• A
  • A
  • A
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
Обычная версия сайта
  • RU
  • EN
  • HSE University
  • Publications
  • Articles
  • Математическая модель возникновения ошибок в работах проекта
  • RU
  • EN
Расширенный поиск
Высшая школа экономики
Национальный исследовательский университет
Priority areas
  • business informatics
  • economics
  • engineering science
  • humanitarian
  • IT and mathematics
  • law
  • management
  • mathematics
  • sociology
  • state and public administration
by year
  • 2027
  • 2026
  • 2025
  • 2024
  • 2023
  • 2022
  • 2021
  • 2020
  • 2019
  • 2018
  • 2017
  • 2016
  • 2015
  • 2014
  • 2013
  • 2012
  • 2011
  • 2010
  • 2009
  • 2008
  • 2007
  • 2006
  • 2005
  • 2004
  • 2003
  • 2002
  • 2001
  • 2000
  • 1999
  • 1998
  • 1997
  • 1996
  • 1995
  • 1994
  • 1993
  • 1992
  • 1991
  • 1990
  • 1989
  • 1988
  • 1987
  • 1986
  • 1985
  • 1984
  • 1983
  • 1982
  • 1981
  • 1980
  • 1979
  • 1978
  • 1977
  • 1976
  • 1975
  • 1974
  • 1973
  • 1972
  • 1971
  • 1970
  • 1969
  • 1968
  • 1967
  • 1966
  • 1965
  • 1964
  • 1963
  • 1958
  • More
Subject
News
August 25, 2026
Scientists Develop Algorithm for More Reliable Processors in Data Centres
Researchers from HSE MIEM and Samara University have developed the LRF-3D algorithm to automatically bypass idle nodes in three-dimensional networks-on-chip. Thanks to its hierarchical architecture, the algorithm outperforms existing solutions in both speed and path accuracy, improving processor reliability for use in data centres, supercomputers, and AI computing. The source code and test results are publicly available.
August 24, 2026
Researchers Develop Method for Direct Generation of Regulatory DNA
Researchers at HSE University have developed a model for generating promoters and enhancers—DNA sequences that regulate gene activity. The model works directly with DNA nucleotides, without first transforming them into a continuous numerical representation. This solution could be useful for applications in synthetic biology and gene therapy. The study results were presented at the ICLR 2026 Workshop ‘Generative AI in Genomics (Gen^2): Barriers and Frontiers.’
August 21, 2026
Social Integration: At the Crossroads of Knowledge and Values
The International Laboratory for Social Integration Research (ILSIR) at HSE University studies the challenges faced by vulnerable groups and explores ways to help them participate fully in everyday life. To develop effective solutions, the laboratory’s researchers combine cutting-edge methods with practical fieldwork. In this interview with the HSE News Service, Laboratory Head Elena Iarskaia-Smirnova discusses the laboratory’s work.

 

Have you spotted a typo?
Highlight it, click Ctrl+Enter and send us a message. Thank you for your help!

Publications
  • Books
  • Articles
  • Chapters of books
  • Working papers
  • Report a publication
  • Research at HSE

?

Математическая модель возникновения ошибок в работах проекта

Современная наука: актуальные проблемы теории и практики. Серия: Естественные и технические науки. 2016. № 11. С. 44–48.
Maron M.

Emergence of faults in the works is standard project’s risk. For an assessment of consequences of this risk, it is desirable to know probabilities of faults. At the same time, property of uniqueness of a project, as a rule, does not allow to find required probabilities by means of statistical data. In this article offered the mathematical model for definition of probabilities of faults at implementation of the project. In this model accepted duration of work as a measure of its complexity, and the flow of the arising faults considered as Poisson.

Research target: Economics and Management Computer Science
Priority areas: management engineering science
Language: Russian
Full text
Text on another site
Keywords: Poisson flowпуассоновский потокпроектный рискprobabilities of faults project’s risksвероятности ошибок
Similar publications
Characterizing the Scheduling Performance of 5G NR Base Stations Under Signaling and Data Traffic Constraints
Eduard Sopin, Nazarin A., Begishev V. et al., IEEE Transactions on Vehicular Technology 2026 Vol. 75 No. 6 P. 10995–11007
Aimed at rate-greedy applications having extreme requirements for the data rate at the air interface, 5G New Radio (NR) systems may experience problems when the number of user equipment (UE) in the coverage of the cell increases due to limited capacity of the physical downlink control channel (PDCCH).The aim of this study is to explore ...
Added: August 26, 2026
Генерация исходного кода с использованием больших языковых моделей: систематический обзор методологии Вайб-кодинг
Джонов А. Т., Avdoshin S. M., Информационные технологии 2026 Т. 32 № 8 С. 421–427
This systematic review presents an analysis of the "Vibe Coding" methodology — a contemporary approach to the iterative software development process using Large Language Models (LLMs). Code generation tools are transforming software development by enabling programmers to formulate tasks and describe the desired behavior of software in natural language, while LLMs generate source code corresponding ...
Added: August 25, 2026
An adaptive image watermarking scheme using cooperation of HBA and RSA metaheuristics
Melman A., Evsyutin O., Journal of the Franklin Institute 2026 Vol. 363 No. 15 Article 109005
Open access to images creates opportunities for violation of the authors' rights. Digital watermarks can be used to securely publish images online. They are invisibly added into the images before publication and can be extracted at any time to verify ownership. However, achieving a balance between embedding imperceptibility and robustness to image processing operations is ...
Added: August 25, 2026
Proceedings of the 2026 12th International Conference on Control, Decision and Information Technologies (CoDIT) (Italy, Bari, July 13–16, 2026)
IEEE, 2026.
It is with great pleasure that we welcome all the participants of the 12th Conference on Control, Decision and Information Technologies (CoDIT 2026) at the Polytechnic University of Bari – Orabona Street 4, 70125 Bari, Italy, July 13-16, 2026. CoDIT has grown to become one of the largest conferences organized in Europe and in the ...
Added: August 24, 2026
VOLATILITY FORECASTING FROM ECONOMETRICS TO ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE: A FOUR-STAGE REVIEW OF THE EVIDENCE PIPELINE FROM FORECAST ACCURACY TO PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE
Lysenok N., International Journal of Computer Information Systems and Industrial Management Applications 2026 Vol. 18 No. 18s P. 1406–1430
A volatility forecast becomes useful only after it has passed through four stages: a model produces it, a trading rule consumes it, a portfolio aggregates the result, and an investor evaluates that result against a utility function. Each stage has its own mature evaluation apparatus, and each is studied in isolation. This review traces the ...
Added: August 23, 2026
Gender, performance, and prize money: a study of pay discrimination against female teams in eSports
Parshakov P., Humanities and Social Sciences Communications 2026 Vol. 13 No. 1 P. 1–7
This study investigates gender‑based disparities in viewership and prize money within Counter‑Strike: Global Offensive competitions, using data from the ESL Impact League (female‑only) and comparable male leagues. Because esports performance depends chiefly on strategic choices and fine motor skills rather than physical strength, this setting offers a distinctive lens for examining gender equity where bodily ...
Added: August 22, 2026
Пересмотры ВВП: данные и оценка статистических свойств
Астафьева Е.В., Турунцева М. Ю., Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики 2021 Т. 25 № 1 С. 65–101
В основе принятия своевременных экономико-политических решений и бизнес-планирования лежит мониторинг текущей ситуации и прогнозирование путей развития экономической активности, базу которых составляют официальные статистические оценки значений различных показателей. В этой связи переоценка данных и прогнозы, основанные на более ранних либо поздних оценках, потенциально могут повлечь за собой совершенно различные экономико-политические решения. Согласно официальной методике Росстата, публикуется ...
Added: August 21, 2026
Оценка качества краткосрочных прогнозов некоторых российских экономических показателей (апрель 2009 г. - май 2022 г.)
Астафьева Е., Турунцева М., Научный вестник ИЭП им. Гайдара.ру (электронный журнал) 2022 № 7 С. 32–35
В статье приводятся результаты анализа качественных свойств прогнозов некоторых показателей, ежемесячно публикуемых Институтом экономической политики имени. Е.Т. Гайдара в «Научном вестнике ИЭП им. Гайдара.ру» (далее – «прогнозы ИЭП»). Мы рассматриваем простейшие статистики (MAPE, MAE, RMSE) как прогнозов ИЭП, так и альтернативных прогнозов (наивных, наивных сезонных и прогнозов, построенных с использованием скользящего среднего). Помимо сравнительного анализа на основе ...
Added: August 21, 2026
Оценка качества краткосрочных прогнозов некоторых российских экономических показателей (апрель 2009 г. - май 2021 г.)
Астафьева Е., Турунцева М., Научный вестник ИЭП им. Гайдара.ру (электронный журнал) 2021 № 7 С. 32–35
В статье приводятся результаты анализа качественных свойств прогнозов некоторых показателей, ежемесячно публикуемых Институтом экономической политики имени. Е.Т. Гайдара в «Научном вестнике ИЭП им. Гайдара.ру» (далее – «прогнозы ИЭП»). Мы рассматриваем простейшие статистики (MAPE, MAE, RMSE) как прогнозов ИЭП, так и альтернативных прогнозов (наивных, наивных сезонных и прогнозов, построенных с использованием скользящего среднего). Помимо сравнительного анализа на основе ...
Added: August 21, 2026
Оценка качества краткосрочных прогнозов некоторых российских экономических показателей (апрель 2009 г. - ноябрь 2020 г.)
Астафьева Е., Турунцева М., Научный вестник ИЭП им. Гайдара.ру (электронный журнал) 2021 № 1 С. 32–35
В статье приводятся результаты анализа качественных свойств прогнозов некоторых показателей, ежемесячно публикуемых Институтом экономической политики имени. Е.Т. Гайдара в «Научном вестнике ИЭП им. Гайдара.ру» (далее – «прогнозы ИЭП»). Мы рассматриваем простейшие статистики (MAPE, MAE, RMSE) как прогнозов ИЭП, так и альтернативных прогнозов (наивных, наивных сезонных и прогнозов, построенных с использованием скользящего среднего). Помимо сравнительного анализа на основе ...
Added: August 21, 2026
Повышение качества прогнозирования простейшими методами комбинирования отдельных прогнозов
Астафьева Е.В., Турунцева М. Ю., Прикладная эконометрика 2024 Т. 74 № 2 С. 78–103
Комбинирование прогнозов считается наиболее простым способом улучшения каче‑ ства прогнозирования по сравнению с индивидуальными моделями. В данной работе проверяются возможности простейших методов комбинирования, таких как простое среднее и оценки на основе среднеквадратической ошибки прогнозов предыдущих пери‑ одов, для улучшения качественных характеристик краткосрочных прогнозов пяти по‑ казателей цен на ресурсы (нефть и металлы). В основе работы ...
Added: August 21, 2026
Анализ качества методов корректировки и комбинирования прогнозов внешнеторговых показателей
Астафьева Е.В., Турунцева М. Ю., Вестник Евразийской науки 2025 Т. 17 № 6
В работе исследуются возможности использования простых процедур корректировки и объединения прогнозов. Мы оцениваем влияние применения этих процедур (методов простой корректировки, простых и регрессионных методов комбинирования) на качество прогнозов показателей российского экспорта во все страны и импорта из всех стран. В общей сложности мы использовали четыре метода корректировки, 9 методов простого комбинирования и семь регрессионных методов. ...
Added: August 21, 2026
From data to knowledge: artificial intelligence methods for studying comorbidity in electronic health records
Лукьяненко Д. В., Ragimova A., Мухорина А. et al., European Physical Journal: Special Topics 2026 P. 1–24
Electronic health records (EHRs) contain vast volumes of clinical information that encode complex relationships between diseases. Traditional approaches to the analysis of interrelated or co-occurring diseases have focused on pairwise associations between diagnoses, missing the higher-order structures that characterise multimorbid patients. The present paper offers a narrative review of existing statistical, machine-learning, and artificial intelligence ...
Added: August 20, 2026
Proceedings of the Generative Code Intelligence Workshop (GeCoIn 2026), co-located with the 35th International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence (IJCAI-ECAI 2026)
CEUR-WS.org, 2026.
The second edition of the Generative Code Intelligence Workshop (GeCoIn 2026) was held in conjunction with the 35th International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence (IJCAI-ECAI 2026), in Bremen, Germany, August 16, 2026. The workshop arose from the desire to bring together a research community that has, in recent years, witnessed rapid progress in the application ...
Added: August 20, 2026
MM-PSYCHE: Multimodal Multitask Psychological Characteristic Estimation Through Cross-Domain Semi-Supervised Learning
Ryumina E., Aksenov A., Koryakovskaya D. et al., IEEE Access 2026 Vol. 14 P. 124759–124778
Psychological characteristic estimation from multimodal in-the-wild behavior is usually studied using separate corpora, each annotated for a single target task. Such annotation fragmentation limits cross-task learning and cross-domain generalization across affective, dispositional, and interactional phenomena. To address this problem, we use emotion, apparent personality trait, and ambivalence recognition as representative tasks and introduce MM-PSYCHE, a ...
Added: August 20, 2026
Similar outputs, different positions: convergence and divergence in research activity of public and private universities in EU candidate countries
Matveeva N., Yudkevich M., Higher Education 2026 P. 1–20
This study draws on neo-institutional theory and the convergence/divergence debate in higher education research to examine whether public and private universities in EU candidate countries converge or diverge in their research activity and collaboration patterns. We analyse Scopus-indexed publication data for 43 universities across Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Georgia, North Macedonia and Serbia for the ...
Added: August 19, 2026
Финансирование проектов «Пояс и Путь» и «Север Юг»: сравнительный анализ
Biryukova O. V., Barzunov D., Pautov A., Проблемы Дальнего Востока 2026 № 4
The formation of new transcontinental transport arteries intensifies geoeconomic competition in Eurasia and requires the development of sustainable models of investment cooperation. The Chinese Belt and Road Initiative and the International North—South Transport Corridor represent distinct institutional concepts for infrastructure financing, differing in their sources of capital, degree of centralization, and mechanisms of risk allocation. ...
Added: August 19, 2026
Proceedings of the 1st Workshop on Linguistic Analysis for Health (HeaLing 2026)
Association for Computational Linguistics, 2026.
19th Conference of the European Chapter of the Association for Computational Linguistics, Workshop on Linguistic Analysis for Health (2026) ...
Added: August 19, 2026
Hypergraphs from multivariate connectivity: caCOH-based EEG/MEG representation
Vlasenko D., Saranskaia I., Zakharov D., European Physical Journal: Special Topics 2026 P. 1–16
Hypergraphs provide a natural framework for representing neurophysiological interactions distributed across sets of sensors. A key methodological question is how hyperedges should be defined from frequency-resolved electroencephalography/magnetoencephalography (EEG/MEG) data. We demonstrate a construction strategy in which hyperedges are obtained from canonical coherence (caCOH), an extension of coherence that estimates coupling between multidimensional signal spaces. To ...
Added: August 18, 2026
La universidad de quinta generación Un paradigma centrado en la persona
Gaete Sepulveda M. A., Navarra: Eunsa, 2026.
Toward the Fifth-Generation University (5GU) is a work that proposes a transformative governance framework for institutions of higher education, capable of addressing the challenges of sustainability, digital reflexivity, and co-creation with multiple stakeholders. Drawing on a historical overview from University 1.0—focused on the preservation of knowledge—to University 5.0, the text presents a model centered on ...
Added: August 18, 2026
Defining the Right Level of Risk in Organizational Innovation:Factors, Criteria, and Strategic Balance
Alena Bernyukevich, / Series WP BRP "Basic research program". 2025.
This essay explores the complex issue of determining the appropriate level of risk when implementing innovations within organizations. While innovation is widely recognized as a cornerstone of competitiveness, growth, and sustainability, excessive or poorly managed risk can lead to significant challenges. The discussion highlights key factors influencing acceptable risk levels, including alignment with corporate goals, ...
Added: August 17, 2026
Assessing the impact of economic sanctions on the socio-economic development of a sanctioned country -testing a new research approach using the data on the socio-economic development of Russia in 2022-2025
Gurkov I. B., Kossov V. V., Filinov N. et al., / NRU Higher School of Economics. Series MAN "Management". 2026. No. N/A.
This research note is devoted to assessing the socioeconomic impact of sanctions of sanctioned countries and uses the data on Russia in 2022-2024. We use for the analysis four fundamental socioeconomic parameters-the expected length of life of males at birth, the misery index (Okun's index), the level of Gross Domestic Product at purchasing parity prices, ...
Added: June 11, 2026
Perovskite nanoparticles Cs4PbBr6 and CsPbBr3: synthesis, analysis and peculiar optical properties
Гущина В. А., / Series chemrxiv-2023-vpzhz-v2 "ChemRxiv". 2023.
All-inorganic perovskite CsPbBr3 and Cs4PbBr6 nanoparticles are being intensively studied due to their unique properties and wide range of applications; however, however, the nature of their optical properties is not yet fully understood due to the difficulty of synthesis of singlephase nanoparticles. In this article we describe the features of the synthesis of single-phase particles ...
Added: May 14, 2026
Algorithmic overlaps as thermodynamic variables: from local to cluster Monte Carlo dynamics in critical phenomena
Pilé I., Deng Y., Shchur L., / Series arXiv "math". 2026. No. 2604.10254.
We investigate the spatial overlap of successive spin configurations in Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations using the local Metropolis algorithm and the Svendsen-Wang and Wolff cluster algorithms. We examine the dynamics of these algorithms for two models in different universality classes: the Ising model and the Potts model with three components. The overlap of two ...
Added: April 20, 2026
  • About
  • About
  • Key Figures & Facts
  • Sustainability at HSE University
  • Faculties & Departments
  • International Partnerships
  • Faculty & Staff
  • HSE Buildings
  • HSE University for Persons with Disabilities
  • Public Enquiries
  • Studies
  • Admissions
  • Programme Catalogue
  • Undergraduate
  • Graduate
  • Exchange Programmes
  • Summer University
  • Summer Schools
  • Semester in Moscow
  • Business Internship
  • Research
  • International Laboratories
  • Research Centres
  • Research Projects
  • Monitoring Studies
  • Conferences & Seminars
  • Academic Jobs
  • Yasin (April) International Academic Conference on Economic and Social Development
  • Media & Resources
  • Publications by staff
  • HSE Journals
  • Publishing House
  • iq.hse.ru: commentary by HSE experts
  • Library
  • Economic & Social Data Archive
  • Video
  • HSE Repository of Socio-Economic Information
  • HSE1993–2026
  • Contacts
  • Copyright
  • Privacy Policy
  • Site Map
Edit