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Regular version of the site

Book chapter

Methodology of model structure choice in logistic modelling

P. 327-332.
Чуваков Д. М., Polyakov K. L.

The methodology, used in this research, allow to identify the structure of non-linear connections in the models of statistical interconnections. The empirical base of research is the reasons for revoking of licenses of Russian banks from 01.2013 to 12.2015 in two groups — due to economic reasons and laundering of money. Models of binary choice for the forecast of revoking licenses were built with the help of the fractional polynomial regression. Models were built for above-mentioned groups. Each model contains financial and social variables. The latter have been got with the help of networks theory from banks relationship analysis.