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News
July 9, 2026
HSE Economists Use Search Queries to Forecast Birth Rates
Researchers from the HSE Faculty of Economic Sciences have shown that the accuracy of birth rate forecasts for Russia can be improved by almost 50% by incorporating the dynamics of online search queries related to pregnancy and childbirth into forecasting models. In the best-performing models, the forecasting error fell from 4.6% to 3.2%. The findings have been published in Populations and Economics.
July 8, 2026
HSE Researchers Discover Who Eats Out in Russia-And Why
Around one-third of Russians (31.3%) rarely eat out or buy ready-made meals. The core group of active consumers—those who eat out or purchase prepared food almost every day or several times a week—accounts for only about 9% of the population. These are the findings of a study conducted by the HSE Institute for Social Policy. According to the researchers eating out is no longer a marker of high social status in Russia.
July 8, 2026
HSE University and RREDA Join Forces to Support 2026 Renewable Energy of the Planet Competition
HSE University and the Russia Renewable Energy Development Association (RREDA) have signed a partnership and information cooperation agreement to support Renewable Energy of the Planet—2026, a national competition with international participation for students and early-career researchers. Applications are open on the competition's website until September 20, 2026.

 

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Detecting Ethnic Conflict in Social Media with Transformers and Augmented Data

Procedia Computer Science. 2025. Vol. 258. P. 2382–2390.
Koltsova O., Surkov A.

Chest X-ray pathology prediction play a very important role in early disease detection, enabling timely intervention and improving patient outcomes. Detection of ethnic conflict mentioning, discussion, or verbal participation therein in user-generated content is a socially important task, as such content has been proven related to ethnic clashes on the ground. Yet this task has not been studied. One of the reasons is the lack of relevant datasets which calls for the usage of data augmentation techniques, still uncommon for NLP. We propose a solution for Russian language by fine-tuning a pretrained transformer encoder enhanced with several standard and novel data augmentation approaches. The highest quality of F1-macro = 0.8 is obtained with fine-tuned ROBERTA model combined with our novel augmentation technique which generates new training data by randomly swapping ethnonyms. This eliminates classification algorithms’ over-reliance on rare ethnonyms and prevents overfitting. Although the contribution of augmentation is modest, when exposed to a relevant adversarial attack, our model turns out to be the most sustainable with its quality advantage over the baseline reaching 0.05 on the target class. This advantage is achieved by training the model on the texts with randomly replaced ethnonyms which eliminates the model’s over-reliance on ethnonyms occurring exclusively or mostly in a single class in the training set. Thus our approach is expected to be useful for elimination of similar effects in the tasks such as aspect-based sentiment analysis with large numbers of aspects. We also conduct error analysis and conclude which categories of texts usually cause inaccurate prediction

Research target: Social Sciences Computer Science
Language: English
DOI
Keywords: Russian languageFine tuningSocial Mediadata augmentationLarge language models (LLM)Ethnic conflict detection
Publication based on the results of:
Analysis of Human Interaction with Information and Improvement of Algorithms of Information Processing (2025)
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