Forecasting Technical and Economic Indicators of Cyber-Physical Systems’ Design Solutions Using Foresight Modeling

P. 498–500.

Kofanov Y. N., Emelianova M., Sotnikov G. S.

Cyber-physical systems enable to connect physical processes with electronic-software systems for continuous management realization. They become an integral part of the modern digital economy. Projects of cyber-physical systems design and management are central to innovative development of enterprises and industries. In current conditions of dynamically changing external environment, cyber-physical systems’ project management require a proactive approach. At the initial stage, design decisions are developed considering various influencing factors and possible scenarios of the project evolution due to the Foresight modeling method. This article is devoted to one of the key aspects of the development and implementation of design solutions for cyber-physical systems - the forecasting of technical and economic indicators. Prediction capabilities using Foresight modeling as the foundation of proactive management are considered.

Keywords: modeling, electronic component base, spacecraft equipment, space projects

Publication based on the results of: Теория форсайт-моделирования в проблеме обеспечения высокой надежности электронного оборудования в космической отрасли (2019)

In book

Proceedings of the 2020 IEEE International Conference "Quality Management, Transport and Information Security, Information Technologies" (IT&QM&IS)

IEEE, 2020.