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Модельные расчеты краткосрочных прогнозов социально-экономических показателей РФ
Научный вестник ИЭП им. Гайдара.ру (электронный журнал). 2017. Т. 107. № 1. С. 3–32.
Е. Астафьева, М. Турунцева, Баева М., Божечкова А., Бузаев А., Киблицкая Т., Пономарев Ю., Скроботов А.
Dudakov S., Lobachevskii Journal of Mathematics 2025 Vol. 46 No. 12 P. 6092–6102
We study the additive theory of arbitrary figures in linear spaces, that is, the theory of
addition extended to sets of vectors. Our main result is the following: if a linear space is infinite,
then the additive theory of figures admits interpreting second-order arithmetic and, therefore, it has
such or higher degree of undecidability. For countably infinite spaces, ...
Added: May 1, 2026
Taletskii D., / Series arXiv "math". 2026.
A vertex subset of a graph is called a \textit{distance-$k$ independent set} if the distance between any two of its distinct vertices is at least $k + 1$. For all $n,k \geq 1$, we determine the minimum possible number of inclusion-wise maximal distance-$k$ independent sets among all $n$-vertex trees. It equals~$n$ if $n \leq k ...
Added: May 1, 2026
Ovcharenko M., / Series arXiv "math". 2026.
We introduce an explicit class of tempered Laurent polynomials in the sense of Villegas and Doran--Kerr in n⩽4 variables including all Landau--Ginzburg models for smooth Fano threefolds with very ample anticanonical class. We check that it contains Landau--Ginzburg models for various Fano fourfolds which are complete intersections in smooth toric varieties and Grassmannians of planes, ...
Added: April 30, 2026
Glushko A., Neznanov A., Овчинников С. et al., В кн.: Интеллектуальный анализ данных в нефтегазовой отрасли.: М.: ООО «Геомодель Развитие», 2024. С. 140–143.
With the development of monitoring systems, now we have the opportunity to collect key performance indicators of devices in the process of artificial lift. Every day a huge amount of telemetry is generated by our devices, which can be used to forecast the working mode and health state of the equipment after the process of ...
Added: April 29, 2026
Domrin V. I., Malova H. V., V. Yu. Popov et al., Cosmic Research 2026 Vol. 64 No. 2 P. 238–252
During magnetospheric perturbations a relatively thin current sheet with thickness about several
proton gyroradii forms in the Earth’s magnetotail. In a framework of the kinetic model describing current
sheet thinning in the magnetotail, the processes of its formation are investigated depending on the normal
magnetic field magnitude which affects both the current sheet structure and particle dynamics within ...
Added: April 27, 2026
Tsareva O. O., Malova H. V., V. Yu. Popov et al., Plasma Physics Reports 2026 Vol. 52 No. 2 P. 179–185
The influence of asymmetry of plasma sources on the structure and spatial localization of a superthin
current sheet (STCS) supported by demagnetized electrons is studied using a self-consistent model. The
simulation takes into account the presence of a single plasma source in the northern hemisphere, which
makes the plasma flow asymmetric. It is demonstrated that the asymmetry of ...
Added: April 27, 2026
Pochinka O., Yakovlev E., Shmukler V., Russian Journal of Nonlinear Dynamics 2026
Every discrete dynamical system (cascade) generated by a homeomorphism induces a continuous
dynamic system (flow) — a suspension. However, not every flow is equivalent to a suspension
over a cascade, a necessary and sufficient condition for this is the existence of a global
section for the flow. In the case of the existence, the flow is equivalent to ...
Added: April 24, 2026
Kazaryan M., Dunin-Barkowski P., Bychkov B. et al., Selecta Mathematica, New Series 2026 Vol. 32 Article 25
We revise the notion of the blobbed topological recursion by extending it to the setting of generalized topological recursion as well as allowing blobs which do not necessarily admit topological expansion. We show that the so-called non-perturbative differentials form a special case of this revisited version of blobbed topological recursion. Furthermore, we prove the KP ...
Added: April 23, 2026
Kazaryan M., Lando S., Kodaneva N., Journal of Geometry and Physics 2026 No. 225 Article 105841
Weight systems associated to the Lie algebras 𝔤𝔩(N) for N = 1,2,... can be unified into auniversal one. The construction is based on an extension of the 𝔤𝔩(N) weight systems to permutations. This universal weight system takes values in the algebra of polynomials C[N;C1,C2,...] in infinitely many variables. We show that under the substitution Cm ...
Added: April 23, 2026
Kychkin A., Chernitsin I., Прикладная информатика 2026 Т. 21 № 1 С. 40–58
The results of the development of a software microservice embedded in atmospheric air quality monitoring systems to support the identification of industrial pollution sources are presented. The emission and subsequent spread of harmful substances in the lower layers of the atmosphere is dynamic and characterized by high uncertainty due to the specific features of technological ...
Added: April 23, 2026
Ankudinov I., Социология: методология, методы, математическое моделирование 2025 № 61 С. 165–203
The changing political mood of Russians is a constant subject of interest for sociological agencies. With the development of the Internet, conventional questionnaire research began to be supplemented by online surveys and, despite some skepticism, by social media mining. This article attempts to adjust an accidental web-sample so as to bring its estimates closer to ...
Added: April 22, 2026
IEEE, 2026.
Added: April 21, 2026
Galkin O., Galkina S., Ястребова И. Ю., Журнал Средневолжского математического общества 2026 Т. 28 № №1 С. 11–30
Polynomials of least deviation from zero play an important role in the theory and practice of numerical methods. They can be used to solve problems of optimizing the properties of various computational algorithms. Our work is devoted to the study of polynomials of least deviation from zero on a ray in the exponential norm. In ...
Added: April 20, 2026
Zlotnik Alexander, / Series arXiv "math". 2026. No. 2602.03481v1.
We deal with the global in time weak solutions to the 1D compressible Navier-Stokes system of equations for large discontinuous initial data and nonhomogeneous boundary conditions of three standard types. We prove the Lipschitz-type continuous dependence of the solution $(\eta,u,\theta)$, in a norm slightly stronger than $L^{2,\infty}(Q)\times L^2(Q)\times L^2(Q)$, on the initial data $(\eta^0,u^0,e^0)$ in a ...
Added: April 18, 2026
Petrov I., Doklady Mathematics 2026 Vol. Volume 112 P. S103–S110
This paper examines games on networks with linear best responses, which allow for the analysis of how interaction structures influence agents’ strategic behavior. Special attention is given to intervention issues in such models, particularly in selecting optimal intervention strategies aimed at maximizing the central planner’s objective function. Two main control policies are analyzed: individual agent ...
Added: April 17, 2026
A. V. Pereskokov, Theoretical and Mathematical Physics 2026 Vol. 226 No. 3 P. 470–484
We consider the spectral problem for a hydrogen atom in orthogonal electric and magnetic fields with
an additional self-consistent field. We obtain an asymptotic expansion of self-consistent energy levels.
We find an asymptotic expansion of asymptotic eigenfunctions near the sphere |q| = 2. We calculate the
asymptotics of their norm in the space L2(R3). ...
Added: April 12, 2026
Kolachev N., Адамский А. И., Drozdov D. et al., Моделирование и анализ данных 2026 Т. 16 № 1 С. 157–176
Context and relevance. Despite the widespread adoption of the competency-based approach in higher education, a gap remains between the understanding of competence as a dynamic process and the tools available for its design and management. Dominant practices of learning outcomes assessment rely on static “snapshots,” which limits the possibilities for forecasting and purposeful development of competence. ...
Added: April 10, 2026
Ustyuzhanin V., / Series Econometrics "arxiv". 2026.
This paper proposes Covariate-Balanced Weighted Stacked Difference-in-Differences (CBWSDID), a design-based extension of weighted stacked DID for settings in which untreated trends may be conditionally rather than unconditionally parallel. The estimator separates within-subexperiment design adjustment from across-subexperiment aggregation: matching or weighting improves treated-control comparability within each stacked subexperiment, while the corrective stacked weights of Wing et ...
Added: April 3, 2026
Vorchik A., / Social Science Research Network. Серия SSRN Working Paper Series "SSRN Working Paper Series". 2026.
This article is devoted to the phenomenon of intrinsic motivation, to understand which two models are proposed. We study how positive/negative intrinsic motivation to work (experienced utility) affects worker's individual labour supply (model I) and the amount of effort they exert (model II). In model I, we use intrinsic motivation to explain the positive/negative slope ...
Added: March 15, 2026
Hushchyn M., Arzymatov K., Derkach D., Machine Learning 2026 Vol. 115 Article 56
Moments when a time series changes its behavior are called change points. Occurrence of change point implies that the state of the system is altered and its timely detection might help to prevent unwanted consequences. In this paper, we present two change-point detection approaches based on neural networks and online learning. These algorithms demonstrate linear ...
Added: March 6, 2026
Троцкая И. А., Львова О. А., Короткова Е. В. et al., В кн.: Медицинское образование, наука, практика : Сборник статей X Международной научно-практической конференции молодых ученых и студентов, 22-23 апреля 2025 г. Т.2.: Екатеринбург: ФГБОУ ВО УГМУ Минздрава России, 2025. С. 673–679.
Pediatric ischemic stroke is considered to be a rare condition. Correct recognition of the acute symptoms
and further monitoring of the dynamics of them may allow predicting the child's development and further adaptation. The aim of the study was to provide clinical and imaging features of the acute period of ischemic stroke with debut at an ...
Added: March 2, 2026
Карелина М. Г., Mkhitarian V., Финансы и бизнес 2025 Т. 21 № 4 С. 49–65
Дизельное топливо играет важную роль в российской экономике, его значимость обусловлена высокой эффективностью, экономичностью, надежностью и широким спектром применения. Россия один из крупнейших вмире экспортеров дизельного топлива, что обеспечивает значительные поступления в бюджет страны и является геополитическим инструментом в рамках глобальных трансформационных процессов. Статистическая оценка развития российского рынка дизельного топлива в представленной работе проводилась в ...
Added: February 20, 2026
Vorchik A., Мамышев М. А., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2025.
In this paper, we develop a formal mathematical model aimed to explain the Dunning-Kruger effect that beginners systematically overestimate their own competence in various fields of knowledge and activity. We argue that the Dunning-Kruger effect arises from the emotional nature of confidence combined with unknown unknowns that it simply can not take into account due ...
Added: February 11, 2026
Musaev A. U., Vorchik A., / Series Social Science Research Network "Social Science Research Network". 2026.
This paper attempts to model the evolutionary theory of modernization and democratization. The model reflects the key provisions of R. Inglehart and C. Welzel's theory and provides a microfoundation for the adaptation of subjective values to the objective importances of the survival factors and the structure of the labour markets from the perspective of evolutionary ...
Added: February 10, 2026