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## Measuring Uncertainty for Interval Belief Structures and its Application for Analyzing Weather Forecasts

P. 273-285.

Bronevich A., Spiridenkova N.

While analyzing statistical data we face with a problem of modeling uncertainty. One among well justified models is based on belief structures that allow us to describe imprecision and conflict in information. We use this model for analyzing contradiction in weather forecasts. For this aim we build several measures of contradiction based on the introduced imprecision index and the disjunctive aggregation rule for interval belief structures. We use these characteristics for analyzing weather forecasts.