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Article

Моделирование эпидемической ситуации с учетом внешних рисков

Гришунина Ю.Б., Контаров Н. А., Архарова Г. В., Юминова Н. В.

In this paper we propose a method of mathematical modeling of the epidemiological situation, taking into account external factors. An algorithm for finding the parameters of the model based on the results of observations, based on the method of least squares. Investigated the dependence of the epidemiological situation of the various parameters and external factors, as well as the ability to manage the development of epidemics by influencing these factors. Proposed the concept of the system of monitoring the epidemic situation, taking into account the external risks.