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  • Эмпирическое сравнение математических методов построения динамических рядов системы таблиц «затраты-выпуск»

Article

Эмпирическое сравнение математических методов построения динамических рядов системы таблиц «затраты-выпуск»

Кузнецов С. Ю., Пионтковский Д. И., Соколов Д. Д., Старчикова О. С.

We investigate the relative effectiveness of the projection methods of Supply and Use tables in relation to Use tables. The empirical bases of the study are the Use tables of 28 countries for the period from 1995 to 2010 from WIOD project. We conduct a comparative study of three mathematical methods that have proven the most effective in constructing projection of Use tables for Spain and the Netherlands from the investigation of Temurshoev, Webb, and Yamano (2011).The most effective of these methods is GRAS, a version of the classical RAS algorithm. The results of applying this method under the number of criteria are closer to the published tables than the results of the INSD method and Kuroda method, which are based on quadratic programming. We conclude that GRAS method is a priority in the extrapolation of Use tables for Russia.