Кто обыгрывает рынок в России?
The article deals with the investment skill of the Russian mutual funds’ managers. Studies of the American market performed in the second half of XX century produced mixed results, however those completed after 2000 uniformly confirm that investment skill exists only for periods of less than five years, if it exists in principle. The outperformance of the market happens more frequently in emerging markets. The authors find that most managers do not possess investment skill. 90% of the funds do not outperform the market consistently. Three of the four applied methodologies (Jensen’s Alfa, Sharpe ratio, Treynor ratio) revealed that in 2004–2009 there existed more successful funds during the booming market of 2004–2007, while during the downturn (2008–2009) the number of successful funds diminished significantly. The information ratio confirmed the opposite picture, i.e. more funds outperformed the benchmarking portfolio during the downturn. There are only about 5% of funds in the sample (3–4 out of 74) whose managers are able to outplay the market in the long run. The study revealed that the management company of a successful fund either is affiliated with a large state companie, a large banks, or has persons affiliated with stock exchanges among its shareholders. The affiliation with the stock exchanges is the key success factor in Russia. Meanwhile, the study showed that there is no correlation of a fund’s success with affiliation with Russian oligarchs. Participation of foreign professional management companies in a shareholder capital of Russian management companies does not guarantee success as well.
The paper reviews the problem of Russian regions inequality and the mechanisms for its solving. To use only the minimum level of fiscal capacity as the main calculated indicator of the intergovernmental transfers is not effective. In the article there are suggestions for improving the system of intergovernmental relations and the perspectives to use the Investment Fund for smoothing regional disparities.
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The article presents the results of the research regarding abnormal return in M&A domestic and cross-border deals completed by Russian mining and metal companies. Contrary to earlier studies that found positive abnormal return of international mergers and acquisitions, our research revealed that cross-border deals performed by Russian metallurgical companies show negative abnormal return. Financial multiples of cross-border transactions are higher than that of domestic deals, which points to overpayment of Russian acquirers when buying assets abroad. In addition market discourages deal targeting financially distressed companies, as well as acquisitions of targets from culturally distant countries. One interesting finding of the research is that the most active cross-border acquirer – Severstal JSC – more often purchases financially distressed targets and generally demonstrates lower cumulative abnormal return compared to other Russian mining and metal companies.
Mutual fund is one of the most popular investment route by investor, who allocate part of their funds to capital market. This paper surveys the field of measuring mutual fund’s managers’s skills. We focus on market-timing and selecting skills.
The paper examines the structure, governance, and balance sheets of state-controlled banks in Russia, which accounted for over 55 percent of the total assets in the country's banking system in early 2012. The author offers a credible estimate of the size of the country's state banking sector by including banks that are indirectly owned by public organizations. Contrary to some predictions based on the theoretical literature on economic transition, he explains the relatively high profitability and efficiency of Russian state-controlled banks by pointing to their competitive position in such functions as acquisition and disposal of assets on behalf of the government. Also suggested in the paper is a different way of looking at market concentration in Russia (by consolidating the market shares of core state-controlled banks), which produces a picture of a more concentrated market than officially reported. Lastly, one of the author's interesting conclusions is that China provides a better benchmark than the formerly centrally planned economies of Central and Eastern Europe by which to assess the viability of state ownership of banks in Russia and to evaluate the country's banking sector.
The paper examines the principles for the supervision of financial conglomerates proposed by BCBS in the consultative document published in December 2011. Moreover, the article proposes a number of suggestions worked out by the authors within the HSE research team.