., / Series math "arxiv.org". 2026. No. 2609.06274.
We investigate a special ansats that allows for an iterative solution of the constant Yang-Baxter equation. Testing this ansatz, we construct four sequences of the constant R-matrices. In each sequence the R-matrices act on the tensor squares of vector spaces of linearly growing dimensions. Each R-matrix also depends on a single complex parameter.
By analyzing the ...
Added: September 24, 2026
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Medvedev V., / Series arXiv "math". 2026.
We study complete static manifolds with boundary admitting a nowhere-vanishing static potential. Our main result shows that, under a natural lower bound relating the scalar curvature and the boundary mean curvature, a simple static manifold with boundary must in fact have positive scalar curvature, negative boundary mean curvature, and be compact; we also obtain explicit ...
Added: September 19, 2026
Poddiakov A., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026. No. 7437658.
Clarity of knowledge and reasoning is necessary in many cases. Yet vagueness in scientific thinking related to surprise, curiosity, "ability to engage with not-knowing" (de Freitas) and abductive reasoning is also a crucially important source of scientific creativity which supplements combinatorial logic when dealing with the already known. Starting from studies by C. S. Peirce ...
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B.Josephson (Nobel Prize, 1973) predicted a tunnelling effect for a system of two superconductors separated by a narrow dielectric (such a system is called Josephson junction): existence of a supercurrent through it and equations governing it. The overdamped Josephson junction is modeled by the family of differential equations on the 2-torus, dθdτ=1ω(cosθ+B+Acosτ), which is known as ...
Added: September 8, 2026
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Anosov flows have a long and rich history, firstly motivated by the
study of geodesic flows in negative curvature surface by Anosov and Sinai.
Not every closed manifold admits an Anosov flow for well-known reasons:
the fundamental group of a 3-manifold M admitting an Anosov flow must
have exponential growth, and M must be universally covered by R3. Nevertheless,
there ...
Added: August 31, 2026
Alena Bernyukevich, / Series WP BRP "Basic research program". 2025.
This essay explores the complex issue of determining the appropriate level of risk when implementing innovations within organizations. While innovation is widely recognized as a cornerstone of competitiveness, growth, and sustainability, excessive or poorly managed risk can lead to significant challenges. The discussion highlights key factors influencing acceptable risk levels, including alignment with corporate goals, ...
Added: August 17, 2026
Zhuravleva T., Afanasev K., Engelmann J. et al., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Extortionary ("harassment") bribery can persist even when widely condemned, consistent with a coordination problem sustained by beliefs about what others do and what others consider acceptable. We study whether a minimal institutional featurethe presence of a third-party monitor empowered to punish-shifts (i) normative expectations about extortion and compliance and (ii) empirical expectations about their prevalence. ...
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Loubenets E. R., / Series arxiv.org "quant-ph". 2026. No. 2607.18050.
In many quantum applications it is important to know whether or not a Bell nonlocal two-qudit state exhibits its nonlocality under correlation scenarios with some given numbers S1,S2≥1 of generalized quantum measurements at two sites. In the present article, we find analytically a new general locality condition sufficient for a nonseparable Werner state with a ...
Added: July 21, 2026
Bolbachan V., / Series math "arxiv.org". 2024.
Chow polylogarithms are some special functions arising in explicit description of the Beilinson regulator map. The most interesting functional equation for this function reflects its vanishing on the boundary in the Bloch's cycle complex. We show that this functional equation formally follows from more simple ones, namely skew-symmetry, functoriality and multiplicativity.
To prove this, we study ...
Added: July 16, 2026
Bolbachan V., / Series math "arxiv.org". 2024.
Let K be a field of characteristic zero. We prove that its motivic cohomology in degree m−1 and weight m is rationally isomorphic to the cohomology of the polylogarithmic complex. This gives a partial extension of A. Suslin theorem describing the indecomposable K3 of a field. ...
Added: July 16, 2026
Panov V., Ryabchenko A., / Series arXiv "stat.ME". 2026. No. 2607.05048.
This paper investigates the problem of statistical inference for a mixture distribution consisting of a discrete and a continuous component, with a particular focus on the class of rational-infinitely divisible distributions. We consider non-parametric estimation of both components of the mixture as well as the quasi-L{é}vy measure, assuming that the mixture belongs to the class ...
Added: July 9, 2026
Mishin A., Guerrieri L., Kim J., / Series 2026-042 "Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS)". 2026.
Within narrowly defined industries, the most productive firms produce far more than the least productive from the same inputs, and this dispersion widens in downturns. We build a tractable representative-agent model in which financial frictions—adverse selection and moral hazard—make firms sort endogenously into lenders, strategic defaulters, and producers. As credit conditions vary, the resulting misallocation ...
Added: June 28, 2026
Власов С. А., Nevalennyi M., Сафиулин Р. Р. et al., / Банк России. Серия Аналитическая записка "Материалы Банка России". 2026.
В аналитической записке обсуждается долгосрочно устойчивый уровень цены на российскую нефть. Это тот уровень, к которому цена нефти, вероятнее всего, будет тяготеть в долгосрочной перспективе. Потребность в его определении возникает по нескольким причинам. Во-первых, цена на нефть остается одним из ключевых экономических показателей российской экономики, определяющих экспорт, обменный курс рубля, прибыль, доходы и расходы бюджета, ...
Added: June 27, 2026
Глазова А. М., Nevalennyi M., Синяков А. А., / Банк России. Серия Препринты Банка России "Серия докладов об экономических исследованиях". 2025. № 154.
The paper proposes a graphical model of a small open economy. The dynamics of the graphical model is then illustrated using impulse responses from the corresponding formal semi-structural model (QPM model). The authors have several goals in preparing this description of the graphical macroeconomic model. The first goal of the paper is to present an adapted ...
Added: June 27, 2026
Mishin A., Guerrieri L., Canzoneri M. et al., / Series 2026-042 "Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS)". 2026.
Added: June 27, 2026
Галанов В. А., Galanova A., Наука и практика. Научно-аналитический журнал РЭУ им. Г.В. Плеханова 2025 Т. 17 № 1(57) С. 27–34
The differences between short-term and long-term types of investment in the stock market have a deep economic basis in relation to which the time period acts only as a generalizing feature that allows reflecting the holistic and complex range of economic differences between them, primarily in terms of their profitability and risks. The duration of ...
Added: May 28, 2025
Kuslyaikin A., Экономическая политика 2025 Т. 20 № 1 С. 30–55
This paper is one of the first studies to investigate how downside market risk affects cryptocurrency returns. Based on weekly data for more than 900 cryptocurrencies from 2014 to 2018, downside market risk is considered in three different forms as it arises in the cryptocurrency market, the aggregate alternative investment market, and the stock market. ...
Added: April 7, 2025
Kipriyanov A., Russian Journal of Money and Finance 2024 Vol. 83 No. 3 P. 70–91
COVID-19 forced market regulators in several European countries to introduce short-selling bans in spring 2020. This paper examines the effect of the bans on the volatility and tail risk in the equity markets. Such bans are assumed to be helpful in preventing severe market crashes: the removal of short sellers is believed to reduce falls ...
Added: September 30, 2024
Makushkin M., Lapshin V. A., Прикладная эконометрика 2023 Т. 69 С. 5–27
The article is devoted to Value-at-Risk estimation of bonds based on Dynamic Nelson–Siegel model (DNS). Instead of dealing with estimation of future interest rates and their volatiles, DNS model forecasts several unobservable shape parameters of the yield curve. We illustrate that for practical purposes one factor model is enough to correctly estimate bond VaR — ...
Added: March 18, 2023
Mitra R., Maria Evgenievna Guseva, , in: Evidence from Emerging Economies. Advances in Innovation, Trade and Business.: Springer, 2021. Ch. 6 P. 85–94.
Added: February 14, 2023