• A
  • A
  • A
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
Обычная версия сайта
  • RU
  • EN
  • HSE University
  • Publications
  • Articles
  • Transformation of China’s development model under Xi Jinping and its implications for Russian exports
  • RU
  • EN
Расширенный поиск
Высшая школа экономики
Национальный исследовательский университет
Priority areas
  • business informatics
  • economics
  • engineering science
  • humanitarian
  • IT and mathematics
  • law
  • management
  • mathematics
  • sociology
  • state and public administration
by year
  • 2027
  • 2026
  • 2025
  • 2024
  • 2023
  • 2022
  • 2021
  • 2020
  • 2019
  • 2018
  • 2017
  • 2016
  • 2015
  • 2014
  • 2013
  • 2012
  • 2011
  • 2010
  • 2009
  • 2008
  • 2007
  • 2006
  • 2005
  • 2004
  • 2003
  • 2002
  • 2001
  • 2000
  • 1999
  • 1998
  • 1997
  • 1996
  • 1995
  • 1994
  • 1993
  • 1992
  • 1991
  • 1990
  • 1989
  • 1988
  • 1987
  • 1986
  • 1985
  • 1984
  • 1983
  • 1982
  • 1981
  • 1980
  • 1979
  • 1978
  • 1977
  • 1976
  • 1975
  • 1974
  • 1973
  • 1972
  • 1971
  • 1970
  • 1969
  • 1968
  • 1967
  • 1966
  • 1965
  • 1964
  • 1963
  • 1958
  • More
Subject
News
July 16, 2026
Team Success: Aligning Means with Objectives
In corporations, sports, and academia, people often face challenges they cannot handle alone. In such cases, selecting the right team is crucial. Tatiana Mayskaya, Associate Professor at the HSE Faculty of Economic Sciences and the International College of Economics and Finance, together with colleagues from foreign universities, examined team characteristics and found that less diverse teams are better suited to objectives where a high average performance is important, whereas more diverse teams are preferable when avoiding failure is critical. The paper has been published in Economic Theory.
July 15, 2026
Economists Propose More Effective Approach to Reducing Smoking
Economists at HSE University have examined how smokers respond to changes in cigarette prices. When tobacco prices increase, cigarette consumption does not always decline. In fact, spending on tobacco may even rise: according to the researchers, a 1% decrease in cigarette affordability leads to a 0.28% increase in per capita tobacco expenditure. The findings suggest that to reduce smoking rates, tobacco prices must rise faster than household incomes. The study has been published in Voprosy Statistiki.
July 15, 2026
HSE MIEM Students to Develop Two Satellites from Scratch for Orbital Experiments
The devices, created by student teams, will conduct space research on the properties of promising solar cells, on-board energy storage systems, and serial electronics for student satellites.

 

Have you spotted a typo?
Highlight it, click Ctrl+Enter and send us a message. Thank you for your help!

Publications
  • Books
  • Articles
  • Chapters of books
  • Working papers
  • Report a publication
  • Research at HSE

?

Transformation of China’s development model under Xi Jinping and its implications for Russian exports

Asian Politics and Policy. 2018. Vol. 10. No. 4. P. 633–654.
Makarov I. A., Stepanov I. A., Kashin V.

The article focuses on the main factors underlying the structural transformation of China’s economic model under Xi Jinping and its implications for Sino-Russian economic cooperation and Russian merchandise exports. Russian exports to China are analyzed in the context of major changes in the volume and structure of China's aggregate demand. The results show that the rebalancing of the Chinese economy would bring some risks to Russia in the short and medium terms through putting downward pressure on its exports of natural resources (except for natural gas). At the same time it would open new opportunities for industries producing resource-intensive consumer goods and, therefore, gives Russia an opportunity for diversification of its economy in the longer term. In order to derive benefits from China’s transformation, Russia should shift the focus of its export policy from negotiating politically driven large projects towards more intensive promotion of consumer goods exports.

Priority areas: economics
Language: English
Full text
DOI
Keywords: ChinadiversificationSino-Russian tradeChina Economic Model
Similar publications
От биографии купца-«чуйца» до межцивилизационного диалога России, Монголии и Китая: роль исследований наследия А.Д. Васенева в системе научных интересов А.В. Старцева
Sizova A., В кн.: Сибирь в фокусе исторических и востоковедных исследований : сборник научных статей, посвященный 70-летию со дня рождения известного ученого, педагога, просветителя и общественного деятеля, доктора исторических наук, профессора Александра Владимировича Старцева (1956–2019).: Барнаул: Алтайский государственный педагогический университет, 2026. С. 197–212.
The article examines the contribution of A. V. Startsev, Doctor of Historical Sciences, to the study of the Biysk merchant A. D. Vasenev, a prominent figure in Russian-Mongolian and Russian-Chinese trade in the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries. It also considers the role of this research in shaping Startsev’s scholarly interests. The article identifies ...
Added: July 8, 2026
A “network power shift” or up the value chain? Japan’s changing role in Asian political economy
Emelyanova O., Murashkin N., Asia Europe Journal 2025 Vol. 23 No. 4 P. 239–261
The goal of this article is to trace the evolution of Japan’s role in Southeast and South Asian political economy in the 2000s–2010s to understand how Japan’s previously established network power in Asian supply chains has changed amid much-discussed power shifts in the region. The increasing number of emerging and rising regional powers induces Japan ...
Added: June 30, 2026
Cyclical Fluctuations, Financial Frictions, and Productivity Differences across Firms
Mishin A., Guerrieri L., Kim J., / Series 2026-042 "Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS)". 2026.
Within narrowly defined industries, the most productive firms produce far more than the least productive from the same inputs, and this dispersion widens in downturns. We build a tractable representative-agent model in which financial frictions—adverse selection and moral hazard—make firms sort endogenously into lenders, strategic defaulters, and producers. As credit conditions vary, the resulting misallocation ...
Added: June 28, 2026
Устойчивость на текучей основе: долгосрочная устойчивая цена на нефть
Власов С. А., Nevalennyi M., Сафиулин Р. Р. et al., / Банк России. Серия Аналитическая записка "Материалы Банка России". 2026.
В аналитической записке обсуждается долгосрочно устойчивый уровень цены на российскую нефть. Это тот уровень, к которому цена нефти, вероятнее всего, будет тяготеть в долгосрочной перспективе. Потребность в его определении возникает по нескольким причинам. Во-первых, цена на нефть остается одним из ключевых экономических показателей российской экономики, определяющих экспорт, обменный курс рубля, прибыль, доходы и расходы бюджета, ...
Added: June 27, 2026
Учебная модель малой открытой экономики для анализа денежно-кредитной политики (с примерами из практики Банка России
Глазова А. М., Nevalennyi M., Синяков А. А., / Банк России. Серия Препринты Банка России "Серия докладов об экономических исследованиях". 2025. № 154.
The paper proposes a graphical model of a small open economy. The dynamics of the graphical model is then illustrated using impulse responses from the corresponding formal semi-structural model (QPM model). The authors have several goals in preparing this description of the graphical macroeconomic model. The first goal of the paper is to present an adapted ...
Added: June 27, 2026
A Static Capital Buffer is Hard To Beat
Mishin A., Guerrieri L., Canzoneri M. et al., / Series 2026-042 "Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS)". 2026.
Added: June 27, 2026
Hybrid Competition under Fragmented Demand and Limited Consumer Choice
Bogatyrev R., Sandomirskaia M., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series EC "Economics". 2026. No. 19(1).
This work develops a tractable model of price competition in fragmented markets where consumers consider both local and distant varieties, with cross-regional purchases subject to stochastic costs. Global competition and full localization emerge as polar cases; hybrid competition is not merely intermediate and exhibits distinctive features such as an endogenous price ceiling and non-monotonic entry ...
Added: June 11, 2026
How Universal is the Cool Water Effect? Evidence from the Unlikely Case of Russia
Kravtsova M., Musaev A. U., Welzel C., / Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
Elaborating on Welzel et al.'s "Cool Water Theory," our study zooms into the more limited (albeit still varied) framework conditions of Russia's huge territory. Within Russia's confines, we examine how the combination of moderately cool seasons with steady rain (i.e., Cool Water) affects sub-national areas' contemporary societal progress in two modernization indicators: material prosperity in ...
Added: June 3, 2026
Финансовая грамотность и ответственное финансовое поведение российских домохозяйств
Синяков А. А., Зверева В., Шелованова Т. И., / Центральный банк Российской Федерации. Серия 132 / 2024 "Серия докладов об экономических исследованиях". 2024. № 132.
At the end of 2023, Russia updated its Strategy for Improving Financial Literacy and Developing Financial Culture Until 2030. Unlike the previous strategy, the current strategic goals include not only financial literacy but also financial culture. ‘Culture’ is normative and socially preferred behaviour. The updated strategy brings into focus the relationship between financial literacy and responsible financial behaviour. To explore this relationship, the authors rely on data from the All-Russian Survey of Consumer Finance (2020 and 2022).  Socially ...
Added: June 1, 2026
Почему растущие доходы не делают людей счастливее: эмоциональное объяснение парадокса Истерлина (Why Growing Incomes Do Not Make People Happier: an Emotional Explanation of the Easterlin Paradox)
Vorchik A., / SSRN. Серия Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.
This work is devoted to a theoretical explanation of the Easterlin paradox, according to which long-term economic growth does not make average level of people's happiness increasing. By happiness, we mean the intensity of emotions people experience while comparing their new income with its expected value, or the target income with its original value. In the first case, ...
Added: May 31, 2026
Эволюция нарративов о международной системе во внешнеполитическом дискурсе Си Цзиньпина в 2013−2024 годах
Милькова А. А., Вестник Пермского университета. Серия: Политология 2026 Т. 20 № 1 С. 104–114
The article is devoted to strategic narratives about the international system in the foreign policy dis-course of the President of the People's Republic of China Xi Jinping. An analysis of their evolution revealed the growing influence of Chinese political thought in shaping the modern world order, which is a topic of great academic and practical ...
Added: May 6, 2026
Анализ асимметрии и взаимной выгоды в китайско-японских отношениях
Shaposhnikov S., Kiselev S., Азия и Африка сегодня 2026 № 4 С. 14–25
This article explores the nature of asymmetric interdependence in Sino-Japanese relations, analyzing trade flows, investment dynamics, technological cooperation, and geopolitical factors shaping bilateral ties. Japan is significantly dependent on China as its largest export market and key manufacturing base, while China remains reliant on Japan for critical technologies, precision equipment, and advanced materials. Both states ...
Added: April 29, 2026
Законное слушание: прецедент преодоления интернет-пиратства в Китае
Budnik R., Журнал зарубежного законодательства и сравнительного правоведения 2026 Т. 22 № 2 С. 15–26
This article examines the precedential cooperation between the governmental and business entities in eradicating piracy in the informational area of China. The purpose of the study is to analyze the unique empirical approach to the implementation of public policy aimed at restoring the effective functioning of mechanisms for the protection and enforcement of intellectual property ...
Added: April 27, 2026
China in the WTO: a quarter-century of transformations in the global trading system
Biryukova O. V., Kupalov I., Zhang W., R-Economy 2026 Vol. 12 No. 1 P. 109–125
Relevance. Twenty-five years after China’s accession to the WTO, the multilat eral trading system faces unprecedented challenges, including institutional pa ralysis, geopolitical fragmentation, and rising protectionism. Against this back drop, China’s trajectory offers a critical case study of how a major non-Western economy can simultaneously integrate into, adapt to, and reshape global trade governance. Yet existing literature often ...
Added: April 6, 2026
Covariate-Balanced Weighted Stacked Difference-in-Differences
Ustyuzhanin V., / Series Econometrics "arxiv". 2026.
This paper proposes Covariate-Balanced Weighted Stacked Difference-in-Differences (CBWSDID), a design-based extension of weighted stacked DID for settings in which untreated trends may be conditionally rather than unconditionally parallel. The estimator separates within-subexperiment design adjustment from across-subexperiment aggregation: matching or weighting improves treated-control comparability within each stacked subexperiment, while the corrective stacked weights of Wing et ...
Added: April 3, 2026
The New Great Wall: The Logic of China’s Foreign Policy Behavior
Vassily B. Kashin, Veronika A. Smirnova, Alexandra D. Yankova, Russia in Global Affairs 2026 Vol. 24 No. 2 P. 79–95
This article examines China’s comprehensive mobilization policies undertaken since the early 2020s. Analysis reveals that they span multiple domains. First, China is developing a protected inland reserve of critical industrial capacity. Second, it is strengthening emergency supply mechanisms and accelerating the accumulation of food and raw-material reserves. Third, it is enhancing civil defense and urban ...
Added: April 1, 2026
Загадка внутренней мотивации
Vorchik A., / Social Science Research Network. Серия SSRN Working Paper Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
This article is devoted to the phenomenon of intrinsic motivation, to understand which two models are proposed. We study how positive/negative intrinsic motivation to work (experienced utility) affects worker's individual labour supply (model I) and the amount of effort they exert (model II). In model I, we use intrinsic motivation to explain the positive/negative slope ...
Added: March 15, 2026
От «мировой фабрики» к «мировому офису»: роль Китая в международной торговле услугами
Biryukova O. V., Жаронкина Д. В., Вопросы экономики 2026 № 3 С. 25–43
The article analyzes the state and dynamics of China’s service sector development as a key factor in enhancing the country’s international competitiveness. The study examines the parameters of China’s participation in international trade in services, which still lags significantly behind trade in goods. Nevertheless, the country places great emphasis on trade in services for a range of strategic, economic, and ...
Added: March 11, 2026
Перспективы расширения присутствия китайских производителей автомобилей на российском рынке
Karpova N. S., В кн.: Сборник докладов международной научной конференции «Современный Китай и Россия и перспективы реализации инициативы «Один пояс, один путь»/ Даляньский политехнический университет. — Далянь, 2025, 165 с.: [б.и.], 2025. С. 1–7.
The article analyzes the prerequisites and processes of rapid, large-scale and expanding market presence of the Chinese passenger car manufacturers in Russia based on export operations and other forms of cooperation in the 2020s. The most successful brands, priority forms, as well as prospective areas of work in the Russian market are highlighted. The importance ...
Added: February 25, 2026
Сборник докладов международной научной конференции «Современный Китай и Россия и перспективы реализации инициативы «Один пояс, один путь»/ Даляньский политехнический университет. — Далянь, 2025, 165 с.
Karpova N. S., [б.и.], 2025.
Collection of reports of the international scientific conference "Modern China and Russia and prospects for the implementation of the One Belt, One Road initiative"/ Dalian Polytechnic University.  — Dalian, 2025. ...
Added: February 24, 2026
Онлайн-дискурс о демографической политике Китая: методологические аспекты анализа постов в социальной сети Weibo
Bocharova A., Денисов И. Е., Зуенко И. Ю., Вестник Санкт-Петербургского университета. Востоковедение и африканистика 2025 Т. 17 № 2 С. 366–377
The article focuses on analyzing the perceptions of recent changes in China’s demographic pol-icy by the contemporary Chinese society. These changes involved the relaxation of restrictions on the number of children in a family, first to two children in 2015 and subsequently to three children in 2021. The relevance of this research stems from the ...
Added: February 19, 2026
Страны Африки как фактор усиления напряженности между США и КНР
Подбиралина Г. В., Мигалева Т. Е., Musaev A. U., США и Канада: экономика, политика, культура 2026 № 1(673) С. 5–17
The article analyzes current trends that explain the interest of leading states in the countries of the African continent. It is emphasized that the key factors behind such interest are the rapid economic growth of most countries and the rich resource base of the region. It is concluded that the largest economies of the world ...
Added: February 17, 2026
ОПЫТ РАЗВИТИЯ ИСЛАМСКОЙ РЕСПУБЛИКИ ИРАН В УСЛОВИЯХ САНКЦИЙ
Salamatov V., Базелюк В. Н., Бизнес. Общество. Власть 2025 № 3 (57) С. 218–238
The article is dedicated to analyzing the experience of the Islamic Republic of Iran under prolonged sanction pressure that has been ongoing since 1979. The main focus is on three key aspects: historical stages of sanctions implementation, their impact on the economy, politics, and social sphere of the country, as well as Iran's methods of ...
Added: February 13, 2026
Up and Down the Mount Stupid: An Emotional Explanation of the Dunning-Kruger Effect
Vorchik A., Мамышев М. А., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2025.
In this paper, we develop a formal mathematical model aimed to explain the Dunning-Kruger effect that beginners systematically overestimate their own competence in various fields of knowledge and activity. We argue that the Dunning-Kruger effect arises from the emotional nature of confidence combined with unknown unknowns that it simply can not take into account due ...
Added: February 11, 2026
  • About
  • About
  • Key Figures & Facts
  • Sustainability at HSE University
  • Faculties & Departments
  • International Partnerships
  • Faculty & Staff
  • HSE Buildings
  • HSE University for Persons with Disabilities
  • Public Enquiries
  • Studies
  • Admissions
  • Programme Catalogue
  • Undergraduate
  • Graduate
  • Exchange Programmes
  • Summer University
  • Summer Schools
  • Semester in Moscow
  • Business Internship
  • Research
  • International Laboratories
  • Research Centres
  • Research Projects
  • Monitoring Studies
  • Conferences & Seminars
  • Academic Jobs
  • Yasin (April) International Academic Conference on Economic and Social Development
  • Media & Resources
  • Publications by staff
  • HSE Journals
  • Publishing House
  • iq.hse.ru: commentary by HSE experts
  • Library
  • Economic & Social Data Archive
  • Video
  • HSE Repository of Socio-Economic Information
  • HSE1993–2026
  • Contacts
  • Copyright
  • Privacy Policy
  • Site Map
Edit