Параметрическая иммунизация процентного риска на основе моделей срочной структуры процентных ставок
The paper considers the parametric hedging of non-parallel shifts in the yield curve. In order to determine capital requirements and stress testing, Basel committee recommends taking into account the risk of non-parallel interest rate shifts. (Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, 2016). As of April 2017, only one Russian bank took this risk into account in calculating interest rate risk, and one was developing a methodology (Central bank of Russia, 2017). We use several term structure models for hedging non-parallel interest rate shifts. The study uses a 5-year span of Russian bond market data. We use VaR and MAE to assess the effectiveness of hedging approaches.
The novelty of the work lies in the application of different term structure models, most of which have not previously been used for parametric hedging. We also present an original methodology for assessing the effectiveness of hedging. For the first time a study is conducted on the Russian bond market.
Cross-validation shows that the Nelson-Siegel (and also its shortened version), Svensson and Cox-Ingersoll-Ross models within the parametric hedging problem give better results than the generally accepted Fisher-Weil duration model. The results of this work have practical significance for fixed income managers.
The article deals with the research of construction of the term structure of interest rates on the China’s bond market. The article provides an overview of the China’s bond market and its mechanism. Based on the data from China Central Depository & Clearing (CCDC), article gives the result of the computer simulation.
This article presents a two-tier system for the comprehensive risk assessment and applies it to the Russian banking sector. First level of the system focuses on current analysis of banks in terms of their sensitivity to credit risk as well as to other types of risks (ex-ante risk assessment). Second level of the system deals with different measures of the overall banking sta-bility (ex-post risk assessment) such as widely used Z-score indicator and it introduces an empir-ical bank-level model for estimation of the elasticity of Z-score with respect to all types of risks considered at the first level of the system. Our analysis reveals that systemic risks of the Russian banking sector are moderately high while its ability to recapitalize profits is extremely limited under the existing model of the banking business.
The chapter reveals the problems of assessing and managing interest rate risk of a commercial bank.The chapter reveals the problems of assessing and managing interest rate risk of a commercial bank.The chapter reveals the problems of assessing and managing interest rate risk of a commercial bank.
The paper examines the structure, governance, and balance sheets of state-controlled banks in Russia, which accounted for over 55 percent of the total assets in the country's banking system in early 2012. The author offers a credible estimate of the size of the country's state banking sector by including banks that are indirectly owned by public organizations. Contrary to some predictions based on the theoretical literature on economic transition, he explains the relatively high profitability and efficiency of Russian state-controlled banks by pointing to their competitive position in such functions as acquisition and disposal of assets on behalf of the government. Also suggested in the paper is a different way of looking at market concentration in Russia (by consolidating the market shares of core state-controlled banks), which produces a picture of a more concentrated market than officially reported. Lastly, one of the author's interesting conclusions is that China provides a better benchmark than the formerly centrally planned economies of Central and Eastern Europe by which to assess the viability of state ownership of banks in Russia and to evaluate the country's banking sector.
The paper examines the principles for the supervision of financial conglomerates proposed by BCBS in the consultative document published in December 2011. Moreover, the article proposes a number of suggestions worked out by the authors within the HSE research team.