• A
  • A
  • A
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
Обычная версия сайта
  • RU
  • EN
  • HSE University
  • Publications
  • Articles
  • Specification and structural break tests for additive models with applications to realized variance data
  • RU
  • EN
Расширенный поиск
Высшая школа экономики
Национальный исследовательский университет
Priority areas
  • business informatics
  • economics
  • engineering science
  • humanitarian
  • IT and mathematics
  • law
  • management
  • mathematics
  • sociology
  • state and public administration
by year
  • 2027
  • 2026
  • 2025
  • 2024
  • 2023
  • 2022
  • 2021
  • 2020
  • 2019
  • 2018
  • 2017
  • 2016
  • 2015
  • 2014
  • 2013
  • 2012
  • 2011
  • 2010
  • 2009
  • 2008
  • 2007
  • 2006
  • 2005
  • 2004
  • 2003
  • 2002
  • 2001
  • 2000
  • 1999
  • 1998
  • 1997
  • 1996
  • 1995
  • 1994
  • 1993
  • 1992
  • 1991
  • 1990
  • 1989
  • 1988
  • 1987
  • 1986
  • 1985
  • 1984
  • 1983
  • 1982
  • 1981
  • 1980
  • 1979
  • 1978
  • 1977
  • 1976
  • 1975
  • 1974
  • 1973
  • 1972
  • 1971
  • 1970
  • 1969
  • 1968
  • 1967
  • 1966
  • 1965
  • 1964
  • 1963
  • 1958
  • More
Subject
News
May 22, 2026
HSE Graduates AI Project Wins at TECH & AI Awards
Daria Davydova, graduate of the HSE Graduate School of Business and Head of the AI Implementation Unit at the Artificial Intelligence Department of Alfa-Bank, received a prize at the TECH & AI Awards. She was awarded for the best AI solution for optimising business processes. The winners were determined as part of the VII Russian Summit and Awards on Digital Transformation (CDO/CDTO Summit & Awards).
May 20, 2026
HSE University Opens First Representative Office of Satellite Laboratory in Brazil
HSE University-St Petersburg opened a representative office of the Satellite Laboratory on Social Entrepreneurship at the University of Campinas in Brazil. The platform is going to unite research and educational projects in the spheres of sustainable development, communications and social innovations.
May 18, 2026
The 'Second Shift' Is Not Why Women Avoid News
Women are more likely than men to avoid political and economic news, but the reasons for this behaviour are linked less to structural inequality or family-related stress than to personal attitudes and the emotional perception of news content. This conclusion was reached by HSE researchers after analysing data from a large-scale survey of more than 10,000 residents across 61 regions of Russia. The study findings have been published in Woman in Russian Society.

 

Have you spotted a typo?
Highlight it, click Ctrl+Enter and send us a message. Thank you for your help!

Publications
  • Books
  • Articles
  • Chapters of books
  • Working papers
  • Report a publication
  • Research at HSE

?

Specification and structural break tests for additive models with applications to realized variance data

Journal of Econometrics. 2015. Vol. 188. No. 1. P. 196–218.
Fengler M. R., Mammen E., Vogt M.

Abstract We study two types of testing problems in a nonparametric additive model setting: We develop methods to test (i) whether an additive component function has a given parametric form and (ii) whether an additive component has a structural break. We apply the theory to a nonparametric extension of the linear heterogeneous autoregressive model which is widely employed to describe realized variance data. We find that the linearity assumption is often rejected, but actual deviations from linearity are mild. © 2015 Elsevier B.V.

Priority areas: mathematics
Language: English
Full text
DOI
Keywords: backfittingAdditive modelsHeterogeneous autoregressive modelNonparametric time series analysisRealized varianceSpecification testsStructural break testsаддитивные моделинеоднородная авторегрессионная модельнепараметрический анализ временных рядов
Publication based on the results of:
Вероятностные и статистические методы анализа сложных моделей, задаваемых стохастическими дифференциальными и разностными уравнениями (2015)
Similar publications
Bifurcations and Structural Stability of Generic PC-HC Families
Dorovskiy A., / Series arXiv "math". 2026.
In this paper the structural stability of generic families of vector fields of the PC-HC class on the two-dimensional sphere is proved. A classification of these families up to moderate equivalence in neighborhoods of their large bifurcation supports is presented, based on such invariants as the configuration and the characteristic set. The realization lemma is proved. ...
Added: May 14, 2026
On the minimum number of maximal distance-k independent sets in trees
Taletskii D., / Series arXiv "math". 2026.
A vertex subset of a graph is called a \textit{distance-$k$ independent set} if the distance between any two of its distinct vertices is at least $k + 1$. For all $n,k \geq 1$, we determine the minimum possible number of inclusion-wise maximal distance-$k$ independent sets among all $n$-vertex trees. It equals~$n$ if $n \leq k ...
Added: May 1, 2026
On Arithmetic Mirror Symmetry for smooth Fano fourfolds
Ovcharenko M., / Series arXiv "math". 2026.
We introduce an explicit class of tempered Laurent polynomials in the sense of Villegas and Doran--Kerr in n⩽4 variables including all Landau--Ginzburg models for smooth Fano threefolds with very ample anticanonical class. We check that it contains Landau--Ginzburg models for various Fano fourfolds which are complete intersections in smooth toric varieties and Grassmannians of planes, ...
Added: April 30, 2026
On weak solutions to the 1d compressible Navier-Stokes equations: a Lipschitz continuous dependence on data in weaker norms and an error of their homogenization
Zlotnik Alexander, / Series arXiv "math". 2026. No. 2602.03481v1.
We deal with the global in time weak solutions to the 1D compressible Navier-Stokes system of equations for large discontinuous initial data and nonhomogeneous boundary conditions of three standard types. We prove the Lipschitz-type continuous dependence of the solution $(\eta,u,\theta)$, in a norm slightly stronger than $L^{2,\infty}(Q)\times L^2(Q)\times L^2(Q)$,  on the initial data $(\eta^0,u^0,e^0)$ in a ...
Added: April 18, 2026
On the dimension of the space of static potentials on three-manifolds
Medvedev V., / Series arXiv "math". 2026.
We investigate the interplay between the dimension of the space of static potentials and the geometric and topological structure of the underlying static three-manifold. A partial classification of boundaryless static manifolds is obtained in terms of this dimension. We also treat the case of static manifolds with boundary. In particular, we prove that if a ...
Added: April 3, 2026
Using predefined vector systems to speed up neural network multimillion class classification
Gabdullin N., Androsov I., / Series Computer Science "arxiv.org". 2026.
Label prediction in neural networks (NNs) has O(n) complexity proportional to the number of classes. This holds true for classification using fully connected layers and cosine similarity with some set of class prototypes. In this paper we show that if NN latent space (LS) geometry is known and possesses specific properties, label prediction complexity can ...
Added: April 2, 2026
Homogeneous maximizers of the Blaschke-Santalo-type functionals
Kolesnikov A., / Series arXiv "math". 2025.
We study Blaschke--Santal{ó}-type inequalities for N>=2  sets (functions) and a special class of cost functions. In particular, we prove new results about reduction of the maximization problem for the Blaschke--Santal{ó}-type functional to homogeneous case (functional inequalities on the sphere) and extend the symmetrization argument to the case of  N>2 sets. We also discuss links to the ...
Added: February 13, 2026
Iterative Ricci-Foster Curvature Flow with GMM-Based Edge Pruning: A Novel Approach to Community Detection
Sorokin K., Beketov M., Онучин А. et al., / arxiv.org. Серия cs.SI "Social and Information Networks ". 2025.
Community detection in complex networks is a fundamental problem, open to new approaches in various scientific settings. We introduce a novel community detection method, based on Ricci flow on graphs. Our technique iteratively updates edge weights (their metric lengths) according to their (combinatorial) Foster version of Ricci curvature computed from effective resistance distance between the ...
Added: January 15, 2026
On finding formal power-logarithmic expansions of solutions to q-difference equations
Gaianov N., Parusnikova A., / Cornell University. Серия math "arxiv.org". 2025.
An algebraic q-difference equation is considered. A sufficient condition for the existence of a formal power-logarithmic expansion of a solution to such an equation in the neighborhood of zero is proposed. An example of applying this sufficient condition for constructing a formal expansion of a solution to a certain q-difference analogue of the fifth Painlevé equation ...
Added: December 25, 2025
Ideal of the variety of flexes of plane cubics
Popov V., / Series arXiv "math". 2025. No. 2502.01539.
We prove that the variety of flexes of algebraic curves of degree 3 in the projective plane is an ideal theoretic complete intersection in the product of a two-dimensional and a nine-dimensional projective spaces. ...
Added: December 16, 2025
Random walks on rank one symmetric spaces of noncompact type
Gnetov F., Konakov V., / Series arXiv "math". 2025. No. 2512.04667.
We establish a central limit theorem, a local limit theorem, and a law of large numbers for a natural random walk on a symmetric space M of non-compact type and rank one. This class of spaces, which includes the complex and quaternionic hyperbolic spaces and the Cayley hyperbolic plane, generalizes the real hyperbolic space Hn. Our approach introduces ...
Added: December 5, 2025
Cascades of Lorenz attractors in the Shimizu-Morioka model
Kazakov A., Koryakin V., Safonov K. et al., / Series arXiv "math". 2025.
The Lorenz attractor is the first example of a robustly chaotic non-hyperbolic attractor. Each orbit of such an attractor has a positive top Lyapunov exponent, and this property persists under small perturbations despite possible bifurcations of the attractor. In this paper, we study the boundary of the Lorenz attractor existence region in the Shimizu-Morioka model. ...
Added: December 4, 2025
Асимптотический вариант метода параметрикс для цепей Маркова, сходящихся к диффузиям
Bitter I., Konakov V., / Cornell University. Серия arXiv "math". 2025. № 2505.24548.
В работе приводится обобщение локальной предельной теоремы о сходимости неоднородных цепей Маркова к диффузионному пределу на случай, когда соответ- ствующие коэффициенты процессов удовлетворяют слабым условиям регулярности и совпадают лишь асимптотически. В частности, рассматриваемые нами коэффици- енты сноса могут быть неограниченными с не более чем линейным ростом, а оценки отражают перенос терминального состояния неограниченным трендом через ...
Added: December 3, 2025
Stabilization of direct images for curves
Bogomolov F. A., Schrandt S., / Series arXiv "math". 2025.
We discuss phenomena of stabilization for direct images of line bundles over projective curves mapping onto the projective line, for maps of sufficiently big degree. ...
Added: December 1, 2025
Upper Bounds on the Torsion Index of Half-Spin Groups
Deviatov R., Baek S., / Series arXiv "math". 2025.
The torsion index of split simple groups has been extensively studied, notably by Totaro, who calculated the torsion indexes of the spin groups and $E_{8}$ in [5] and [6], respectively. The aim of this paper is to provide upper bounds for the torsion index of half-spin groups, the only remaining case in the calculation of ...
Added: December 1, 2025
Hessian-based lightweight neural network for brain vessel segmentation on a minimal training dataset
Меньшиков И. А., Бернадотт А. К., Elvimov N. S., / Series arXie "Statistical mechanics". 2025.
Accurate segmentation of blood vessels in brain magnetic resonance angiography (MRA) is essential for successful surgical procedures, such as aneurysm repair or bypass surgery. Currently, annotation is primarily performed through manual segmentation or classical methods, such as the Frangi filter, which often lack sufficient accuracy. Neural networks have emerged as powerful tools for medical image ...
Added: December 1, 2025
Birational transformations of threefold Q-conic bundles
Prokhorov Y., / Series arXiv "math". 2025.
A $\mathbf{Q}$-conic bundle is a contraction $f: X\to Z$ of a three-dimensional algebraic variety $X$ to a surface~$Z$ such that the variety~$X$ has only terminal $\mathbf{Q}$-factorial singularities, the anticanonical divisor $-K_X$ is~$f$-ample, and $\uprho(X/Z)=1$. We provide an algorithm to transform a $\mathbf{Q}$-conic bundle to its standard form. ...
Added: December 1, 2025
Birational geometry of hyperkahler manifolds and the Hu-Yau conjecture
Amerik E., Verbitsky M., Soldatenkov A., / Series arXiv "math". 2025.
Wierzba and Wisniewski proved that in dimension 4, every bimeromorphic map of hyperkahler manifolds is represented as a composition of Mukai flops. Hu and Yau conjectured that this result can be generalized to arbitrary dimension. They defined ``Mukai's elementary transformation'' as the blow-up of a subvariety ruled by complex projective spaces, composed with the contraction ...
Added: December 1, 2025
New goodness-of-fit diagnostics for conditional discrete response models
Igor Kheifets, Velasco C., Journal of Econometrics 2017 Vol. 200 No. 1 P. 135–149
This paper proposes new specification tests for conditional models with discrete responses, which are key to apply efficient maximum likelihood methods, to obtain consistent estimates of partial effects and to get appropriate predictions of the probability of future events. In particular, we test the static and dynamic ordered choice model specifications and can cover infinite ...
Added: February 23, 2021
The museums visitors seasonal forecasting model: the UK case
Pavlova E., , in: Proceedings of Analytics for Management and Economics Conference AMEC 2019.: St. Petersburg: [б.и.], 2019. P. 79–80.
In recent years, an increase in interest in museum activities has been observed, the number of museum visitors shows a stable positive trend. The research question of this paper is as follows: which months for museums have maximum and minimum attendance rates? The aim of the research is to predict the number of visitors to United ...
Added: October 19, 2020
Статистический анализ моделей с переменной структурой
Brodsky B. E., Айвазян С. А., Березняцкий А. Н. et al., Прикладная эконометрика 2015 № 3 С. 1–25
Classification problems for univariate and multivariate observations are often encountered in statistics and economics. However, all existing approaches to solving these problems have several essential drawbacks: 1. All these methods cannot help in testing the null hypothesis of no different classes; 2. The number of classes is assumed to be known a priori; 3. Theoretical justification of performance ...
Added: June 23, 2018
Backfitting and smooth backfitting in varying coefficient quantile regression
Mammen E., Lee Y. K., Park B. U., Econometrics journal 2014 Vol. 17 No. 2 P. S20–S38
In this paper, we study ordinary backfitting and smooth backfitting as methods of fitting varying coefficient quantile models. We do this in a unified framework that accommodates various types of varying coefficient models. Our framework also covers the additive quantile model as a special case. Under a set of weak conditions, we derive the asymptotic ...
Added: October 12, 2016
Backfitting and smooth backfitting in varying coefficient quantile regression
Lee Y. K., Mammen E., Park B. U., Econometrics journal 2014 Vol. 17 No. 2 P. S20–S38
...
Added: December 12, 2014
Asymptotics for in-sample density forecasting
Lee Y. K., Mammen E., Nielsen J. et al., Annals of Statistics 2015 No. 43 P. 620–645
This paper generalizes recent proposals of density forecasting models and it develops theory for this class of models. In density forecasting, the density of observations is estimated in regions where the density is not observed. Identification of the density in such regions is guaranteed by structural assumptions on the density that allows exact extrapolation. In ...
Added: December 12, 2014
  • About
  • About
  • Key Figures & Facts
  • Sustainability at HSE University
  • Faculties & Departments
  • International Partnerships
  • Faculty & Staff
  • HSE Buildings
  • HSE University for Persons with Disabilities
  • Public Enquiries
  • Studies
  • Admissions
  • Programme Catalogue
  • Undergraduate
  • Graduate
  • Exchange Programmes
  • Summer University
  • Summer Schools
  • Semester in Moscow
  • Business Internship
  • Research
  • International Laboratories
  • Research Centres
  • Research Projects
  • Monitoring Studies
  • Conferences & Seminars
  • Academic Jobs
  • Yasin (April) International Academic Conference on Economic and Social Development
  • Media & Resources
  • Publications by staff
  • HSE Journals
  • Publishing House
  • iq.hse.ru: commentary by HSE experts
  • Library
  • Economic & Social Data Archive
  • Video
  • HSE Repository of Socio-Economic Information
  • HSE1993–2026
  • Contacts
  • Copyright
  • Privacy Policy
  • Site Map
Edit