The book is devoted to the tendencies of Russian economy, domestic policy, foreign policy and defence policy development in 2012. It also provides forecast for development of the country in 2013.
Le Rapport annuel sur l’état de la Russie (Yearbook) est notre principal projet éditorial. Il présente l’expertise de l’Observatoire sur un large éventail de thématiques — économie, politique intérieure/société, régions, politique étrangère/défense, relations franco-russes. Réunissant les contributions d’une cinquantaine d’auteurs renommés, il offre une photographie analytique complète et opérationnelle de la Russie d’aujourd’hui. Ouvrage de référence, le Rapport de l’Observatoire est présenté chaque année lors du Forum économique international de St-Pétersbourg (SPIEF) et à l’occasion d’un grand colloque franco-russe à Paris.
The crisis of 2008-2009 for Russia, resulted not only in considerable economic dounturn, which threw it back by three years, but also in the obvious destruction of the old economic model. Enormous financial resources spent within the framework of anti-crisis program failed to put the economy back on grouth track. Slow and unsustanable post-crisis recovery, problems in a nomber of sectors of the economy, which obviously became more acute, a conspicuous decrease in the investment activities, the threat of a long-term structural deficit in the federal budget and inconsistency of the balance of payments - this is by far not a complete list of problems the Russian authorities and the Russian society are facing.
The pocket data book contains main indicators characterizing S&T and innovation potential of the Russian Federation, R&D output, main Information Society indices. The data book includes information of the Federal Service for State Statistics, Federal Service for Intellectual Property, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), Euro¬stat, UNESCO, World Intellectual Property Organisation, national statistical services of foreign countries, and results of own methodological and analytical studies of the HSE Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge. In some cases, the presented data specify those published earlier.
The book gives practical guidance for policy makers, analysts and researchers on how to make the most of the potential of Foresight studies. Based on the concept of evidence-based policy-making, Foresight studies are common practice in many countries and are commonly understood as a supportive tool in designing future-oriented strategies. The book outlines approaches and experiences of integrating such Foresight studies in the making and implementation of science, technology and innovation (STI) policies at different national levels. It delivers insights into practical approaches of developing STI policy measures oriented towards future societal and technological challenges based on evidence drawn from comparable policy measures worldwide. Authors from leading academic institutions, international organizations and national governments provide a sound theoretical foundation and framework as well as checklists and guidelines for leveraging the potential impact of STI policies.
The pocket data book contains main indicators characterizing S&T and innovation potential of the Russian Federation. There are the information about intellectual property, S&T output, data of international comparisons given.
The data book includes information of the Federal State Statistics Service, Federal Service for Intellectual Property, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), Eurostat, UNESCO, World Intellectual Property Organisation, national statistical services of foreign countries, and results of own methodological and analytical studies of the HSE Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge.
This book presents recent research developments in social networks, economics, management, marketing and optimization applied to sports. The volume will be of interest to students, researchers, managers from sports, policy makers and as well athletes. In particular the book contains research papers and reviews addressing the following issues: social network tools for player selection, movement and pricing in team sports, methods for ranking teams and evaluating players' performance, economics and marketing issues related to sports clubs, techniques for predicting outcomes of sports competitions, optimal strategies in sports, scheduling and managing sports tournaments, optimal referee assignment techniques and the economics and marketing of sports entertainment.
The book, brought to your notice, takes an intermediate place between monographs and textbooks: on the one hand, it contains the known but stated in an unusual way facts, on the other hand, the author brought his own results corresponding to the field of research. It is already obvious from the title that while reading the book, attention and concentration are required, as it is always necessary when studying books with mathematical contents.
Mathematical models and methods in the economic theory are very various: they are econometrics, the game theory, operation research, nonlinear and chaotic dynamics and many other things. The sections placed by the author in the book do not content even a half of all possible aspects. Therefore, material will be interesting only to those who are already familiar with corresponding tasks and to students of all levels specializing in economic dynamics, in decision-making methods, in forecasting effects of management and in the analysis of interaction of economic agents.
As the most interesting and new models of economic dynamics we will emphasize multidimensional nonlinear systems of the differential equations of Lotka-Volterra type. In the book these models have been constructed and analyzed, scopes of their application and various methods of coefficients identification have been offered for them. On their base, the analysis of the competition between various economic agents, i.e. branches of economy, rival companies and sellers in the market has been made: Another unusual to similar monographs fact has become the inclusion of the theory of differential equations with the retarded argument. In the economic theory there are numerous examples of use of models with discrete time (they also have been given attention here) and with the time lags (concentrated or distributed). Such approach gives more adequate models than without lags, but in the differential equations with continuous time the introduction of delay complicates systems and with the growth of delay the qualitative behavior of trajectories is changed: there appear fluctuations; stability is changed by instability, etc.
As the author belongs to the Petersburg mathematical school and he gave this direction of science more than 35 years, the list of references contains many Russian names which can be unknown to western readers. However, the list also includes the world classical scientists who devoted their works to mathematical methods in economics.
In this monograph an attentive reader will find numerous points for the further analysis which can become a subject of publications or theses. In some cases the text is conducted in a polemic manner – the author is always open for discussions and does not consider himself as "the ultimate truth".
Risk Management approach is an essential part of the project. Large industries and particular companies incorporate RM Culture. Statistics shows, that companies with Project Management (PM) Structure reduce cost ineffectiveness up to 20%. In oil and gas industry PM Risk Analysis (PRMA) has been widely used for the last years. Various models and procedures have been developed to manage projects of different scale. Nonetheless, Offshore Projects (OP) complexity, high uncertainty of technical, financial, market and government factors, as well as different sea conditions, still makes sense to improve general PRMA models according to the oil and gas OP features. Traditional RM tools and techniques are not appropriate to cope with complex projects in the Arctic. Companies will have to modify risk assessment process or look for new methods. The paper suggests OPRMM, where the attempt to implement PM tools and techniques together with mathematical modeling and expert assessment is made and institutional factors are included. Practically, it is founded on the comparison between offshore field development in the Barents Sea and the Kara Sea. The reason for research is debates around future Arctic oil and gas projects and their commercial potential. Several large projects with participation of major international companies in the Barents Sea and the prospectivity of the Kara Sea Projects in conditions of technology difficulties are under discussion and have not reached the investment project phase yet. OPRMM starts with identifying the key factors, which could affect offshore field development. Inside the investment regime modified real option value (ROV) model for OP is developed: stop option and scale transformation option. Basing on the binominal trees and Monte Carlo Simulation it is possible to see the perspectives of the OP at an early stage in the conditions of high uncertainty. Incorporating the ROV model into investment regime allows operator to choose the territory to explore. The research shows, that offshore projects in the Arctic offshore is not only under the pressure of internal corporative factors, but also under influence of external institutional factors. New tools and approaches will be required in Arctic projects where no one wants to be looking in the wrong place.
Current processes of globalization and integration of the companies into the world economy necessitated the unification of financial reporting to the third parties and external users, its transparency and uniformity of financial calculations and calculation procedures. International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) today play the role of a certain standard or an example of how international companies have to generate financial reports. This imposes certain obligations on the reporting procedure. Thus, on the one hand companies operate under strict rules of how and that they can be reported. On the other hand, oil and gas companies implement large risky projects, which feasibility evaluation is often difficult in the conditions of high risk and lack of the information. This situation is typical for offshore fields, particularly in the Arctic offshore, where the degree of exploration is extremely low. The present article is concerned with the real options valuation of offshore fields in the Arctic. The main point of the article is an example of the subsequent correlation of the price value of the real options and possible costs for exploration and evaluation of the field resource potential in accordance with the principles of IFRS 6 – «Exploration for and Evaluation of Mineral Resources», an accounting standard that is core to the understanding of accounting in the mining and oil and gas industries. IFRS 6 includes modified impairment testing of exploration and evaluation assets and replaced several others international standards as IFRS 8, IFRS 16 and IFRS 36. This approach allows us to demonstrate the applicabilityof ROV (Real Options Valuation) method and its application to offshore projects with a high degree of uncertainty, carried out at an early stage and, in particular, for the Arctic offshore projects. For illustrative purposes two possible deposits were taken on the shelf of the Barents Sea and the Kara Sea. For these two illustrative examples of the fields in the above sea waters in accordance with the climatic conditions, taking into account the current tax and investment regimes three types of option were designed: to stop the project, to delay the project and to expand the project. The main purpose of this work is to show the applicability of various models of real options for offshore development projects through the examples in the Arctic seas at the stage of prospecting and exploration. There is also the objective to show how the techniques of project management can be agreed under the rules of reporting standards reporting for companies operating according to IFRS 6 standard.
This work deals with key aspects of the Stalin’s policy in relation to the village in the Ural in the 1930s. Based on a large documentary material, the author examines in detail both social and property status of the ‘dekulakized peasants’ of the Ural, which, by 1932, had become the largest area of labor settlements. Special attention is paid to the methodological issues of the study, in particular, to the justification of the representativeness concerning the selection of households prepared, its further evolution in the course of the work, as well as laying special emphasis on the multidimensional typology of the social portrait of the ‘dekulakized’ peasants.
Three e-prosopographical databases were created – ‘Dekulakized’ peasants of the Southern Ural (1930-1934)’ based on 34 parameters for 1461 ‘dekulakized’ families; ‘Labor settlers in the Southern Ural (1930-1934)’ based on 20 parameters for 1200 families of the labor settlers; and ‘Dekulakized’ peasants of the Orenburg region (1930-1934)’ based on 34 parameters for 210 families of the ‘dekulakized’ peasants. Databases in question have become a tool for analysis of the generalized characteristics of the ‘dekulakized’ households and the subsequent reconstruction of the social portrait of the ‘dekulakized’ peasants of the Southern Ural and the Orenburg region.
Causes and reasons for ‘dekulakization’ were analyzed. Thus, according to the documents, the policy of the country administration had been reciprocated neither by peasants, who could not understand why they were taken the last piece of bread at hungry times and denied the opportunity to raise the economy of the households, nor by the local leaders, who had periodically ‘perverted’ the party line, which turned out to be not so direct as it was seen from the Center.
As in the whole throughout the country, in the Southern Ural, the ‘dekulakization’ campaign, reinforced by the famine of 1932-1933, has affected not only the rich peasant families (they obviously would not be enough to perform ‘the control figures’), but wealthy medium peasant households, as well, that, on the one hand, has neutralized property differentiation of the peasantry, preparing the appropriate soil for the functioning of the collective farms, and on the other hand, has significantly slowed down the rate of growth of the agricultural production, destroying entrepreneurial initiative, which became stronger during the NEP, and significantly shaking the trust of the peasants to the country administration.
For eight decades of the study of various aspects of the history of the Soviet ‘dekulakization’, an extensive and diverse literature was developed, hundreds of studies were written, among which the works of the following authors are of particular note: V. P. Danilov, N. A. Ivnitskiy, Y.A. Moshkov, N.L. Rogalina, T.I. Slavko, N.Y. Gushchin, V.V. Kondrashin, etc. So much academic interest in the topic can be explained very simply: by 1926, 73% of the USSR population was presented by peasants, and the policy, pursued by the government, could not have been affected such huge population in the most devastating way, especially given the traditionally strong relationship between peasant families.
Historiography of the ‘dekulakization’ issue at the present stage is concentrated towards the revision of the estimates based on multiple vectors, including both identification of social groups and layers, on which repressions were directed, and personification of ‘dekulakization’ in the fate of certain families.
In the present work, we focused on social and economic aspects of collectivization and ‘dekulakization’ of the peasantry of the Ural, as well as reconstruction of the social portrait of the ‘dekulakized’ peasants of the Southern Ural and the Orenburg region.
The book is designed both for specialists in economic and social history of the USSR, and a wide readership interested in the Stalin’s collectivization and ‘dekulakization’ in the 1930s.
The aging of the Russian population and the rapid shrinking of its labor force in coming decades will make the human capital each worker contributes increasingly vital for sustaining economic output and growth. While improvements in general education are necessary to build the foundation for a productive future labor force, a broad-based and effective system of adult education can provide second-chance opportunities for current workers to enhance their productivity and lengthen their working lives and for low-skilled immigrants to be integrated into the workforce. How well the Russian Federation addresses these multiple needs at and beyond the workplace will depend on how effective its adult education system is. This study targeting policymakers outlines the problems of Russia's growing skills gap, especially the shortage of higher-order cognitive and socio-emotional skills, and examines the current state of adult education.
This book provides a unique and timely analysis of the role of structural change in the economic development of Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa (BRICS) with a consideration for the role of industry, and in particular manufacturing. The emergence of BRICS reflects an ongoing change in the international economic order. BRICS now account for very substantial part of global GDP, global manufactured value added and global manufactured exports. The book examines their economic experiences and structural change in BRICS over the past three decades, identifying both differences and commonalities, and deriving lessons for other industrializing countries. Section I contains comparative studies focusing on the commonalities and differences of the experiences of BRICS. Section II includes six country studies providing a more detailed analysis of the long-run experiences of each of the countries. Section III consists of a set of seven thematic studies focusing on specific topics such as global value chains, the role of transnational corporations in the food chain, the role of foreign versus domestic investment, the role of domestic versus foreign demand in economic growth the diffusion of environmental energy technology and the similarities, and the differences in industrial policies pursued in the five countries. The book contains a summary chapter that provides an integrated perspective of the various contributions from the point of view of poverty reduction and development. It asks, whether the patterns of structural change and industrial development that BRICS experienced, had an impact on poverty outcomes, and if so, what where the channels and the consequences?
The study includes a variety of topics, from a review of the political, legal and institutional frameworks for the development of a “green economy” in Russia, to concrete practices of separate waste collection, the development of renewable energy sources and aspects of environmental education. We tried to look at the process of sustainable development in Russia from diff erent perspectives, including the political and economic background, the legal situation, existing practices of sustainable development and how environmental information circulated, including journalism and education on sustainable development. The result is a broad study, which includes a collection of articles written by both theorists and practitioners of sustainable development in Russia.
The research on technical regulations and standards highlights that the EAEU is already implementing many EU standards as the basis for reforming and modernizing its former GOST regulations and standards. In addition the EAEU is adopting many standards of the international standards organizations (ISO, IEC, ITU), which work very closely in partnership with the European standards organizations (CEN, CENELEC, ETSI), such that international and European standards are to a large degree identical. This means that the legal and technical infrastructure for non-tariff barriers of the two parties is already converging. This makes non-tariff barriers a potentially fertile field for cooperation between the EU and EAEU, which in turn could mean easier access to markets and increased mutual trade. In this case, the potential format and extent of cooperation could extend to include a Mutual Recognition Agreement (MRA) on Conformity Assessment, through to the most ambitious formula (in EU practice) of the Agreement on Conformity Assessment and Acceptance of Industrial Products (ACAA). Such arrangements would in principle ideally form part of a free trade agreement. Such scenarios can be technically specified, but of course they would have to rely on demanding political conditions which today are not satisfied.