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Циклически сбалансированные траектории в модели экономического роста с эндогенным переключением политики
Математическое моделирование. 2018. Т. 30. № 4. С. 3–20.
Akhremenko A. S., Petrov A.
Balanced growth paths are typical research subjects for models of macroeconomic dynamics. Balanced growth paths are model solutions that assume constant policy parameters (such as tax rate) and allow for monotonous and proportional growth of model components. In this paper, we construct and test a model with policy switching based on economic retrospective voting: the model allows to switch parties in office if an electorally important indicator exhibits decline. A change of ruling party brings about a change in policy. If the second party is then voted out of the office, the system experiences endogenous policy switching. Within this framework, we introduce the term "cyclically balanced growth paths", i.e. non-monotonous solutions where the proportionality of components is broken and then restored every political cycle. We conduct the analysis using differential equations theory and numerical experiments
Research target:
Political Science, International Relations, and Public Administration
Mathematics
Economics and Management
Language:
Russian
Шамшура К. А., Журнал социологии и социальной антропологии 2026 Т. 29 № 2 С. 170–204
The article examines the conditions that influence the outcomes of civic participation in the protection of historical sites in Russian cities. It is based on the political opportunity structure theory, which suggests that structural conditions that shape the political opportunity structure have the greatest impact on the outcome of collective action. Drawing on the literature ...
Added: September 17, 2026
Kazakov A., Koryakin V., Safonov K. et al., Journal of Differential Equations 2026 Vol. 480 Article 114626
We study a family of one-dimensional maps that models the dynamics of a system of differential equations with a Lorenz attractor near a bifurcation curve where the system has a pair of homoclinic loops with zero separatrix value. Of particular interest is the region of the parameter plane where the map has a robust chaotic ...
Added: September 16, 2026
М.: Московский Политех, 2026.
Основной целью конференции является освещение проблем, связанных с внедрением технологий искусственного интеллекта в управление городским хозяйством города Москвы. Участниками были представлены инновационные решения для оптимизации использования ресурсов и городской инфраструктуры. Особое внимание было уделено решению задач прогнозирования и аналитического моделирования для повышения эффективности работы городских систем.
Тезисы докладов содержат разностороннее исследование теоретических и практических вопросов развития ...
Added: September 16, 2026
Abdullaev A., Sivaev S., Regional Research of Russia 2026 Vol. 16 No. 3 P. 518–530
The article examines the specific features of implementing regional programs of targeted social support for housing and communal services payments in Russia. The aim of the study is to identify differences between the federal subjects in key parameters of the program, targeting and coverage of households with housing subsidies, as well as in the results of ...
Added: September 16, 2026
Letellier C., Stankevich N., Houri S. et al., Chaos 2026 Vol. 36 No. 9 Article 093128
Toroidal chaos designates a chaotic solution that is structured in the neighborhood of a torus. For being chaotic, such a torus needs to be discontinuously fractalized to present a Cantor set, ensuring the great sensitivity to initial conditions required for chaos. A fractal is related to self-similarity and a non-integer dimension. In fact, although clearly ...
Added: September 16, 2026
Gipsman M., Ivanov D., Rosenberg D., Third World Quarterly 2026 P. 1–23
Moldova has been prone to socio-political polarisation due to historical, ethno-linguistic, and geopolitical factors. However, portraying modern Moldova as being torn between the West and the East oversimplifies the case. In Moldova, socio-political polarisation is indeed on the rise, but for the most part it is moderate rather than extreme, and the major fault lines ...
Added: September 15, 2026
Poddiakov A., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026. No. 7437658.
Clarity of knowledge and reasoning is necessary in many cases. Yet vagueness in scientific thinking related to surprise, curiosity, "ability to engage with not-knowing" (de Freitas) and abductive reasoning is also a crucially important source of scientific creativity which supplements combinatorial logic when dealing with the already known. Starting from studies by C. S. Peirce ...
Added: September 15, 2026
А.И. Жданов, А.В. Коротаев, Социологические исследования 2026 № 8 С. 3–14
The article is devoted to an analysis of the influence of digital technologies and the Internet on the emergence and development of revolutionary activity in the 21st century. The authors consider the Internet to be a new significant factor in political destabilization, noting its role in coordinating protests, overcoming state censorship, and shaping new behavioral ...
Added: September 15, 2026
Gokhberg L., Abdrakhmanova G., Kutsenko E. et al., Вопросы статистики 2026 Т. 33 № 4 С. 5–20
This article examines the methodological and practical issues associated with the transition to the new edition of the All-Russian Classifier of Economic Activities (OKVED) – OKVED3. The relevance of the study stems from the need to reflect contemporary structural changes in the economy, related to the transformation of the existing economic activities and emergence of ...
Added: September 15, 2026
Губский А. Д., Сравнительная политика 2025 Т. 16 № 2 С. 52–71
The resource-rich Essequibo region, located in northeastern South America and occupying two-thirds of the territory of the Co-operative Republic of Guyana, has long been disputed by the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela. At the same time, the tensions have been escalating in recent years, making this conflict one of the most explosive in Latin America, which ...
Added: September 14, 2026
Губский А. Д., Россия и Америка в XXI веке 2025 № 12
The article is devoted to the current state of security cooperation between the USA and Guyana. The study examines the strategic interests of the parties and the main directions of bilateral military-political cooperation, which has noticeably intensified after the discovery of oil fields on the shelf of the Cooperative Republic. The results obtained indicate the ...
Added: September 14, 2026
Губский А. Д., Россия и Америка в XXI веке 2024 № 12
The article is devoted to the impact of the activities of the multinational corporation ExxonMobil on the development of the Cooperative Republic of Guyana. The study examines the socio-economic, political and environmental consequences of the development and production of oil by an American company on the shelf of a South American country. The results show ...
Added: September 14, 2026
Makarov I. A., Россия в глобальной политике 2026 Т. 24 № 4 (140) С. 164–182
Три с половиной года остаётся до 2030-го – окончания срока реализации Целей устойчивого развития (ЦУР) – главной международной инициативы, устанавливающей долгосрочные ориентиры для будущего человечества. Уже очевидно, что она провалилась: преодоление бедности, решение экологических проблем и построение инклюзивного и справедливого общества остались красивой мечтой. Кто-то может воспринимать ЦУР как памятник человеческой наивности. Но надо понимать, что эта ...
Added: September 14, 2026
Glutsyuk A., / Series arXiv "math". 2026.
B.Josephson (Nobel Prize, 1973) predicted a tunnelling effect for a system of two superconductors separated by a narrow dielectric (such a system is called Josephson junction): existence of a supercurrent through it and equations governing it. The overdamped Josephson junction is modeled by the family of differential equations on the 2-torus, dθdτ=1ω(cosθ+B+Acosτ), which is known as ...
Added: September 8, 2026
Pochinka O., Shmukler V., / Series math.RT "arXiv:1808.06395 [math.RT]". 2026.
Anosov flows have a long and rich history, firstly motivated by the
study of geodesic flows in negative curvature surface by Anosov and Sinai.
Not every closed manifold admits an Anosov flow for well-known reasons:
the fundamental group of a 3-manifold M admitting an Anosov flow must
have exponential growth, and M must be universally covered by R3. Nevertheless,
there ...
Added: August 31, 2026
Zhuravleva T., Afanasev K., Engelmann J. et al., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Extortionary ("harassment") bribery can persist even when widely condemned, consistent with a coordination problem sustained by beliefs about what others do and what others consider acceptable. We study whether a minimal institutional featurethe presence of a third-party monitor empowered to punish-shifts (i) normative expectations about extortion and compliance and (ii) empirical expectations about their prevalence. ...
Added: July 22, 2026
Loubenets E. R., / Series arxiv.org "quant-ph". 2026. No. 2607.18050.
In many quantum applications it is important to know whether or not a Bell nonlocal two-qudit state exhibits its nonlocality under correlation scenarios with some given numbers S1,S2≥1 of generalized quantum measurements at two sites. In the present article, we find analytically a new general locality condition sufficient for a nonseparable Werner state with a ...
Added: July 21, 2026
Bolbachan V., / Series math "arxiv.org". 2024.
Chow polylogarithms are some special functions arising in explicit description of the Beilinson regulator map. The most interesting functional equation for this function reflects its vanishing on the boundary in the Bloch's cycle complex. We show that this functional equation formally follows from more simple ones, namely skew-symmetry, functoriality and multiplicativity.
To prove this, we study ...
Added: July 16, 2026
Bolbachan V., / Series math "arxiv.org". 2024.
Let K be a field of characteristic zero. We prove that its motivic cohomology in degree m−1 and weight m is rationally isomorphic to the cohomology of the polylogarithmic complex. This gives a partial extension of A. Suslin theorem describing the indecomposable K3 of a field. ...
Added: July 16, 2026
Panov V., Ryabchenko A., / Series arXiv "stat.ME". 2026. No. 2607.05048.
This paper investigates the problem of statistical inference for a mixture distribution consisting of a discrete and a continuous component, with a particular focus on the class of rational-infinitely divisible distributions. We consider non-parametric estimation of both components of the mixture as well as the quasi-L{é}vy measure, assuming that the mixture belongs to the class ...
Added: July 9, 2026
Surkov A., Ignatenko V., Koltsov S., Computers, Materials and Continua 2026 Vol. 88 No. 3 Article 74
Large language models have recently demonstrated promising capabilities in mathematical reasoning; however, their performance on tasks requiring strict symbolic manipulation, such as solving differential equations, remains limited, especially for compact models. In this work, we investigate whether activation steering combined with reinforcement learning can improve the quality of solutions generated by pretrained language models without ...
Added: July 8, 2026
Mishin A., Guerrieri L., Kim J., / Series 2026-042 "Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS)". 2026.
Within narrowly defined industries, the most productive firms produce far more than the least productive from the same inputs, and this dispersion widens in downturns. We build a tractable representative-agent model in which financial frictions—adverse selection and moral hazard—make firms sort endogenously into lenders, strategic defaulters, and producers. As credit conditions vary, the resulting misallocation ...
Added: June 28, 2026
Власов С. А., Nevalennyi M., Сафиулин Р. Р. et al., / Банк России. Серия Аналитическая записка "Материалы Банка России". 2026.
В аналитической записке обсуждается долгосрочно устойчивый уровень цены на российскую нефть. Это тот уровень, к которому цена нефти, вероятнее всего, будет тяготеть в долгосрочной перспективе. Потребность в его определении возникает по нескольким причинам. Во-первых, цена на нефть остается одним из ключевых экономических показателей российской экономики, определяющих экспорт, обменный курс рубля, прибыль, доходы и расходы бюджета, ...
Added: June 27, 2026
Глазова А. М., Nevalennyi M., Синяков А. А., / Банк России. Серия Препринты Банка России "Серия докладов об экономических исследованиях". 2025. № 154.
The paper proposes a graphical model of a small open economy. The dynamics of the graphical model is then illustrated using impulse responses from the corresponding formal semi-structural model (QPM model). The authors have several goals in preparing this description of the graphical macroeconomic model. The first goal of the paper is to present an adapted ...
Added: June 27, 2026