New Materials: The Case of Carbon Fibres
Rapid growth of the new materials sector represents one of the most promising scientific and technological trends on which depends the growth of key sectors of the national economy. This paper focuses on Foresight for the field of new materials and gives special consideration to the case study of prospects of carbon fibres, which is one of the most promising areas of new materials. We suggest using roadmapping as a final stage of Foresight. Integrated roadmapping represents a combination of desk research, expert procedures, and scenario development. It provides a comprehensive approach to the strategic development of the subject area within the unique time scale, containing indicators of the quantifying economic effectiveness of the potentially prospective technologies and products that possess high demand potential and attractive consumer properties.
The goal of this paper is to apply foresight methodology to the area of nanotechnologies and new materials within the framework of Russian S&T Foresight 2030 aimed at revelation major trends, most promising products and technologies.
To achieve this goal best international practice was analyzed that provided a solid basis for Russian S&T Foresight 2030 (section ‘Nanotechnology and new materials’). The study used a wide range of advanced Foresight methods adapted to Russian circumstances. During the foresight study we integrated “market pull” and research “technology push” approaches including both traditional methods (priority-setting, roadmaps, global challenges analysis), and relatively new approaches (horizon scanning, weak signals, wild cards, etc.).
Using the methods of the Foresight we identified trends with the greatest impact on the sphere of nanotechnology and new materials, promising markets, product groups, and potential areas of demand for Russian innovation technologies and developments in this field. We assessed the state-of-the-art of the domestic research in the area of nanotechnologies and new materials to identify “blank spots”, as well as parity zone and leadership, which can be the basis for integration into international alliances and positioning of Russia as a center of global technological development in this field.
The results of applying foresight methodology towards revelation of the most prospective S&T areas in the field of nanotechnologies and new materials can be used by a variety of stakeholders including federal and regional authorities, technology platforms and innovation and industrial clusters, leading universities and scientific organizations in formulation their research and strategic agenda. Russian business including both large companies and SMEs can use results of the study in creating their strategic R&D programs and finding appropriate partners.
AMT 2013 is the most comprehensive conference focused on the various aspects of advances in Advanced Measurement and Test. The conference provides a chance for academic and industry professionals to discuss recent progress in the area of Advanced Measurement and Test. The goal of AMT2013 is to bring together the researchers from academia and industry as well as practitioners to share ideas, problems and solutions relating to the multifaceted aspects of Advanced Measurement and Test.