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Dynamic impact of the US yield curve on green bonds: Navigating through recent crises
North American Journal of Economics and Finance. 2024. Vol. 74. Article 102223.
We examine the effect of the US yield curve on the global green bond markets at the forefront of the climate change fight. For this purpose, we compute three components (level, slope, and curvature) of the US yield curve based on daily data of the treasury yields with several maturities from January 2009 to June 2022 and employ country-level S&P green bond indices. Our dynamic network analysis shows that the level component of the yield curve is more influential in transmitting return and volatility shocks to green bonds, while curvature is primarily absorptive. The European, the US, and Hong Kong green bonds are the leading players in shock propagation. Both return- and volatility spillovers are time-varying and remain high during periods of systemically important events, especially COVID-19 and the Russia-Ukraine war, supporting the Global Financial Cycle Hypothesis. The war also changes the net behaviors (transmitter versus receiver) of the components and the indices. Investors and issuers of green bonds are advised to keenly observe the shape of the US yield curve and systemic events for better decision-making regarding investment horizons and contagion risk management.
Publication based on the results of:
Kuzminov Y., Koshel A., Kruchinskaia E., Russian Journal of Economics 2026 No. 12(3) P. 311–334
The expansion of digital platforms and ecosystems is reshaping consumption and the structure of modern markets. In the Russian context, a representative survey conducted by the authors indicates frequent online purchasing driven primarily by time savings, broader assortment and price accessibility. Platforms thus generate consumer benefits, including non-monetary gains that are not fully captured by ...
Added: October 8, 2026
Kuzminov Y., Kruchinskaia E., Koshel A. et al., М.: Издательский дом НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
В научном докладе цифровые платформы впервые рассмотрены не как частный сегмент цифрового рынка, а как новый институциональный механизм организации экономики. В одной исследовательской рамке соединены экономика, право, социология, компьютерные науки, информационная безопасность, данные бизнеса и регуляторная практика — все то, что позволяет взглянуть на платформы как на институт со своими правилами игры. Особую ценность работе ...
Added: October 6, 2026
Lola I. S., Ostapkovich G. V., Asoskov D., ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
Центр конъюнктурных исследований Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний НИУ ВШЭ представляет информационно-аналитический материал «Потребительские настроения населения в III квартале 2026 г.», подготовленный в рамках Программы фундаментальных исследований НИУ ВШЭ.
В основу обзора положены ежеквартальные опросы более 5 тыс. человек в возрасте от 16 лет и старше. Такие опросы Федеральная служба государственной статистики (Росстат) проводит во всех субъектах ...
Added: October 6, 2026
Rastvortseva S., Tyushkevich Y., Salushkina Z. S., Journal of regional and international competitiveness 2026 Vol. 7 No. 2 P. 38–49
This paper examines the contemporary models of international competitiveness adopted by Big Tech corporations between 2010 and 2025. The study aims to identify the internal drivers underpinning the resilience of technological giants and to assess their capacity to withstand external shocks, including sanctions, geo-economic fragmentation, and regulatory shifts. To achieve this objective, the authors employ ...
Added: October 5, 2026
De Gruyter, 2026.
Post-Soviet Eurasia is one of the world's most geopolitically consequential and rapidly transforming regions. Developments across it increasingly reshape political, economic and social relations far beyond its borders. Understanding these dynamics is therefore both intellectually urgent and analytically demanding, requiring an interdisciplinary approach capable of moving beyond established categories and fragmented national perspectives.
This handbook provides ...
Added: October 5, 2026
М.: Национальный исследовательский университет "Высшая школа экономики", 2026.
В шестнадцатом выпуске электронного издания «Вестник Российского мониторинга экономического положения и здоровья населения НИУ ВШЭ (RLMSHSE)» представлены работы, подготовленные на основании данных лонгитюдного обследования домохозяйств «Российский мониторинг экономического положения и здоровья населения НИУ ВШЭ» (РМЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ) за 1992–2024 гг. В выпуске рассматриваются динамика доходов и расходов российских домохозяйств, тенденции развития рынка труда, социальное самочувствие ...
Added: October 5, 2026
Милицына П. С., Rozhkova K., Roshchin S. et al., Высшее образование в России 2026 № 8-9 С. 94–115
Привлечение и удержание молодых педагогов в школах является одним из важнейших вопросов для преодоления проблемы кадрового дефицита в системе образования. В статье анализируются особенности трудоустройства выпускников российских вузов педагогических специальностей выпуска 2021–2022 гг. На основе тотальных административных данных выявлены факторы, влияющие на вероятность их первоначального трудоустройства в школу и последующего закрепления в профессии. Результаты показывают, ...
Added: October 5, 2026
Автухова Е. Э., Larionov A., Плачинда К. Д., М.: Экономический факультет МГУ им. М.В. Ломоносова, 2026.
Данное методическое пособие разработано в соответствии с рабочей программой курса «Банковское дело», реализуемого на Экономическом факультете МГУ имени М. В. Ломоносова по специальности «Экономика» (бакалавриат), и может быть рекомендовано для подготовки к семинарским занятиям и самостоятельной работе студентов. ...
Added: October 4, 2026
Demidova O., Kazakova S., Applied Economics 2026 P. 1–14
This paper examines the nonlinear relationship between inflation and economic growth across Russian regions, contributing to the literature on the inflation-growth nexus by using subnational evidence from a large and economically heterogeneous country. Using panel data for 83 regions over the period 2015–2023, we estimate fixed-effects models with a quadratic specification of inflation. The growth-maximizing ...
Added: October 3, 2026
Tikhonova N. E., Karavay A., Социологическая наука и социальная практика 2026 Т. 14 № 3 С. 12–36
Drawing on data from the 2024 RLMS-HSE, the article shows that employmentrelated risks are increasingly being shifted onto workers in Russia, while employment differentiation already affects more than 40% of employed Russians, even without taking into account deviations from standard working hours, which are typical of most representatives of the mass social strata. Employment differentiation in Russia is characterized, ...
Added: October 2, 2026
Белов Б. П., Kocharian R., Самойлов И. А. et al., Стандарты и качество 2026 № 10 С. 105–109
Acceptance of enterprise AI search requires checking answer correctness and access controls, defining acceptable errors, and assessing whether testing is sufficient. A record for individual acceptance criteria was developed. Its eight fields link requirements and risks to system configuration, testing, and the acceptance decision. The fields are mapped to provisions in four Russian standards. The ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Пилюк Е. Р., Rozmainsky I. V., Журнал институциональных исследований 2026 Т. 18 № 3 С. 77–96
This paper analyzes the financial fragility оf cоmpanies in Saudi Arabia frоm 2012 tо 2025 based оn the Hyman Minsky’s financial instability hypоthesis and is the first attempt to apply this theory to a country dominated by Islamic banking. The authors test not only the relationship between the dynamics of financial fragility and the dynamics ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Klaro Ramires P. M., Veselova A., AlterEconomics (ранее - Журнал экономической теории) 2026 Т. 23 № 3 С. 699–718
As Russia transitions toward a green economy and reshapes its sustainable development agenda, understanding the external and internal factors influencing companies’ adoption of ESG principles is increasingly important. The study examines the relationships between external institutional pressure, internal organizational capabilities, and the effectiveness of corporate ESG practices. It focuses on external regulatory and non-regulatory mechanisms, ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Potanin B., Dolgikh S., Statistics and Probability Letters 2027 Article 110984
We derive bounds on the gradient and Hessian of the log-CDF, ln F(x), of the multivariate normal distribution. These bounds scale linearly and quadratically in ‖x‖ , respectively, with constants depending only on the covariance matrix. We demonstrate the usefulness of these bounds by proving asymptotic normality of the maximum-likelihood estimator of the multivariate probit ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Klochko O., Кузнецова М. П., Пространственная экономика 2026 Т. 22 № 3 С. 73–103
The article assesses China’s technological sovereignty in high-tech industries that form the ecosystem of physical artificial intelligence and its readiness to develop intelligent robotics. The aim of the study is to identify changes in China’s position in the global value chains of these industries through a comprehensive analysis of foreign value added used in production, ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Nikulina Y., Jamali Jaghdani T., Götz L. et al., / Series "Working Papers". 2026.
The impact of state subsidies on Russia's post-Soviet dairy output remains controversial; this study provides an empirical analysis of that relationship. Using an unbalanced panel dataset of 123 dairy enterprises in the Leningrad Region spanning the period from 2010 to 2023, we employ stochastic frontier analysis to assess these relationships. The results indicate that subsidies ...
Added: September 30, 2026
Nazarova A. G., Журнал Новой экономической ассоциации 2026 № 3(72) С. 87–104
The article explores how results of constructing aggregate national transfer accounts’ (NTA) estimates can be used for macroeconomic analysis and forecasts of current transfers in home economy. It presents the findings of the author’s study of their transfer modules over retrospective period of more than 10 years. The emphasis in the paper is focused on ...
Added: September 30, 2026
Makushkin M., Деньги и кредит 2026 Т. 85 № 2 С. 82–100
The paper considers the problem of estimating the coupon-free yield curve of Russian bonds in yuan. The relevance of the topic is explained by the increased popularity of yuan-denominated bonds in the Russian market since 2022, as well as the recent appearance of the first federal loan bonds (OFZ) in yuan. Given that the number ...
Added: September 24, 2026
Hanif W., El Khoury R., Gubareva M. et al., International Review of Economics and Finance 2025 No. 103 Article 104416
This study investigates spillovers among the US, Europe, and Asia green economies, carbon allowances and oil price shocks in 2010–2023. We segregate oil shocks in demand-, supply-, and risk-driven price movements. The TVP-VAR methodology is applied to model the dynamic interrelationships among the markets. Our static connectedness outcomes highlight a substantial role of the US and European ...
Added: July 15, 2025
Umar Z., Hadad E., Phiri A. et al., Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance 2025 Vol. 101 Article 101977
This paper studies the return and volatility spillover among the seven largest technology companies (including Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet (Google), Meta Platforms (formerly Facebook), Tesla, and Nvidia) referred to as Magnificent seven. We employ a quantile connected approach to study spillover and connectedness under different market conditions. We observe a high degree of interconnectedness in ...
Added: March 14, 2025
Huang S., Bossman A., Gubareva M. et al., Energy Economics 2024 Vol. 131 Article 107382
We explore the influence of oil price and geopolitical risk (GPR) on the international transmission of shocks within African forex markets. To gauge the dynamics of shock transmission, we employ the TVP-VAR connectedness model using daily data spanning over the period 2000–2023. We show that shock transmission between oil-exporting and oil-importing countries heterogeneously depends on ...
Added: February 18, 2024
Umar Z., Riaz Y., Shahab Y. et al., Pacific-Basin Finance Journal 2023 Vol. 80 Article 102056
This paper explores the connectedness between the returns and volatilities of the conventional and Islamic bond markets. We use the level, slope, and curvature of the US yield curve and estimate the connectedness of these factors with the Dow Jones Islamic indices (of 3 to 10 years of maturity) as well as the minimum connectedness portfolio. The ...
Added: June 22, 2023
Bossman A., Umar Z., Agyei S. K. et al., Finance Research Letters 2023 Vol. 53 Article 103636
We study the impact of the components of the US yield curve on sub-Saharan African (SSA) equities. In a time-varying parameter vector auto-regressions connectedness model, we find that the short- and long-term maturities of the US yield curve significantly drive the connectedness between SSA equities whilst serving as the main sources of contagious spillovers in ...
Added: January 17, 2023
Lapshin V. A., Sofia Sokhatskaya, / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series FE "Financial Economics". 2018. No. WP BRP 73/FE/2018.
Estimates of the term structure of interest rates depend heavily on the quality of the market data from which it is constructed. Estimated rates can be incorrect because of observation errors and omissions in the data. The usual way to deal with the heteroscedasticity of observation errors is by introducing weights in the fitting procedure. ...
Added: December 15, 2018