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Имитационное моделирование и инструментарий принятия решений в процедурах формирования сценариев развития промышленной территории
С. 223-228.
Lychkina N. N., Громова А. А.
This article describes the tools for analysis scientific-industrial complex of the city, analysis of scenarios of development of industrial areas, sets out the basic parameters of a mathematical model of the balance of interests.
Keywords: имитационное моделирование системная динамикабаланс интересовagent-based modelingcitysimulation modelingагентное моделированиесистемы поддержки принятия решений для органов государственной властигородская системаsystem dynamicsdecision support systems for governmentscientific and industrial powerful complex of cityanalytical monitoringbalans of interestнаучно-промышленный комплекс
In book
М. : Издательство СПбГЭТУ "ЛЭТИ", 2015
Lychkina N. N., В кн. : Системный анализ в экономике – 2014. Том 1/ Материалы III Международной научно-практической конференции «Системный анализ в экономике – 2014». Москва, 13-14 ноября 2014 г./ Под общей ред. чл.-корр. РАН Г.Б. Клейнера – М.: ЦЭМИ РАН, 2015. – 238 стр. Т. 1.: М. : ЦЭМИ РАН, 2015. С. 198-202.
The report considers the basic methods of simulation of socio-economic systems and processes such as system dynamics and multi-agent-based computer simulation, their possibilities in studying the dynamic aspects of the processes of strategic development of socio-economic systems. It offers the methods of combining composite system-dynamic and agent-based models, allowing us to investigate the dynamics of ...
Added: December 5, 2015
Akopov A. S., Beklaryan A., Saghatelyan A. K. et al., Business Informatics 2016 No. 2(36) P. 71-78
The article examines a system for controlling the ecological modernization dynamics of enterprises developed with the help of simulation modelling methods and implemented using the example of the Republic of Armenia (RA). The system has been developed for strategic decision-making directed at modernization of enterprises of RA, their transformation from an initial non-ecological state towards ...
Added: July 1, 2016
Kondratyev M., Ивановский Р. И., В кн. : Проблема комплексного обеспечения информационной безопасности и совершенствование образовательных технологий подготовки специалистов силовых структур. Межвузовский сборник трудов III Всероссийской научно-технической конференции ИКВО НИУ ИТМО. : СПб. : НИУ ИТМО, 2013. С. 91-94.
Перечислены основные подходы к созданию имитационных моделей сложных объектов в нетехнических областях знаний. Представлены примеры разработанных моделей в логистике, экономике, медицине, социологии. ...
Added: October 31, 2013
Akopov A. S., Beklaryan A., Beklaryan L. A. et al., Journal of machine learning and data analysis 2016 Vol. 2 No. 1 P. 104-115
In the article, actual problems of modeling of ecologic-economic systems on the example of the Republic of Armenia (RA) are considered. Based on methods of agent modeling and system dynamics the simulation model of ecological-economic system, which has allowed constructing the RA Ecological Map was created. The important purpose of the offered approach is search ...
Added: August 23, 2016
Katalevsky D., М. : Издательский дом «Дело» РАНХиГС, 2015
В основу данного учебного пособия легли материалы лекций по имитационному моделированию и управлению сложными системами, прочитанные автором в МГУ имени М.В. Ломоносова. В пособии рассматриваются основы принятия управленческих решений в динамически сложной среде, феномены контринтуитивного и «возникающего» поведения систем. Последовательное изучение материала позволяет сформировать навыки системного мышления. В работе предлагается современный инструментарий, необходимый сегодняшним специалистам по ...
Added: January 10, 2017
Lychkina N. N., В кн. : Седьмая Всероссийская научно-практическая конференция "Имитационное моделирование. Теория и практика" (ИММОД-2015). Труды конференции. Т. 2.: М. : [б.и.], 2015. С. 168-173.
Рассмотрены основные методы имитационного моделирования социально-экономических систем и процессов: системная динамика и много-агентное компьютерное моделирование, их возможности в исследовании динамических аспектов процессов стратегического развития социально-экономических систем. Предложены методы композитного сочетания системно-динамических и агентных моделей, позволяющие исследовать динамику социально-экономических процессов посредством циклической взаимосвязи процессов индивидуального и группового поведения экономических и социальных агентов на микроуровне с базовыми ...
Added: November 1, 2015
Belousov F., Вестник Воронежского государственного университета инженерных технологий 2018 Т. 80 № 1 С. 288-297
The current work is devoted to study of interrelations of the obtained time series by means of econometric and wavelet analysis. At the first stage of this study, econometric analysis was conducted, regression was constructed. In the regression influence of the number of nomads and the amount of resource on the number of plowmen was studied. The ...
Added: June 2, 2018
Akopov A. S., Khachatryan N., ЦЭМИ РАН, 2016
В настоящем учебно-методическом пособии изучаются методы агентного моделирования, эконометрического анализа и искусственного интеллекта с использованием системы AnyLogic. Для студентов высших учебных заведений, обучающихся по экономическим направлениям и специальностям. ...
Added: February 1, 2017
Lychkina N. N., Morozova Y. A., , in : SAI Intelligent Systems Conference 2015 (IntelliSys 2015). : L. : IEEE, 2015. P. 857-862.
The article deals with the set of simulation models of the pension system of the Russian Federation designed to support government decision-making in the pension field. The set of models is realized on the basis of the composite combination of methods of system dynamics and agent-based modeling and allows you to explore the dynamics of ...
Added: September 22, 2015
Lychkina N. N., , in : Systems approach and cybernetics, directed towards the future of mankind. Collection of materials of the 18th Congress WOSC2021 “Systems approach and cybernetics, directed to the future of mankind”. : M. : Cogito-Centre–IPRAS Publishing House, 2021. P. 153-154.
Added: October 12, 2021
Belousov F., Экономика и математические методы 2018 Т. 54 № 4 С. 124-131
In the article (Belousov F.A., 2017), the model with the simplest social structure was built and studied. In the model agents are divided into two types - nomads and plowmen, each of which is distinguished by its attitude to the method of production of the product. If plowmen can independently reproduce product, then nomads are ...
Added: March 1, 2019
Морозова Ю. А., РИСК: Ресурсы, информация, снабжение, конкуренция 2011 № 4 С. 566-574
В статье описываются инструментальные средства информационно-аналитической поддержки принятия государственных решений в пенсионной сфере на основе комплекса имитационных моделей. Комплекс реализован на основе методов системной динамики и агентного моделирования. ...
Added: October 4, 2014
Beklaryan A., Вестник Тамбовского университета. Серия: Естественные и технические науки 2015 Т. 20 № 4 С. 851-856
Continuous stochastic agent-based model of human behavior in a confined space with a given geometry is presented in the paper. An “exit front” is defined, also the flow characteristics of agents is studied, in particular, its intensity. ...
Added: September 15, 2015
Zakhodiakin G., Gobedzhishvili K. A., Логистика и управление цепями поставок 2019 № 3 (92) С. 54-62
Russian mining industry experiences a rapid growth providing an attractive market for suppliers of mining equipment. However, it's a customer-dominated market. The customers set stringent requirements for the initial equipment supply, as well as for the after-sale service and spare parts supply. The manufacturers of mining equipment are thus facing the need to rigorously analyze ...
Added: August 7, 2019
Lychkina N. N., Логистика и управление цепями поставок 2018 № 6(89) С. 137-152
This article explores the possibilities of modern simulation modeling in the tasks of design and supply chain modeling as systems with structural and dynamic complexity, the study of which should be carried out taking into account multiple risk factors and uncertainties, considering and evaluating the efficiency, dynamism, flexibility and adaptability of the SC based on ...
Added: February 2, 2019
Akopov A. S., Beklaryan L., Automation and Remote Control 2015 Vol. 76 No. 10 P. 1817-1827
An agent model of crowd (ensemble) behavior in emergencies was presented. This model is distinguished for the allowance for dynamics of each agent from the ensemble under consideration. The crowd effect manifests itself mostly as attraction or repulsion of closely set agents with a probability depending on the agent’s psychological type. Consideration was given to ...
Added: October 24, 2015
Lychkina N. N., , in : World Organization of Systems and Cybernetics 18. Congress-WOSC2021: Systems Approach and Cybernetics: Engaging for the Future of Mankind. Vol. 495.: Springer, 2022. Ch. III. P. 191-204.
Purpose
The goal of this research is to demonstrate model designs and approaches based on using modern paradigms and technological solutions in the field of simulation modeling of socio-economic processes and social forecasting that allow us to study complex dynamic occurrences in the development of socio-economic systems.
Strategic management of socio-economic system involves the analysis of structural ...
Added: October 31, 2021
Akopov A. S., Beklaryan A., В кн. : Устойчивость и процессы управления: Материалы III международной конференции (Санкт-Петербург, 5-9 октября 2015 г.). : СПб. : Издательский дом Федоровой Г.В., 2015. С. 401-403.
Actual challenges of the ecological-economic system for the case study of the Republic of Armenia (RA) are considered in the paper. The simulation of the ecological-economic system based on methods of the agent-based modelling and the system-dynamics, which allowed designing the Ecological Map of RA, was created. The important purpose of the suggested approach is ...
Added: October 14, 2015
Belousov F., Вестник ЦЭМИ 2018 № 4
The article is devoted to the study of the evolution of civilization with two social classes ("nomads" and "tillers"), and, accordingly, with two different methods of production. Such models can be a useful tool for studying social and economic history. ...
Added: February 12, 2019
А. С. Акопов, Бекларян Л. А., А. Л. Бекларян et al., Компьютерные исследования и моделирование 2014 Т. 6 № 4 С. 621-631
This article presents an integrated dynamic model of eco-economic system of the Republic of Armenia (RA). This model is constructed using system dynamics methods, which allow to consider the major feedback related to key characteristics of eco-economic system. Such model is a two-objective optimization problem where as target functions the level of air pollution and ...
Added: September 17, 2014
Beklaryan A., Akopov A. S., Бизнес-информатика 2015 № 1(31) С. 69-77
Development of a phenomenological approach to simulation of the human crowd behavior, proposed in [1], is presented in the paper. We consider continuous stochastic agent-based model of human behavior in a confined space with a given geometry using clarifications on a status of an agent and decision-making system of an agent, presented in Helbing’s models ...
Added: April 28, 2015
Beklaryan L., Akopov Andranik, Beklaryan Armen et al., , in : Тезисы докладов 11-й конференции Интеллектуализация обработки информации. : М. : Торус Пресс, 2016. P. 189-189.
Actual problems of modeling of ecologic-economic systems on the example of the Republic of Armenia (RA) are considered. ...
Added: April 1, 2017
Akopov A. S., Beklaryan A., Бекларян Л. А. et al., Экономическая наука современной России 2016 Т. 72 № 1 С. 109-119
Actual challenges of the ecological-economic system for the case study of the Republic of Armenia (RA) are considered in the paper. The simulation of the ecological-economic system based on methods of the agent-based modelling and the system-dynamics, which allowed designing the Ecological Map of RA, was created. The important purpose of the suggested approach is ...
Added: May 19, 2016
Lychkina N. N., В кн. : Системный анализ в экономике – 2016: сборник трудов IV Международной научно-практической конференции. Т. 1.: М. : Издательство Финансового университета, 2016. С. 201-206.
The report considers the basic methods of simulation of socio-economic systems and processes such as system dynamics and multi-agent-based computer simulation, their possibilities in studying the dynamic aspects of the processes of strategic development of socio-economic systems. It offers the methods of combining composite system-dynamic and agent-based models, allowing us to investigate the dynamics of ...
Added: February 25, 2017