Business Climate Indicator in Manufacturing, Medium- and High-Tech Industries in Russia
Science, Technology and Innovation. WP BRP. Высшая школа экономики , 2019. No. 96/STI/2019.
The paper presents the Business Climate Indicator (BCI) in the Russian manufacturing including the medium and high-tech (MHT) manufacturing industries. The authors explain the feasibility of a new alternative measure that summarizes common information of business tendency surveys cleared up of specific fluctuations in individual variables, and give arguments to prove its effectiveness. The resulting BCI reflects the quantitative changes in manufacturing growth more accurately and with a lead compared to the traditional confidence indicator. Identification of the BCI cyclic profile and its visualization through a tracer demonstrate all significant waves of manufacturers’ optimism and pessimism for the period from January 2005 to January 2019. To construct BCI-MHT, the units of observation and the input information are divided into three groups according to the technological level of industries. The dynamics of BCI-MHT is close to those of BCI; however, during the protracted recession in 2016-2018, the sentiments of manufacturers of medium- and high-tech products were less pessimistic compared with the sentiments of all manufacturers.
, , , Journal of Business Cycle Research 2020 Vol. 16 No. 1 P. 59-74
This paper explores the information content of a business tendency survey on the service sector in Russia from 2012 to 2018. Two alternative survey-based indices were developed: a traditional confidence indicator as a simple arithmetic mean of the balance statistics of three respondents’ replies and a business climate indicator (BCI) as the first component of ...
Added: January 30, 2020
, , Информационное общество 2020 № 5 С. 89-97
The paper examines the benefits associated with digital technologies in Russian manufacturing enterprises, which act as drivers for management decisions on the implementation of digital technologies. The empirical basis of the study is the results of business tendency monitoring of enterprises for 2019. As the results show, among the expected benefits, the most important are ...
Added: July 15, 2020
, Ikonomicheski Izsledvania 2020 No. 4 P. 70-88
This paper expands the existing informational and analytical opportunities of application of the results of business tendency surveys which solve the problem of the loss of valuable statistical information in its traditional aggregation into simple and composite indicators. Based on methods of multidimensional classification, we develop and discuss an algorithm of statistical analysis that significantly ...
Added: August 13, 2020
Indicators For Measuring The Digital Environment Of Manufacturing Enterprises In Russia Based On Data From Business TendencySurveys", Series: Science, Technology and Innovation
, , , Indicators For Measuring The Digital Environment Of Manufacturing Enterprises In Russia Based On Data From Business TendencySurveys", Series: Science, Technology and Innovation / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2021. No. WP BRP 120/STI/2021.
The paper discusses various aspects of digital environment and activity of enterprises from the Russian manufacturing sector in 2020 using the evidence from business tendency surveys. Based on aggregate sectoral and industrial assessments, such as the Digital Climate Index (DCI), the Digital Intensity Index (DII), the Digital Employment Index (DEI) and the Digital Vulnerability index ...
Added: June 23, 2021
Stress testing as a tool for monitoring and modelling the dynamics of business activity of manufacturing enterprises in Russia in the face of market shocks: short-term scenarios of industry tendencies
, , , Stress testing as a tool for monitoring and modelling the dynamics of business activity of manufacturing enterprises in Russia in the face of market shocks: short-term scenarios of industry tendencies / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2020. No. 108.
The article proposes a methodology for using macro-level stress testing based on the results of business tendency surveys to study possible scenarios for the development of crisis dynamics triggered by external unforeseen supply and demand shocks, as in the case of the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as a review of existing approaches in the field ...
Added: May 28, 2020
, , DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION IN MANUFACTURING: DRIVERS, BARRIERS, AND BENEFITS / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2020. No. 107/STI/2020.
This paper investigates the drivers, barriers, and benefits that can be associated with management decisions regarding the implementation of digital technologies in Russian manufacturing enterprises. The empirical basis of the study is the results of the business tendencies surveys for 2018 and 2019. Potential factors for the introduction of digital technologies were divided into three ...
Added: April 7, 2020
Неколичественные наблюдения и методы их обработки в части статического анализа развития российского рынка информационных технологий
, Вопросы статистики 2018 № 3 С. 25-42
This document presents results of non-quantitative observations application and their processing methods, which significantly widen the analytical capabilities of the statistical measurement of the Russian IT market. The need to expand statistical tools that allow to reflect current and future trends in the sectoral development of IT sphere in a fast and visible manner, due ...
Added: February 26, 2018
, , Вопросы статистики 2016 № 1 С. 26-37
The paper presents an analytical aspect of business surveys data processing, which allows highlighting key points in the dynamics of small retail businesses economic development in various phases of business cycle (case study: retail trade). In the introduction in addition to calculating balance characteristics and composite indicator of business conditions the authors substantiate the necessity ...
Added: February 11, 2016
, , et al., Papers and Studies of Research Institute for Economic Development SGH 2016 No. 97 P. 45-66
This paper investigates the ability of Russian business tendency surveys to identify cycli-cal turning points. Presently, when the Russian economy is characterized by concentrating un-certainty, growing gap in opinions and actions of entrepreneurs and decision-makers, im-portance of such qualitative surveys as information resource significantly increased. National business surveys program were launched in 1993; since 2009, ...
Added: May 10, 2016
Экономическое развитие и циклические настроения российских предпринимателей после рецессии 2014-2016 годов
, , , Вопросы статистики 2020 Т. 27 № 1 С. 53-70
The core objective of the study, results of which are summarized in this article, is to determine the eff ectiveness of using assessments of economic agents in the analysis of sectoral and macroeconomic development. The paper tests the hypothesis of the cross impact of economic growth and entrepreneurial behavior. It is assumed that economical cyclicity ...
Added: February 26, 2020
, , , Information Content of the Russian Services Surveys / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2019. No. 93/STI/2019.
The paper explores the information content of surveys of the Russian services sector using the surveys’ results since 2012Q1 to 2018Q4. To summarise entrepreneurial opinions in a one-dimensional index the indicators of confidence and business climate are calculated. To examine the reaction of GDP to impulses in the business climate indicator and to forecast GDP ...
Added: April 17, 2019
, , Forecasting employment in small businesses in Russia: the relevance of business tendency surveys. / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2020. No. 113/STI/2020.
The Article Studies The Predictive Capabilities Of Qualitative Assessments Of Employment Expectations Obtained From Business Tendency Observations Of Entrepreneurial Activity, Which Are Currently A Widespread Source Of Economic Information Both In National And International Practice. The Study Is Based On Market Surveys Conducted By Rosstat, Which Characterize The Expected Level Of Business Activity In The ...
Added: October 27, 2020
, , , Вопросы статистики 2018 № 4 С. 49-63
The data of business (market) surveys of entrepreneurial activity are an important source of economic information in national and international practice. Their results reflect the specific features of cognitive perception by business agents of business trends and sectoral cyclical events in various sectors of the country’s economy. Using the appropriate measurement procedures for the processing ...
Added: April 28, 2018
Assessing Forecasting Performance of Business Tendency Surveys during the Great Recession: Evidence for Russia
, , , Assessing Forecasting Performance of Business Tendency Surveys during the Great Recession: Evidence for Russia / KOF Swiss Economic Institute. Series KOF "KOF Working Papers". 2012. No. 306.
This study investigates usefulness of business tendency surveys in industrial sector for out-of-sample prediction of growth of industrial production in Russia. A special attention is paid to performance of survey-augmented models during the recent Great Recession 2008/2009. Using the real-time data vintages of the index of industrial production in Russia we conclude that the use ...
Added: April 12, 2013
A Binary Model versus Discriminant Analysis Relating to Corporate Bankruptcies: The Case of Russian Construction Industry
, , Journal of Accounting, Finance and Economics 2013 Vol. 3 No. 1 P. 65-76
The last market crash of 2008-2009 showed that the construction sphere is one of the most fragile subject to the crisis effect. The destructive effect of this crash resulted in substantial decrease in mortgage lending, price index, capital investment, and in growth of the cost level. As the construction industry remains strategically important, the eruption ...
Added: September 5, 2013
Профессиональный стандарт "Специалист по управлению финансовыми рисками": опыт разработки и перспективы применения
, , Экономика и управление: проблемы, решения 2016 Т. 2 № 8 С. 247-252
Под эгидой Гильдии финансовых аналитиков и риск-менеджеров и Русского общества управления рисками разработан новый профессиональный стандарт «Специалист по управлению финансовыми рисками», который предназначен для оценки квалификации риск-менеджеров. В статье описываются предпосылки создания и краткое содержание стандарта с целью его популяризации. ...
Added: September 5, 2016
Oxford Abstracts, 2021
Recovering from Covid: Responsible Management and Reshaping the Economy In 2021, the 35th Conference and 2nd BAM Conference in the Cloud, will critically engage with the socio-economic recovery from the global Covid-19 pandemic. Consumers, producers, frontline workers, managers, businesses, public and third sector organisations all have their own roles and responsibilities in transforming our marketised society for the post-pandemic world. We will critically explore the challenges we all face, aiming to ...
Added: June 12, 2021
, , Проблемы теории и практики управления 2014 № 12 С. 89-96
In this article is conducted research of the mechanism of selection of venture innovative projects. We studied the factors, which influence a choice of business angels. The purpose of work was to receive an advanced system of estimation of projects. On the basis of the survey it is possible to say that the financing of ...
Added: December 8, 2014
, , , Энергия: экономика, техника, экология 2012 № 5 С. 37-39
The article discusses the potential role of Russia in global carbon markets, prospects and opportunities for national businesses in greenhouse gas emission reduction ...
Added: July 20, 2016
, , , Вестник АКСОР 2017 Т. 43 № 3-4 С. 71-78
In this article we consider the issues of preparing statistical data for using in applied macroeconomic models, based on balance equalities. We propose a description of every macroeconomic agent, which consists of four balances of different kind. The described construction is filled with statistical data, which describes the condition of main sectors of Russian economy, ...
Added: November 26, 2017
Развитие ресурсных центров Ямало-Ненецкого автономного округа, специализирующихся на добыче углеводородов
, , Инновации 2016 № 1 С. 79-84
Предмет/тема. В статье показано, что основной проблемой социально-экономического развития монопрофильных городов Ямало-Ненецкого автономного округа является узкая специализация хозяйства, основанная на эксплуатации нефтегазовых ресурсов. Методология. Методологической базой для достижения поставленных в статье целей выступают системный подход и статистические методы анализа. Результаты. Исследование проведено на примере городов Ноябрьск, Муравленко, Губкинский, являющиеся центрами добычи углеводородов. В исследуемых городах ...
Added: October 19, 2016
, Население и экономика 2018 Т. 2 № 4 С. 47-84
Статья посвящена анализу масштабов и видов социальной активности пожилых россиян. Актуальность данной проблемы обусловлена масштабами демографического старения, ставшего уже предметом целенаправленной социальной политики в России и странах мира. Реализуя Международный план действий по проблемам старения, в частности, в рамках Стратегии действий в интересах граждан старшего поколения в Российской Федерации до 2025 г., важно понимать, насколько сейчас ...
Added: October 30, 2019
, , , Problems of Economic Transition 2010 Vol. 53 No. 3 P. 69-95
The article considers different approaches, all based on detailed statistical data, to determine which industries and commodities have high, medium, or low sensitivity to exchange rate fluctuations. The authors conclude that any exchange rate policy is an inappropriate tool to influence the structure of Russian economy. ...
Added: April 12, 2013
, , , Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja 2022 Vol. 35 No. 1 P. 122-142
This article contributes to the development of contestable market theory by investigating how competitiveness in the eSports industry influences the size of this industry, as measured by the volume of monetary prizes. We use data on each gamer's prize earnings for each tournament from 1999 to 2015 to estimate panel vector autoregression (VAR) model with ...
Added: April 22, 2021