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Estimation of Time-Dependent Reproduction Number for Global COVID-19 Outbreak
Preprints.org
,
2020.
Real-time estimation of the parameters characterising infectious disease transmission is important for optimization quarantine interventions during outbreaks. One of the most significant parameters is the effective reproduction number - number of secondary cases produced by a single infection. The current study presents an approach for estimating the effective reproduction number and its application to COVID-19 outbreak. The method is based on fitting SIR epidemic model to observation data in a sliding time window and allows to show real-time dynamics of reproduction number at any phase of epidemic for countries globally. Online data on COVID-19 daily cases of infections, recoveries, deaths are used.Finally, time-dependent reproduction number is explored in connection with dynamics of peoples mobility. The method allows to assess the disease transmission potential and understand the effect of interventions on epidemics spread. It also can be easily adapted to future outbreaks of different pathogens. The tool is available online as Python code from the Github repository.
Kondratyev M., Компьютерные инструменты в образовании 2011 № 4 С. 32-36
The paper represents an application of agent-based approach for simulation modeling as the new way to create epidemic models. Such approach can be used to solve various problems in healthcare and other nontechnical fields of knowledge.The AnyLogic 6 agent-based computer simulation model of the influenza spreading was created. The model allows making a shortrange sickness ...
Added: October 13, 2013
Soshnikov Dmitri, Petrova T., Grunin A., / Cornell University. Series Computer Science "arxiv.org". 2021.
This paper is an exploratory study of two epidemiological questions on a worldwide basis. How fast is the disease spreading? Are the restrictions (especially mobility restrictions) for people bring the expected effect? To answer the first question, we propose a tool for estimating the reproduction number of epidemic (the number of secondary infections Rt) based on ...
Added: October 7, 2021
Pavolotsky A. V., М. : [б.и.], 2016
Basic algorithms for arrays searching and sorting. Methodology for students learning Programming courses. ...
Added: July 1, 2016
Kondratyev M., Ивановский Р. И., Цыбалова Л. М., Материаловедение. Энергетика 2010 № 2-2 (100) С. 189-195
The paper represents an application of agent based approach for simulation modeling as the new way to create epidemic models. It is much differed from common disease spreading simulation technique, which uses differential equations. The AnyLogic 6 agent based computer simulation model of the influenza spreading was created. The model allows making a short-range sickness ...
Added: October 13, 2013
Chernov A., Kelbert M., Shemendyuk A., Mathematical Medicine and Biology 2020 Vol. 37 No. 3 P. 303-312
The aim of this work is to investigate the optimal vaccine sharing between two SIR centres in the presence of migration fluxes of susceptibles and infected individuals during the mumps outbreak. Optimality of the vaccine allocation means the minimisation of the total number of lost working days during the whole period of epidemic outbreak $[0,t_f]$, ...
Added: May 3, 2019
Pavolotsky A. V., М. : [б.и.], 2016
Methodology for students, who started learning Programming courses. ...
Added: July 1, 2016
Soshnikov D. V., Valieva Y., Microsoft Journal of Applied Research, USA 2019 Vol. 12 P. 140-150
In this paper, we present a new Python library called mPyPl, which is intended to simplify complex data processing tasks using a functional approach. This library defines operations on lazy data streams of named dictionaries represented as generators (so-called multi-field datastreams), and allows enriching those data streams with more ’fields’ in the process of data ...
Added: November 20, 2020
Meunier D., Pascarella A., Altukhov D. et al., Neuroimage 2020 Vol. 219 No. october P. 1-13
Recent years have witnessed a massive push towards reproducible research in neuroscience. Unfortunately, this endeavor is often challenged by the large diversity of tools used, project-specific custom code and the difficulty to track all user-defined parameters. NeuroPycon is an open-source multi-modal brain data analysis toolkit which provides Python-based template pipelines for advanced multi-processing of MEG, ...
Added: November 12, 2020
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Sotnikova S., Динамика сложных систем 2012 № 3 С. 84-87
In article is described designed programme complex of the physical processes modeling, which also allows to conduct the identification printed node parameters (the physical model). On printed node designed the on-board secondary power supply source is realized. For it are designed relationship interfaces of controlling program with the known program of modeling and optimization. ...
Added: December 5, 2014
Skoptsov K. A., Sheshenin S., Galatenko V. V. et al., International Journal of Applied Mechanics 2016 Vol. 8 No. 2 P. 1650016-01-1650016-18
We present a method for evaluating elastic properties of a composite material produced by molding a resin filled with short elastic fibers. A flow of the filled resin is simulated numerically using a mesh-free method. After that, assuming that spatial distribution and orientation of fibers are not significantly changed during polymerization, effective elastic moduli of ...
Added: May 22, 2016
Chuprikov P., Nikolenko S. I., Davydow A. et al., IEEE Transactions on Networking 2018 Vol. 26 No. 1 P. 342-355
Modern network elements are increasingly required to deal with heterogeneous traffic. Recent works consider processing policies for buffers that hold packets with different processing requirements (number of processing cycles needed before a packet can be transmitted out) but uniform value, aiming to maximize the throughput, i.e., the number of transmitted packets. Other developments deal with ...
Added: March 14, 2018
Karpov V. E., Karpova I. P., Procedia Engineering 2015 Vol. 100 P. 1459-1468
Work solutions are proposed for problems of leader definition and role distribution in homogeneous groups of robots. It is shown that transition from a swarm to a collective of robots with hierarchical organization is possible using exclusively local interaction. The local revoting algorithm is central to the procedure for choice of leader while redistribution of roles can ...
Added: March 14, 2015
М. : Издательский центр «Российский государственный гуманитарный университет», 2019
Сборник включает 27 докладов международной конференции по компьютерной лингвистике и интеллектуальным технологиям «Диалог 2019», не вошедшие в ежегодник «Компьютерная лингвистика и интеллектуальные технологии», но рекомендованные Программным Комитетом к представлению на конференции. Для специалистов в области теоретической и прикладной лингвистики и интеллектуальных технологий. ...
Added: December 10, 2019
Malyshev D., Discrete Mathematics 2015 Vol. 338 No. 11 P. 1860-1865
We completely determine the complexity status of the 3-colorability problem for hereditary graph classes defined by two forbidden induced subgraphs with at most five vertices. ...
Added: April 7, 2014
Springer, 2012
Added: January 29, 2013
Shuranov E., / Cornell University. Series Computer Science "arxiv.org". 2021.
Text encodings from automatic speech recognition (ASR) transcripts and audio representations have shown promise in speech emotion recognition (SER) ever since. Yet, it is challenging to explain the effect of each information stream on the SER systems. Further, more clarification is required for analysing the impact of ASR's word error rate (WER) on linguistic emotion ...
Added: February 14, 2023
Beklemishev L. D., Оноприенко А. А., Математический сборник 2015 Т. 206 № 9 С. 3-20
We formulate some term rewriting systems in which the number of computation steps is finite for each output, but this number cannot be bounded by a provably total computable function in Peano arithmetic PA. Thus, the termination of such systems is unprovable in PA. These systems are derived from an independent combinatorial result known as the Worm ...
Added: March 13, 2016
Bliznets Ivan, Cygan M., Komosa P. et al., ACM Transactions on Computation Theory 2018 Vol. 10 No. 2 P. 1-32
The H-free Edge Deletion problem asks, for a given graph G and integer k, whether it is possible to delete at most k edges from G to make it H-free—that is, not containing H as an induced subgraph. The H-free Edge Completion problem is defined similarly, but we add edges instead of deleting them. The study of these two problem families has recently been the subject of intensive studies from the point of ...
Added: October 30, 2018
Gostev I. M., М. : Юрайт, 2016
В настоящее время компьютерные науки стремительно развиваются. Новые версии операционных систем появляются каждые полтора-два года, поэтому было принято решение о включении в данную книгу такого материала, который не будет устаревать. Содержание учебника представляет собой некоторые наиболее общие принципы построения операционных систем, которые были разработаны более 50 лет назад и практически не изменились за прошедшее время. ...
Added: October 13, 2009
Borchmann D., Hanika T., Obiedkov S., Discrete Applied Mathematics 2020 Vol. 273 P. 30-42
We propose an algorithm for learning the Horn envelope of an arbitrary domain using an expert, or an oracle, capable of answering certain types of queries about this domain. Attribute exploration from formal concept analysis is a procedure that solves this problem, but the number of queries it may ask is exponential in the size ...
Added: October 29, 2019
Каз. : Издательство «Фэн» Академии наук Республики Татарстан, 2013
Материалы и доклады Шестой Всероссийской научно-практической конференции по имитацонному моделированию и его применению в науке и промышленности. ...
Added: December 14, 2013
Goncharov R., Сапанов П. М., Яшунский А. Д., Социология власти 2013 № 3 С. 57-72
В статье представлена технология, позволяющая собирать в полевых исследованиях пространственно локализованные данные об объектах городской среды. Технология основана на автоматической привязке фотографий к пространственным координатам. Приведен план полевых и камеральных мероприятий, предложены варианты ГИС-обработки собираемых таким образом данных. В качестве примера приведены данные об использовании белорусского языка в общественном пространстве городов Белоруссии. ...
Added: April 12, 2015
Toldova S., Azerkovich I., Гришина Ю. et al., / НИУ ВШЭ. Series WP BRP "Linguistics". 2015.
Building benchmark corpora in the domain of coreference and anaphora resolution is an important task for developing and evaluating NLP systems and models. Our study is aimed at assessing the feasibility of enhancing corpora with information about coreference relations. The annotation procedure includes identification of text segments that are subjects to annotation (markables), marking their ...
Added: December 15, 2015