Способы оценивания вероятности дефолта банков с использованием эконометрических методов
Though the service sector is growing rapidly in the emerging markets, including Russia, the quality of services is still low in comparison with the developed countries. Thus, organizations should implement strategic services management and create a customer-oriented culture. To analyze the role of customer orientation in the service sector in Russia, banking industry is considered. Based on the data collection of fifty largest banks it is determined that only thirty percent of the sample declares customer orientation as a corporate value. The calculation of corporate value index demonstrated that banks pay less attention to customer focus and more frequently mention effectiveness, trust, teamwork, and openness as the main values. An analysis of required skills and competencies of employees also demonstrated that customer orientation is not one of the main requirements to personnel in Russia.
In the paper some prominent features of a modern financial system are studied using the model of leverage dynamics. Asset securitization is considered as a major factor increasing aggregate debt and hence systems uncertainty and instability. A simple macrofinancial model includes a logistic equation of leverage dynamics that reveals origins of a financial bubble, thus corresponding closely to the Minsky financial instability hypothesis. Using ROA, ROE, and the interest rate as parameters, the model provides wide spectrum of leverage and default probability trajectories for the short and long run.
This is a common practice to analyze company performance based on financial results, linkage to the strategy, or analysis of human resources related indicators, such as productivity, employee engagement, etc.. The recent research, conducted in January – June, 2012 among Russian top banks was directed to measure the influence of publicly declarative corporate values and codes of ethics on performance. Based on the analysis of annual and social reports of Russian banks core corporate values were determined. To numerically quantify corporate values CV – Index (corporate value index) was calculated. The research found out statistically significant evidence that corporate values (CV-Index) positively correlates with net profit of top banks.
These empirical findings suggest that corporate ethics is vital for management of banks in emerging markets.
In article the approach to increase of efficiency of activity of banks at the expense of optimisation of quantity of operators is considered. At the heart of the approach is the mathematical model of activity of the operators, developed on the basis of the theory of mass customer service.
This paper presents a pattern behavioral analysis of 100 largest Russian commercial banks by total assets during an eight- year period: from the first quarter of 1999 to the second quarter of 2007. Bank performance indicators are analyzed. Structural similarities in the development of the banks are examined. A cluster analysis is applied to determine banks with a similar structure of operations. This analysis allows to estimate how the structure of the Russian banking system has been changing over time. In particular, it allows to identify prevailing patterns in the behavior of Russian commercial banks and to analyze the stability of their position in a particular pattern.