Monetary regime choice and optimal rationing of credit at official rate: the case of Russia
Economics/EC. WP BRP. Высшая школа экономики , 2015. No. WP BRP 103/EC/2015.
Stabilizing monetary policy in small open economy is constrained by the open economy trilemma. In a crisis this constraint may not allow Central Bank to cut interest rate because it may cause huge capital flight and subsequent problems. In this paper we investigate whether performed by Central Bank rationing of credit at official rate may soften open economy trilemma constraint and improve results of monetary policy for different monetary regimes. We construct the DSGE model appropriate for analyzing forward-looking behavior of households facing nonzero probability of credit rationing at official rate. Simulation of estimated on Russian data model and welfare optimization exercises allow to make contribution to the question of optimal monetary regime choice and to analyze the role of credit rationing for different monetary regimes. We have found significant credit rationing in quarterly Russian data of 2001-2014. The shares of liquidity constrained (non-Ricardian) household and probability of rationing credit at official rate are estimated as 22% and 66% respectively. Welfare maximization exercises reveal tradeoff between low-inflation and high-welfare solutions and witness in favor of floating exchange rate regime. Researching of credit rationing at official rate gives mixed result. On the one hand we have found optimal value of probability of rationing credit at official rate in both exchange rate-based and Taylor rule-based models. On the other hand resulting improvement in welfare is very small.
, International Economic Journal 2018 Vol. 32 No. 4 P. 631-668
Stabilizing monetary policy in a small open economy is constrained by the open economy trilemma. In this paper we investigate whether foreign exchange market interventions and the Central Bank’s credit rationing at the official rate (CROR) may soften this constraint and improve the results of monetary policy for different monetary regimes. We construct a DSGE ...
Added: November 5, 2018
, Прикладная эконометрика 2014 Т. 36 № 4 С. 3-31
This paper presents a three-sector DSGE model for a small open economy under the intermediate exchange rate regime. The central bank balance sheet equations are added to allow introducing two different monetary policy rules in the model. The principal question is how many independent monetary policy rules do we need to describe Russian monetary policy ...
Added: October 10, 2014
, Журнал Новой экономической ассоциации 2015 Т. 26 № 2 С. 64-98
Optimization of coefficients in monetary policy rules is performed on the base of the DSGE-model with two independent monetary policy instruments estimated on the Russian data. It was found that welfare maximizing policy rules lead to inadequate result and pro-cyclical monetary policy. Optimal coefficients in Taylor rule and exchange rate rule allow decreasing about 20% ...
Added: October 10, 2014
, Журнал Новой экономической ассоциации 2017 Т. 33 № 1 С. 75-115
In the paper DSGE model is estimated with two independent monetary instruments and limited ability to perform intertemporal optimization of households’ consumption. The model is estimated on the Russian data of 2001— 2014 for revealing two-dimensional monetary policy shocks: foreign exchange rate shocks and interest rate shocks. The estimation takes into account structural break in ...
Added: May 24, 2017
, Russia's Water Resources 2030: Policy Recommendations / National Research University Higher School of Economics. Series WP BRP "Basic research program". 2015. No. 44.
The Foresight study presented in this paper is devoted to the sustainable use of water resources in Russia. The authors analyse possible trajectories of development in the three thematic areas (i) sustainability of water systems; (ii) water use by households and in industry; and (iii) new water products and services. The Foresight methods cover expert interviews ...
Added: August 31, 2015
State-controlled "national champions" of the Russian banking market: Concentration, competitiveness, and efficiency
, State-controlled "national champions" of the Russian banking market: Concentration, competitiveness, and efficiency / Social Science Research Network. Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2013. No. 2223686.
This paper tries to assess some of the effects from industrial policy of growing state-controlled "national champions" in the Russian banking industry. We look at market concentration and competitiveness and average bank efficiency. A modified method of calculating the indicators of market concentration suggests that main segments of the market have crossed the threshold of high ...
Added: February 25, 2013
М. : Русский сувенир, 2009
В коллективном исследовании особое внимание уделяется важнейшим элементам экономической безопасности, значение которых в сегодняшнем мире постоянно растёт. Вместе с ними рассмотрен комплекс социальных, правовых, экологических и иных проблем, в совокупности составляющих то, что можно назвать невоенными аспектами национальной и международной безопасности. ...
Added: April 13, 2013
Exports-performance relationship in Russian manufacturing companies: Does foreign ownership play an enhancing role?
, , Baltic Journal of Management 2018 Vol. 13 No. 1 P. 20-40
Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to examine the relationship between export activity and firm performance for a positive impact of foreign direct investments. We also analyse two possible causes of the effect: technology transfer and financial support. The theoretical background is rooted in the resource-based approach taking into account multinational companies’ perspective ...
Added: October 15, 2016
, , , Вестник международных организаций: образование, наука, новая экономика 2018 Т. 13 № 3 С. 97-112
The paper focuses on the development trends of the transport infrastructure of Eurasia in the context of the economic and political integration of the countries at this continent. Leading states of the Asia-Pacific region (APR) made proposals on large-scale infrastructure projects in the Eurasian space after financial crisis 2008–2009. Russia is extremely interested in integrating ...
Added: November 22, 2018
, International Journal of Culture,Tourism and Hospitality Research 2013 Vol. 7 No. 1 P. 3-10
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to introduce findings of comparative analysis and various models based on cultural heritage resources to foster regional development. Design/methodology/approach – Comparison of operational schemes, market positions and branding of three successful cultural heritage centers in Germany, Great Britain and Russia demonstrates a variety of regional development models based ...
Added: October 22, 2013
, Are Interregional Wage Differentials in Russia Compensative? / DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research. Series 750 "Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin". 2007. No. 750.
Interregional differentials in nominal wages in the Russian Federation are huge compared to other countries. Using the NOBUS micro-data and a methodology based on the estimation of the wage equation augmented by aggregate regional characteristics, we show that these differentials have a compensative nature. Russian workers receive wage compensations for living in regions with a ...
Added: October 29, 2012
, , , Problems of Economic Transition 2010 Vol. 53 No. 3 P. 69-95
The article considers different approaches, all based on detailed statistical data, to determine which industries and commodities have high, medium, or low sensitivity to exchange rate fluctuations. The authors conclude that any exchange rate policy is an inappropriate tool to influence the structure of Russian economy. ...
Added: April 12, 2013
, , М. : Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2017
В аналитическом докладе представлены результаты форсайт-проекта «Исследование глобальных вызовов и долгосрочных тенденций инновационного развития в сфере возобновляемых источников энергии», проведенного ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ при информационной и финансовой поддержке Группы компаний «Ренова». Исследование было сфокусировано на трех тематических областях: преобразование энергии солнца в электрическую; преобразование энергии ветра в электрическую; преобразование энергетической биомассы в тепловую и электрическую энергию. ...
Added: April 4, 2017
Global challenges and trends in agriculture: impacts on Russia and possible strategies for adaptation
, , Foresight 2017 Vol. 19 No. 2 P. 218-250
Purpose – This paper aims to analyse the mainstream and emerging global challenges and trends in the global agriculture sector. The analysis leads to a discussion on the present state of the Russian agroindustry and possible future strategies for adaptation in the context of the rapidly changing global environment. Design/methodology/approach – The design of this study is based on the ...
Added: June 23, 2017
Ownership Dynamics and Firm Performance in an Emerging Economy: A Meta-Analysis of the Russian Literature
, , , Ownership Dynamics and Firm Performance in an Emerging Economy: A Meta-Analysis of the Russian Literature / . 2017. No. 65.
This paper provides a meta-analysis of studies on the effect of ownership on the performance of Russian firms over 20 years of rapid institutional and economic changes. We review 29 studies extracted from the EconLit and Web of Science databases with a total of 877 relevant estimates. We find that the government negatively affects company ...
Added: January 12, 2017
Концепция «продовольственных режимов» как модель объяснения стратегий аграрного развития (на примере России и Бразилии)
, , et al., Вестник Российского университета дружбы народов. Серия: Социология 2019 Т. 19 № 2 С. 261-276
The ‘food regime’ approach was introduced as a historical method of “incorporated comparison” (P. McMichael). This comparison of the role of agriculture in the world-system made some scholars overemphasize an excessively unitary and coherent global food regime. The authors recognize this approach as a historical-comparative analytical tool to understand global trends, but argue that the Russian and Brazilian agrarian ...
Added: June 24, 2019
, The Interaction of Grassroots Communities and Local Authorities in Russia / Высшая школа экономики. Series EC "Economics". 2015. No. 97.
Taking into consideration the underdevelopment of the Russian civil community it is of essential interest to touch upon local communities (known as TOS). Local governments and TOS communities could provide similar services and as such cooperate or compete with each other. Community initiatives could supplant poorly performing government services, or governments could outsource to communities ...
Added: July 28, 2015
, , Post-Soviet Affairs 2018 Vol. 34 No. 6 P. 412-429
This study seeks to discuss the survivability of charitable NGOs in Russia without foreign funding. We use cross-section data from a quantitative household survey conducted in April 2016 to investigate common giving patterns of Russians. Using statistic and regression analysis, we explore causes of donations and individual and social attributes of charitable giving in general ...
Added: October 5, 2018
, , , Russian Management Journal 2020 Vol. 18 No. 2 P. 217-234
Wage adjustments for employees are a reactive mechanism to changing market conditions and form a significant part of pay policy. Though various attempts to explore wage levels and wage differentials have been made, wage adjustment policies remain an understudied topic. This paper analyses the determinants of wage adjustments based on data from Russian companies 2015–2017. ...
Added: July 28, 2020
Copula-Application To Modelling Russian Banking System Capital Adequacy According to Basel II IRB-Approach
, , Model Assisted Statistics and Applications 2012 Vol. 7 No. 4 P. 267-280
According to the strategy of the banking system development until 2015, the Central Bank of Russia is going to implement Basel II Internal-Ratings-Based (IRB) approaches in 2015, while Basel III is planned to be introduced in full starting from 2019. Taking into account the effects of the Basel II regulation during the crisis 2008-2009, in ...
Added: November 6, 2012
, Russian Journal of Economics 2016 Vol. 2 No. 3 P. 302-326
Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, its successor states have suffered from cyclical currency crises. The most recent episode of 2014–2016 was caused by a combination of external and domestic factors. The former include tighter US monetary policy, slower global growth, and declining commodity prices, whereas the latter include the former Soviet Union (FSU) ...
Added: October 27, 2016
, , , Foresight 2017 Vol. 19 No. 5 P. 528-540
Purpose – The purpose of the study is to show the technical potentials of a variety of renewable energy sources in Russia, as well as benefits from their deployment including hydrocarbon savings, emission reduction and lower energy cost. Design/methodology/approach – In the paper, Russia is compared with other countries in terms of actual installed capacity ...
Added: September 25, 2017
, , , Foresight 2017 Vol. 19 No. 5 P. 511-527
Purpose This study aims to assess future prospects for Russian energy exports until 2040, as global energy markets are undergoing major changes, with possible impacts on Russia. Design/methodology/approach Qualitative and quantitative approaches are integrated under a proposed foresight framework. The qualitative method involves an expert survey aimed at identifying major energy trends and their influence on ...
Added: October 3, 2017
, , , Foresight 2017 Vol. 19 No. 3 P. 291-305
Purpose – This paper aims to describe and discuss the architecture of Russia’s Technology Foresight System (TFS). This paper introduces the reader to the integration of the TFS into the public administration system and, specifically, into the national strategic planning system. Design/methodology/approach – To do so, the authors fall back on more than 10 years of ...
Added: June 22, 2017