• A
  • A
  • A
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
Обычная версия сайта
  • RU
  • EN
  • HSE University
  • Publications
  • Articles
  • ГВИНЕЯ-БИСАУ: ПОЛИТИЧЕСКОЕ ЛИДЕРСТВО И ЭЛЕКТОРАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОЦЕССЫ
  • RU
  • EN
Расширенный поиск
Высшая школа экономики
Национальный исследовательский университет
Priority areas
  • business informatics
  • economics
  • engineering science
  • humanitarian
  • IT and mathematics
  • law
  • management
  • mathematics
  • sociology
  • state and public administration
by year
  • 2028
  • 2027
  • 2026
  • 2025
  • 2024
  • 2023
  • 2022
  • 2021
  • 2020
  • 2019
  • 2018
  • 2017
  • 2016
  • 2015
  • 2014
  • 2013
  • 2012
  • 2011
  • 2010
  • 2009
  • 2008
  • 2007
  • 2006
  • 2005
  • 2004
  • 2003
  • 2002
  • 2001
  • 2000
  • 1999
  • 1998
  • 1997
  • 1996
  • 1995
  • 1994
  • 1993
  • 1992
  • 1991
  • 1990
  • 1989
  • 1988
  • 1987
  • 1986
  • 1985
  • 1984
  • 1983
  • 1982
  • 1981
  • 1980
  • 1979
  • 1978
  • 1977
  • 1976
  • 1975
  • 1974
  • 1973
  • 1972
  • 1971
  • 1970
  • 1969
  • 1968
  • 1967
  • 1966
  • 1965
  • 1964
  • 1963
  • 1958
  • More
Subject
News
October 8, 2026
HSE Experts Take Part in 23rd Annual Meeting of Valdai Discussion Club
The 23rd Annual Meeting of the Valdai Discussion Club was held from September 28 to October 1, 2026 under the theme ‘Responsibility for the Future: Limits of the Possible, or Limitless Possibilities?’ The forum brought together 120 experts from 40 countries, including representatives of China, the United States, India, Brazil, the United Kingdom, Germany, Egypt, Iran, and Japan.
October 7, 2026
‘Our Team Consists of True Leaders in Their Respective Academic Disciplines
The HSE International Centre of Decision Choice and Analysis studies a wide range of methods for analysing decision-making and possible scenarios for the development of natural, socio-economic, and political phenomena using various mathematical models. The application of advanced mathematical methods to forecasting helps to prevent negative outcomes and avoid erroneous decisions. The HSE News Service spoke to the centre’s director, Prof. Fuad Aleskerov, about its work.
October 6, 2026
International N5 Symposium ‘Neural Networks and Nonlinearity in Nizhny Novgorod Brings Together Scientists from Russia and Serbia
The International N5 Symposium ‘Neural Networks and Nonlinearity in Nizhny Novgorod’ was held at the Nizhny Novgorod House of Scientists from September 23 to 26. The event was organised by HSE University–Nizhny Novgorod and the Nizhny Novgorod House of Scientists, with the participation of Sberbank and the Institute of Physics Belgrade. The symposium was held for the second time: the first conference took place in 2025 and attracted considerable interest from the academic community.

 

Have you spotted a typo?
Highlight it, click Ctrl+Enter and send us a message. Thank you for your help!

Publications
  • Books
  • Articles
  • Chapters of books
  • Working papers
  • Report a publication
  • Research at HSE

?

ГВИНЕЯ-БИСАУ: ПОЛИТИЧЕСКОЕ ЛИДЕРСТВО И ЭЛЕКТОРАЛЬНЫЕ ПРОЦЕССЫ

Азия и Африка сегодня. 2020. № 4. С. 34–41.
Костелянец С. В., Денисова Т. С.

The year 2019 in the small West African state of Guinea-Bissau was marked by two extremely important events: in September, the country celebrated the 45th Anniversary of Independence, and in December, Umaro Sissoco Embalό, a representative of the Party for the Independence of Guinea and Cape Verde (PAIGC), won the presidential election.

      Just like in other African countries, the processes of decolonization and social transformation in Guinea-Bissau were not smooth, largely because former fighters for independence, who have been in power for almost the entire period of post-colonial development, have not always followed the very ideals in which they themselves believed when they were liberating the country from the Portuguese colonialists and making plans for the establishment of a sovereign state.

      As a result, after gaining independence, Guinea-Bissau was in a state of permanent political instability: military coups took place in the country, governments were dissolved, political assassinations became commonplace – all this against the background of a weak economic development and massive poverty of the population.

     Nowhere in the world do individual countries reflect the character of their presidents so strongly as in Africa. The path of national development often depends solely on who is heading the nation. A new strongman comes, and the country may begin to move in a completely different direction. The peaceful transfer of power that took place in Guinea-Bissau and the relative stabilization of the domestic political situation make it possible to hope that under the new regime this small West African state, with which Russia has had friendly relations since Amilkar Cabral, will be able to solve its main problems and begin to move in the direction that will contribute most to its effective political and socio-economic development.

      The article discusses the causes and precursors of political instability and potential stabilization in Guinea-Bissau; electoral processes are analyzed and characters of political leaders who have left the greatest trace in the history of the country are scrutinized.

Research target: Economics and Management Political Science, International Relations, and Public Administration
Priority areas: economics humanitarian
Language: Russian
DOI
Keywords: political leadershipГвинея-БисауGuinea-Bissauполитические лидеры
Publication based on the results of:
Evolution of the Social Institutes: Historical and Anthropological Contexts (2020)
Similar publications
Динамика государственной политики обновления городской среды в России (2000–2020-е гг.): факторы институциональной изменчивости и стабильности
Stremoukhov D., Черников П. Е., Стародубцев А. В., Политическая наука 2026 № 3 С. 206–233
Over the past two decades, Russian urban renewal policy has evolved from fragmented and weakly demanded initiatives – such as Integrated Territorial Development (Kompleksnoe Osvoenie Territorii, KOT) and Development of Built-Up Areas (Razvitie Zastroennykh Territorii, RZT) – toward the formation of a large-scale nationwide mechanism of Integrated Territorial Development (Kompleksnoe Razvitie Territorii, KRT). This article ...
Added: October 7, 2026
Потребительские настроения населения в III квартале 2026 г.
Lola I. S., Ostapkovich G. V., Asoskov D., ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
Центр конъюнктурных исследований Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний НИУ ВШЭ представляет информационно-аналитический материал «Потребительские настроения населения в III квартале 2026 г.», подготовленный в рамках Программы фундаментальных исследований НИУ ВШЭ. В основу обзора положены ежеквартальные опросы более 5 тыс. человек в возрасте от 16 лет и старше. Такие опросы Федеральная служба государственной статистики (Росстат) проводит во всех субъектах ...
Added: October 6, 2026
Беспилотные воздушные суда и государственный надзор: приватность, полномочия, технические риски
Diskin E., Прожерин Д. В., Теоретическая и прикладная юриспруденция 2026 Т. 29 № 3 С. 221–234
Introduction: Drawing on the legal orders of the United States, the European Union, and the Russian Federation, the article provides a comparative legal analysis of three regulatory models governing the use of unmanned aircraft (UA; drones, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs)) by public authorities for government oversight: the U.S. model, based on a combination of aviation rules and ...
Added: October 6, 2026
Modern models of international competitiveness of Big Tech corporations: internal drivers versus external shocks
Rastvortseva S., Tyushkevich Y., Salushkina Z. S., Journal of regional and international competitiveness 2026 Vol. 7 No. 2 P. 38–49
This paper examines the contemporary models of international competitiveness adopted by Big Tech corporations between 2010 and 2025. The study aims to identify the internal drivers underpinning the resilience of technological giants and to assess their capacity to withstand external shocks, including sanctions, geo-economic fragmentation, and regulatory shifts. To achieve this objective, the authors employ ...
Added: October 5, 2026
De Gruyter Handbook of Eurasian Societies
De Gruyter, 2026.
Post-Soviet Eurasia is one of the world's most geopolitically consequential and rapidly transforming regions. Developments across it increasingly reshape political, economic and social relations far beyond its borders. Understanding these dynamics is therefore both intellectually urgent and analytically demanding, requiring an interdisciplinary approach capable of moving beyond established categories and fragmented national perspectives. This handbook provides ...
Added: October 5, 2026
Вестник Российского мониторинга экономического положения и здоровья населения НИУ ВШЭ (RLMS‑HSE). Вып. 16
М.: Национальный исследовательский университет "Высшая школа экономики", 2026.
В шестнадцатом выпуске электронного издания «Вестник Российского мониторинга экономического положения и здоровья населения НИУ ВШЭ (RLMSHSE)» представлены работы, подготовленные на основании данных лонгитюдного обследования домохозяйств «Российский мониторинг экономического положения и здоровья населения НИУ ВШЭ» (РМЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ) за 1992–2024 гг. В выпуске рассматриваются динамика доходов и расходов российских домохозяйств, тенденции развития рынка труда, социальное самочувствие ...
Added: October 5, 2026
ДИЛЕММА БЕЗОПАСНОСТИ И РАЗВИТИЯ В ГОСУДАРСТВЕННОМ УПРАВЛЕНИИ ЦИФРОВЫМИ ПЛАТФОРМАМИ
Diskin E., Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз 2026 № 3 С. 23–45
Public governance of digital platforms is characterized by a growing tension between security imperatives, such as blocking, throttling, and restricting the activities of foreign platforms, and development imperatives, including the digital economy, innovation, and users’ rights. The article conceptualizes this contradiction as a security—development dilemma: a structural problem of governance that cannot be reduced to ...
Added: October 5, 2026
Non vitae, sed scholae discimus: работают ли выпускники-педагоги в школе?
Милицына П. С., Rozhkova K., Roshchin S. et al., Высшее образование в России 2026 № 8-9 С. 94–115
Привлечение и удержание молодых педагогов в школах является одним из важнейших вопросов для преодоления проблемы кадрового дефицита в системе образования. В статье анализируются особенности трудоустройства выпускников российских вузов педагогических специальностей выпуска 2021–2022 гг. На основе тотальных административных данных выявлены факторы, влияющие на вероятность их первоначального трудоустройства в школу и последующего закрепления в профессии. Результаты показывают, ...
Added: October 5, 2026
Методическое пособие по курсу «Банковское дело»
Автухова Е. Э., Larionov A., Плачинда К. Д., М.: Экономический факультет МГУ им. М.В. Ломоносова, 2026.
Данное методическое пособие разработано в соответствии с рабочей программой курса «Банковское дело», реализуемого на Экономическом факультете МГУ имени М. В. Ломоносова по специальности «Экономика» (бакалавриат), и может быть рекомендовано для подготовки к семинарским занятиям и самостоятельной работе студентов. ...
Added: October 4, 2026
Why China Frightens: Beyond the Realm of Western Political Forms
Kaspe S. I., Russia in Global Affairs 2026 Vol. 24 No. 4 P. 138–167
This article examines the stereotypes about China that prevail in the West and Russia and make them perceive it not only as a strategic challenge, but an existential threat. The article demonstrates that the most common fears are overstated and counterfactual, and that they are grounded in the West itself. Modern China cannot be identified ...
Added: October 4, 2026
Inflation and economic growth in Russia: searching for the optimal level
Demidova O., Kazakova S., Applied Economics 2026 P. 1–14
This paper examines the nonlinear relationship between inflation and economic growth across Russian regions, contributing to the literature on the inflation-growth nexus by using subnational evidence from a large and economically heterogeneous country. Using panel data for 83 regions over the period 2015–2023, we estimate fixed-effects models with a quadratic specification of inflation. The growth-maximizing ...
Added: October 3, 2026
Усиление противостояния США и КНР и его последствия для мирового развития
Мусиева Д. М., Akaev A., Век глобализации 2025 Т. 56 № 4 С. 3–15
В работе дана кратчайшая история взаимоотношений Китая и США, которые за 40 лет прошли путь от экономического сотрудничества до глобального противостояния. Проведен анализ современного экономико-техно-логического и социально-политического состояния данных стран, показавший, что Китай как восходящая держава и США, находящиеся на нисходящей траектории, сегодня являются примерно равновеликими по совокупной мощи. Делается вывод о том, что нынешнее ...
Added: October 2, 2026
Дифференциация занятости и её влияние на социальную структуру российского общества
Tikhonova N. E., Karavay A., Социологическая наука и социальная практика 2026 Т. 14 № 3 С. 12–36
Drawing on data from the 2024 RLMS-HSE, the article shows that employmentrelated risks are increasingly being shifted onto workers in Russia, while employment differentiation already affects more than 40% of employed Russians, even without taking into account deviations from standard working hours, which are typical of most representatives of the mass social strata. Employment differentiation in Russia is characterized, ...
Added: October 2, 2026
The Global Energy Order – 2040: Contours of an Emerging System
Yenikeyeff S., Russia in Global Affairs 2026 Vol. 24 No. 4 P. 10–41
This article maps the contours of the global energy order that may emerge by 2040. It argues that global energy flows are being transformed from a price-driven commodity trade into instruments of strategic power by four simultaneous processes: an uneven low-carbon transition, the securitization of energy flows, the fragmentation of the international monetary system, and ...
Added: October 2, 2026
ПРИЕМКА КОРПОРАТИВНОГО ИИ-ПОИСКА ОБОСНОВАНИЕ РЕШЕНИЯ
Белов Б. П., Kocharian R., Самойлов И. А. et al., Стандарты и качество 2026 № 10 С. 105–109
Acceptance of enterprise AI search requires checking answer correctness and access controls, defining acceptable errors, and assessing whether testing is sufficient. A record for individual acceptance criteria was developed. Its eight fields link requirements and risks to system configuration, testing, and the acceptance decision. The fields are mapped to provisions in four Russian standards. The ...
Added: October 1, 2026
От Суэцкого кризиса до Ормузского противостояния: борьба за транспортные артерии продолжается
Baklanov A., Международная жизнь 2026 № 9 С. 4–15
This article, using materials from the Russian Foreign Ministry archive, analyzes the origins, dynamics, and outcomes of the 1956 Suez Crisis. It emphasizes the crucial importance of the Soviet Union's harsh demarche against Great Britain and France, which forced London and Paris to cease their aggression against Egypt. It examines the approaches of various states ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Скептики или циники: Два лица критики новостей
Kazun A. D., Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз 2026 № 3 С. 80–98
The article analyzes media skepticism and media cynicism as two forms of critical attitudes toward news. The empirical basis of the study is a nationwide population survey (N = 6,007) conducted in late 2023 and early 2024. The analysis shows that both media skepticism and media cynicism are pronounced in Russian society: while a substantial ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Исламский банкинг и накопление финансовой хрупкости в Саудовской Аравии
Пилюк Е. Р., Rozmainsky I. V., Журнал институциональных исследований 2026 Т. 18 № 3 С. 77–96
This paper analyzes the financial fragility оf cоmpanies in Saudi Arabia frоm 2012 tо 2025 based оn the Hyman Minsky’s financial instability hypоthesis and is the first attempt to apply this theory to a country dominated by Islamic banking. The authors test not only the relationship between the dynamics of financial fragility and the dynamics ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Subsidy Effects on Productivity and Technical Efficiency of Corporate Dairy Farms in the Russian Federation
Nikulina Y., Jamali Jaghdani T., Götz L. et al., / Series "Working Papers". 2026.
The impact of state subsidies on Russia's post-Soviet dairy output remains controversial; this study provides an empirical analysis of that relationship. Using an unbalanced panel dataset of 123 dairy enterprises in the Leningrad Region spanning the period from 2010 to 2023, we employ stochastic frontier analysis to assess these relationships. The results indicate that subsidies ...
Added: September 30, 2026
Отдача от платформенной занятости на российском рынке труда: «премия» или «штраф»?
Kapeliushnikov R., / Высшая школа экономики. Серия WP3 "Проблемы рынка труда". 2026. № WP3/2026/02.
The paper is the first attempt in the Russian literature to assess returns to platform employment in the Russian labor market. The theory offers no clear predictions regarding its impact on workers’ earnings: there might be both a premium and a penalty. We distinguish three groups of workers: employees; self-employed using internet-platforms; self-employed not using ...
Added: September 28, 2026
The Effect of AMMs on Price Bubble Formation in Cryptocurrency Markets under Proof-of-Work and Proof-of-Stake
Usvitskiy A., Mizyakov V., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Added: September 24, 2026
Vague stimulating ideas, images and metaphors in scientific thinking: researchers' work with horizons of unclear knowledge
Poddiakov A., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026. No. 7437658.
Clarity of knowledge and reasoning is necessary in many cases. Yet vagueness in scientific thinking related to surprise, curiosity, "ability to engage with not-knowing" (de Freitas) and abductive reasoning is also a crucially important source of scientific creativity which supplements combinatorial logic when dealing with the already known. Starting from studies by C. S. Peirce ...
Added: September 15, 2026
AIGRA: Agentic Item Generation, Review, and Analysis for Educational Assessment
/ Series SSRN Working Paper Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Assessment item development requires careful control of construct alignment, response structure, difficulty, language, and review evidence. Large language models can accelerate item drafting, but ad hoc prompting is difficult to audit or reproduce. AIGRA is an R package for structured, agentic item generation, review, and analysis. It supports tabular item-bank templates, Python-backed generation workflows, direct ...
Added: September 14, 2026
Institutions, Normative Expectations, and Harassment Bribery: Evidence from a Three-country Experiment
Zhuravleva T., Afanasev K., Engelmann J. et al., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Extortionary ("harassment") bribery can persist even when widely condemned, consistent with a coordination problem sustained by beliefs about what others do and what others consider acceptable. We study whether a minimal institutional featurethe presence of a third-party monitor empowered to punish-shifts (i) normative expectations about extortion and compliance and (ii) empirical expectations about their prevalence. ...
Added: July 22, 2026
  • About
  • About
  • Key Figures & Facts
  • Sustainability at HSE University
  • Faculties & Departments
  • International Partnerships
  • Faculty & Staff
  • HSE Buildings
  • HSE University for Persons with Disabilities
  • Public Enquiries
  • Studies
  • Admissions
  • Programme Catalogue
  • Undergraduate
  • Graduate
  • Exchange Programmes
  • Summer University
  • Summer Schools
  • Semester in Moscow
  • Business Internship
  • Research
  • International Laboratories
  • Research Centres
  • Research Projects
  • Monitoring Studies
  • Conferences & Seminars
  • Academic Jobs
  • Yasin (April) International Academic Conference on Economic and Social Development
  • Media & Resources
  • Publications by staff
  • HSE Journals
  • Publishing House
  • iq.hse.ru: commentary by HSE experts
  • Library
  • Economic & Social Data Archive
  • Video
  • HSE Repository of Socio-Economic Information
  • HSE1993–2026
  • Contacts
  • Copyright
  • Privacy Policy
  • Site Map
Edit