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June 17, 2026
Population Lifespan Is Governed by Mathematical Laws
Researchers at HSE University and MSU have established a universal law governing the time to extinction of a population in a random environment. Their analysis of the evolution of branching processes—complex probabilistic systems—shows that, regardless of the initial population size, extinction follows strict mathematical laws. The results have been published in the Journal of Applied Probability.
June 16, 2026
Taking Stock Without Euphemisms: Experts Propose Solutions for Russias Foreign and Defence Policy
The recent 34th Assembly of the Council on Foreign and Defence Policy (SVOP) presented analytical approaches to emerging global challenges and developed practical recommendations in the context of a transforming world order. Experts from HSE University took an active part in the sessions and closed briefings.
June 15, 2026
Sociologists: Conservative Consumers Dominate Russian Middle Class
The Russian middle class cannot be regarded as a homogeneous and uniformly stable social group. Similar income levels often mask significant differences in financial strategies, lifestyles, and levels of economic security. This is the conclusion reached by sociologists at HSE University. The study has been published in Voprosy Ekonomiki.

 

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Вероятностные модели комбинаторных схем

Вестник Южно-Уральского государственного университета, серия «Математическое моделирование и программирование». 2020. Т. 13. № 3. С. 103–111.
Enatskaya N.

An enumerative method is proposed for the analysis of combinatorial schemes in the
pre-asymptotic region of variation of their parameters based on the construction of their
probabilistic mathematical model, which represents for each scheme an iterative
random process of sequential non-repeated formation of all its outcomes with a certain
discipline of their numbering by unitary addition of certain elements of the scheme to
a given value in it. Due to the importance for a number of studies of the scheme of
recurrence of listing its outcomes, if it does not lie in its nature, it can be achieved by
introducing into the scheme some restrictions that do not lead to a change in their set, do
not change their probability and should be taken into account. The design of the process
under the appropriate conditions of each scheme is graphically depicted by a graph with the
probabilities of iterative transitions specified in it, which determine the final distribution on
the set of its outcomes. On this basis, the problems of determining the number of outcomes
of a scheme, establishing a one-to-one correspondence between numbers and types of its
outcomes, called the numbering problem in direct and reverse statements, and finding the
probability distribution of all its final outcomes are solved, which makes it possible to model
them with the found distribution of playing out the outcome number and the subsequent
determination of its modeled form by the result of solving the direct numbering problem.
In the absence of an explicit formula for the number of outcomes of a scheme under certain
conditions, an estimate of it can be obtained from the results of their modeling, followed
by refinement of the numbering problem. The study of models of combinatorial schemes on
random processes with the introduction of probabilistic parameters expands the possibilities
of their use. The results of the analysis of schemes can be of a nature from numerical methods
and algorithms to analytical in the form of recurrence relations and explicit formulas.
 

Research target: Mathematics
Priority areas: mathematics
Language: Russian
Full text
DOI
Keywords: вероятностные моделиprobabilistic modelsметод графовenumeration methodперечислительный методthe graph methodnumbering problemrapid modelling задача нумерациибыстрое моделирование
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