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Стратификация и инструментальная реализация модельного комплекса пенсионной системы РФ
С. 24-26.
Lychkina N. N., Морозова Ю. А.
Lychkina N. N., , in : World Organization of Systems and Cybernetics 18. Congress-WOSC2021: Systems Approach and Cybernetics: Engaging for the Future of Mankind. Vol. 495.: Springer, 2022. Ch. III. P. 191-204.
Purpose
The goal of this research is to demonstrate model designs and approaches based on using modern paradigms and technological solutions in the field of simulation modeling of socio-economic processes and social forecasting that allow us to study complex dynamic occurrences in the development of socio-economic systems.
Strategic management of socio-economic system involves the analysis of structural ...
Added: October 31, 2021
Lychkina N. N., Morozova Y. A., , in : Proceeding of the 32nd International Conference of the System Dynamics Society. : NY : System Dynamics Society, 2014. P. 83.
The article considers the structural and dynamic aspects of the pension system development processes and information and analytical support of government decision making in the pension sphere using a set of simulation models. The set is developed using system dynamics methods and agent-based modeling. ...
Added: October 27, 2014
Akopov A. S., Beklaryan A., В кн. : Устойчивость и процессы управления: Материалы III международной конференции (Санкт-Петербург, 5-9 октября 2015 г.). : СПб. : Издательский дом Федоровой Г.В., 2015. С. 401-403.
Actual challenges of the ecological-economic system for the case study of the Republic of Armenia (RA) are considered in the paper. The simulation of the ecological-economic system based on methods of the agent-based modelling and the system-dynamics, which allowed designing the Ecological Map of RA, was created. The important purpose of the suggested approach is ...
Added: October 14, 2015
Akopov A. S., Аудит и финансовый анализ 2011 № 5 С. 86-92
In this work is presented a new approach to the designing of intelligent systems of the control of the shareholder value for the vertical-integrated Financial Corporation (VIFK). Developed system based on using of system-dynamics methods for the simulation of the synergic interaction between different business directions of VIFK for the target of shareholder value maximization. ...
Added: September 20, 2012
Lyashok V., Назаров В. С., Дормидонтова Ю. А., Журнал Новой экономической ассоциации 2014 № 4 С. 66-86
In recent years the problem of the increased number of pensioners and longer lifespan made motivation of elderly to work longer and retire later a very important objective in Russia. This article presents the results of the analysis of the factors that influence elderly's decision to retiree. For the purpose of this article the retirement ...
Added: January 20, 2015
Sinyavskaya O., В кн. : Российская экономика: настоящее и перспективы после реформ. Курс лекций. : М. : Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2019. Гл. 7. С. 176-229.
В главе дается обзор ключевых показателей пенсионного обеспечения, характеризуются основные вызовы и тенденции пенсионных реформ в мире и в России и анализируется российский опыт пенсионных реформ с 2002 по 2018 гг. ...
Added: October 22, 2019
Морозова Ю. А., В кн. : Тезисы докладов 15-го Всероссийского студенческого семинара «Проблемы управления». : М. : ГУУ, 2007. С. 168-169.
Работа посвящена разработке имитационной модели системы пенсионного обеспечения Российской Федерации и ее реализации в среде имитационного моделирования Vensim. ...
Added: February 27, 2015
Lyashok V., / НИУ ВШЭ. Series WP BRP Series "Public and Social Policy". 2019. No. 22/PSP/2019.
This paper examines the impact of the 34% increase in pensions in Russia at the end of 2009 and the beginning of 2010 on the labor market participation of pensioners. Several particular features of the pension system in Russia allow us to estimate the net effect of income from such a reform. For evaluation, we ...
Added: August 8, 2019
Sinyavskaya O., В кн. : Россия-2015. Ежегодный доклад Франко-российского аналитического центра Обсерво. : М. : Обсерво, Издательский дом ООО "Новый век медиа", 2015. С. 109-120.
С 1 января 2015 года в России началась новая пенсионная реформа. Ее предшественница "продержалась" всего 13 лет. Правила новой реформы до сих пор не до конца ясны, но уже сейчас можно очевидно, что она не будет последней. Введенные с 2015 года изменения почти не позволяют ответить на внешние вызовы пенсионной системе, решают лишь часть внутренних ...
Added: September 21, 2015
Inna F. Deviatko, , in : The Digital Divide: The Internet and Social Inequality in International Perspective. : L., NY : Routledge, 2013. P. 118-133.
This chapter addresses major dimensions of Internet-related inequalities in contemporary Russia including relevant regional, urban/rural, income, gender, occupation and age-related predictive variables commonly used in order to operationalize differences in socioeconomic positions of individuals and families and, correspondingly, in their access to the Internet. The analysis is based on multiple data sources – from 2007-2010 ...
Added: July 12, 2013
Морозова Ю. А., В кн. : Сборник докладов Четвертой Всероссийской научно-практической конференции по имитационному моделированию и его применению в науке и промышленности «ИММОД-2009». Т. 2.: СПб. : ОАО "Центр технологии и судостроения", 2009. С. 319-321.
The article describes simulation model of pension system that can be embedded into decision support system in sphere of provision of pension. ...
Added: February 27, 2015
Зуйков К. А., Управление проектами и программами 2015 № 1 С. 6-14
The paper is devoted to programme dynamics model development by the example of the transformational change programme. A theoretical model has been developed inclusive of state equations of an organisation in which a programme is performed together with state equations of a programme itself and programme stakeholders activity that influences its execution dynamics. An approach ...
Added: October 20, 2015
Andreev M., Финансы и кредит 2013 № 48 (576) С. 25-35
This article presents a forecast of the main balance sheet accounts for private pension funds: retirement savings, pension reserves, owned capital. The forecast is based on the funds inflow trends for obligatory pension insurance and nongovernmental pension benefits. We have found that the PPFs’ balance sheet will grow rapidly (in terms of GDP) in the ...
Added: December 25, 2013
Karabchuk T., Soboleva N., Pereboev V. S., Евразийская экономическая интеграция 2014 Т. 3 № 24 С. 5-24
The article addresses the issues of cross-border transfer of pension rights within the space of six countries: Russia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, being members of the Customs Union and the SES, as well as Kyrgyzstan, Armenia and Tajikistan, integrating within the framework of the CU - SES and the Eurasian Economic Union being formed. The paper is ...
Added: October 17, 2014
Mkhitarian V., Михайлова С. С., Вопросы статистики 2014 № 6 С. 37-43
In the article the factors having impact on a state and development of the pension system of the country are defined. The analysis of structure and dynamics of the income of the state pension fund, including distribution of contributions to mandatory pension insurance on subjects of the Russian Federation is carried out. Multidimensional classification of ...
Added: December 19, 2014
Морозова Ю. А., В кн. : Сборник материалов 25-й Всероссийской научной конференции молодых ученых «Реформы в России и проблемы управления». : М. : ГУУ, 2010. С. 166-169.
В данной работе рассматриваются инструментальные средства моделирования систем и методологические подходы к формированию стратифицированного описания моделей сложных систем в гетерогенной информационно-аналитической среде. Под стратифицированным описанием понимается описание, отражающее различные функциональные разрезы, аспекты, проявления социально-экономической системы, позволяющее сформировать ее обобщенную модель. ...
Added: February 27, 2015
Lychkina N. N., , in : Systems approach and cybernetics, directed towards the future of mankind. Collection of materials of the 18th Congress WOSC2021 “Systems approach and cybernetics, directed to the future of mankind”. : M. : Cogito-Centre–IPRAS Publishing House, 2021. P. 153-154.
Added: October 12, 2021
Синявская О.В., Омельчук Т. Г., SPERO. Социальная политика: экспертиза, рекомендации, обзоры 2014 № 19 С. 7-30
Ageing of population is a main challenge to the Russian pension system for coming decades. To what extent changing of parameters of demographic development - various rates of life expectancy growth, birth and migration rates will impact the finances of pension system? Authors answer this question using the analysis of forecasted dynamics of pension benefits ...
Added: October 5, 2014
Морозова Ю. А., Lychkina N. N., Вестник Университета (Государственный университет управления) 2011 № 15 С. 187-192
Разработаны динамические имитационные модели пенсионной системы РФ на основе сочетания методов системной динамики и многоагентного моделирования, с применением высокотехнологичных решений имитационного моделирования, позволяющие проигрывать сценарии развития пенсионной системы в долгосрочной перспективе. ...
Added: September 23, 2013
А. С. Акопов, Бекларян Л. А., А. Л. Бекларян et al., Компьютерные исследования и моделирование 2014 Т. 6 № 4 С. 621-631
This article presents an integrated dynamic model of eco-economic system of the Republic of Armenia (RA). This model is constructed using system dynamics methods, which allow to consider the major feedback related to key characteristics of eco-economic system. Such model is a two-objective optimization problem where as target functions the level of air pollution and ...
Added: September 17, 2014
Lychkina N. N., , in : Proceedings of the Conference on Modeling and Analysis of Complex Systems and Processes 2021 (MACSPro 2021). : Aachen : CEUR Workshop Proceedings, 2022. Ch. 13.
The article deals with the general principles of construction and architecture of modern cognitive centres to support strategic decision-making on socio-economic development and its basic components based on a generalised simulation model of the socio-economic system, complemented by modern knowledge-oriented cognitive technologies, as well as data analysis and scenario analysis techniques.
Approaches to the construction of ...
Added: February 6, 2022
Nikita Kaspruk, Olga Silyutina, Karepin V., , in : Digital Transformation & Global Society: Second International Conference, DTGS 2017, St. Petersburg, Russia, June 21-23, 2017, Revised Selected Papers. : Springer, 2017. P. 341-346.
In this work in progress, we analyze how perceived hotel value dimensions and the perception of city sights are connected with categories of hotels. Applying a topic modelling algorithm to 21,165 reviews from 201 hotels located in Saint Petersburg, we show that clients of hotels of different categories pay attention to different value dimensions. Analyzing ...
Added: December 2, 2017
Lychkina N. N., , in : Proceeding of the 32nd International Conference of the System Dynamics Society. : NY : System Dynamics Society, 2014. P. 141.
The Russian Chapter announces the Roundtable and Meeting at the Delft SD Conference. Everybody is welcome to meet with members of Russian academic, scientific, and business institutions, which use system dynamics. The meeting is intended as a forum for exchanging opinions and building partnership.
The Russian Chapter of the SDS was formed in 2006 with participation ...
Added: October 27, 2014