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On the complexity of first-order logics of probability

Izvestiya. Mathematics. 2026. Vol. 90. No. 4. P. 754–775.
Speranski S. O., Grefenshtein A.

The article is concerned with Halpern's first-order logics of probability, which we denote by L_1 and L_2 – the first of these deals with probability distributions on the domain, while the second employs distributions on external sets of possible worlds. The proofs of [Abadi & Halpern 1994] of the complexity lower bound results for L_1 and L_2 rely heavily on using polynomials. We shall obtain the same lower bounds for small fragments of L_1 and L_2 in which neither addition nor multiplication is allowed. Further, it will be studied what happens if we exclude field variables, and hence quantifiers over reals; the upper bound proofs here will utilize suitable analogues of the (downward) Löwenheim–Skolem theorem.

Language: English
DOI
Keywords: complexityquantificationprobability logicundecidabilityhigher-order arithmetic
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