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Green Bonds in Russia: Market and Macroeconomic Factors of Returns
Journal of Applied Economic Research. 2025. Vol. 24. No. 4. P. 1249–1279.
The Russian green bond market is still in its early stage of development but has been expanding in response to global demand for sustainable finance and domestic economic challenges. This context makes the analysis of factors shaping its performance particularly relevant. The aim of this study is to quantify the influence of macroeconomic variables, such as inflation, GDP growth, Brent oil prices, exchange rate fluctuations, and policy uncertainty, together with market indicators including Moscow Exchange index, bond yield spreads, credit ratings, and new issuance volume, on the capital returns of Russian green bonds between December 2022 and February 2025. The study proceeds from the hypothesis that both macroeconomic conditions and market sentiment determine green bond performance, with inflation, exchange rates, and bond indices expected to exert the strongest effects. Methodologically, a dynamic panel framework estimated by system Generalized Method of Moments is applied, while Fixed- and Random-Effects models provide robustness checks. The empirical analysis reveals persistence in returns, with a significant positive effect of two-month lagged values. Inflation is positively and significantly associated with returns, while ruble appreciation also exerts a positive effect in the GMM model. The Moscow Exchange Bonds Index emerges as another significant factor, indicating close co-movement with the broader bond market. In contrast, GDP growth, Brent oil, policy uncertainty, credit ratings, yield spreads, and issuance volumes show limited or insignificant influence. These findings enrich the literature on sustainable finance in emerging, resource-dependent economies by highlighting the dominant role of inflation and bond market dynamics. For practitioners, the results reiterate the need to account for inflationary and exchange rate conditions, while regulators should prioritize liquidity and integration of green bonds into established market infrastructure.
Lola I. S., Ostapkovich G. V., Asoskov D., ИСИЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ, 2026.
Центр конъюнктурных исследований Института статистических исследований и экономики знаний НИУ ВШЭ представляет информационно-аналитический материал «Потребительские настроения населения в III квартале 2026 г.», подготовленный в рамках Программы фундаментальных исследований НИУ ВШЭ.
В основу обзора положены ежеквартальные опросы более 5 тыс. человек в возрасте от 16 лет и старше. Такие опросы Федеральная служба государственной статистики (Росстат) проводит во всех субъектах ...
Added: October 6, 2026
Rastvortseva S., Tyushkevich Y., Salushkina Z. S., Journal of regional and international competitiveness 2026 Vol. 7 No. 2 P. 38–49
This paper examines the contemporary models of international competitiveness adopted by Big Tech corporations between 2010 and 2025. The study aims to identify the internal drivers underpinning the resilience of technological giants and to assess their capacity to withstand external shocks, including sanctions, geo-economic fragmentation, and regulatory shifts. To achieve this objective, the authors employ ...
Added: October 5, 2026
De Gruyter, 2026.
Post-Soviet Eurasia is one of the world's most geopolitically consequential and rapidly transforming regions. Developments across it increasingly reshape political, economic and social relations far beyond its borders. Understanding these dynamics is therefore both intellectually urgent and analytically demanding, requiring an interdisciplinary approach capable of moving beyond established categories and fragmented national perspectives.
This handbook provides ...
Added: October 5, 2026
М.: Национальный исследовательский университет "Высшая школа экономики", 2026.
В шестнадцатом выпуске электронного издания «Вестник Российского мониторинга экономического положения и здоровья населения НИУ ВШЭ (RLMSHSE)» представлены работы, подготовленные на основании данных лонгитюдного обследования домохозяйств «Российский мониторинг экономического положения и здоровья населения НИУ ВШЭ» (РМЭЗ НИУ ВШЭ) за 1992–2024 гг. В выпуске рассматриваются динамика доходов и расходов российских домохозяйств, тенденции развития рынка труда, социальное самочувствие ...
Added: October 5, 2026
Милицына П. С., Rozhkova K., Roshchin S. et al., Высшее образование в России 2026 № 8-9 С. 94–115
Привлечение и удержание молодых педагогов в школах является одним из важнейших вопросов для преодоления проблемы кадрового дефицита в системе образования. В статье анализируются особенности трудоустройства выпускников российских вузов педагогических специальностей выпуска 2021–2022 гг. На основе тотальных административных данных выявлены факторы, влияющие на вероятность их первоначального трудоустройства в школу и последующего закрепления в профессии. Результаты показывают, ...
Added: October 5, 2026
Автухова Е. Э., Larionov A., Плачинда К. Д., М.: Экономический факультет МГУ им. М.В. Ломоносова, 2026.
Данное методическое пособие разработано в соответствии с рабочей программой курса «Банковское дело», реализуемого на Экономическом факультете МГУ имени М. В. Ломоносова по специальности «Экономика» (бакалавриат), и может быть рекомендовано для подготовки к семинарским занятиям и самостоятельной работе студентов. ...
Added: October 4, 2026
Demidova O., Kazakova S., Applied Economics 2026 P. 1–14
This paper examines the nonlinear relationship between inflation and economic growth across Russian regions, contributing to the literature on the inflation-growth nexus by using subnational evidence from a large and economically heterogeneous country. Using panel data for 83 regions over the period 2015–2023, we estimate fixed-effects models with a quadratic specification of inflation. The growth-maximizing ...
Added: October 3, 2026
Tikhonova N. E., Karavay A., Социологическая наука и социальная практика 2026 Т. 14 № 3 С. 12–36
Drawing on data from the 2024 RLMS-HSE, the article shows that employmentrelated risks are increasingly being shifted onto workers in Russia, while employment differentiation already affects more than 40% of employed Russians, even without taking into account deviations from standard working hours, which are typical of most representatives of the mass social strata. Employment differentiation in Russia is characterized, ...
Added: October 2, 2026
Белов Б. П., Kocharian R., Самойлов И. А. et al., Стандарты и качество 2026 № 10 С. 105–109
Acceptance of enterprise AI search requires checking answer correctness and access controls, defining acceptable errors, and assessing whether testing is sufficient. A record for individual acceptance criteria was developed. Its eight fields link requirements and risks to system configuration, testing, and the acceptance decision. The fields are mapped to provisions in four Russian standards. The ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Пилюк Е. Р., Rozmainsky I. V., Журнал институциональных исследований 2026 Т. 18 № 3 С. 77–96
This paper analyzes the financial fragility оf cоmpanies in Saudi Arabia frоm 2012 tо 2025 based оn the Hyman Minsky’s financial instability hypоthesis and is the first attempt to apply this theory to a country dominated by Islamic banking. The authors test not only the relationship between the dynamics of financial fragility and the dynamics ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Klaro Ramires P. M., Veselova A., AlterEconomics (ранее - Журнал экономической теории) 2026 Т. 23 № 3 С. 699–718
As Russia transitions toward a green economy and reshapes its sustainable development agenda, understanding the external and internal factors influencing companies’ adoption of ESG principles is increasingly important. The study examines the relationships between external institutional pressure, internal organizational capabilities, and the effectiveness of corporate ESG practices. It focuses on external regulatory and non-regulatory mechanisms, ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Potanin B., Dolgikh S., Statistics and Probability Letters 2027 Article 110984
We derive bounds on the gradient and Hessian of the log-CDF, ln F(x), of the multivariate normal distribution. These bounds scale linearly and quadratically in ‖x‖ , respectively, with constants depending only on the covariance matrix. We demonstrate the usefulness of these bounds by proving asymptotic normality of the maximum-likelihood estimator of the multivariate probit ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Klochko O., Кузнецова М. П., Пространственная экономика 2026 Т. 22 № 3 С. 73–103
The article assesses China’s technological sovereignty in high-tech industries that form the ecosystem of physical artificial intelligence and its readiness to develop intelligent robotics. The aim of the study is to identify changes in China’s position in the global value chains of these industries through a comprehensive analysis of foreign value added used in production, ...
Added: October 1, 2026
Nikulina Y., Jamali Jaghdani T., Götz L. et al., / Series "Working Papers". 2026.
The impact of state subsidies on Russia's post-Soviet dairy output remains controversial; this study provides an empirical analysis of that relationship. Using an unbalanced panel dataset of 123 dairy enterprises in the Leningrad Region spanning the period from 2010 to 2023, we employ stochastic frontier analysis to assess these relationships. The results indicate that subsidies ...
Added: September 30, 2026
Nazarova A. G., Журнал Новой экономической ассоциации 2026 № 3(72) С. 87–104
The article explores how results of constructing aggregate national transfer accounts’ (NTA) estimates can be used for macroeconomic analysis and forecasts of current transfers in home economy. It presents the findings of the author’s study of their transfer modules over retrospective period of more than 10 years. The emphasis in the paper is focused on ...
Added: September 30, 2026
Kapeliushnikov R., / Высшая школа экономики. Серия WP3 "Проблемы рынка труда". 2026. № WP3/2026/02.
The paper is the first attempt in the Russian literature to assess returns to platform employment in the Russian labor market. The theory offers no clear predictions regarding its impact on workers’ earnings: there might be both a premium and a penalty. We distinguish three groups of workers: employees; self-employed using internet-platforms; self-employed not using ...
Added: September 28, 2026
Bo S., Christofi M., Battisti E. et al., Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2026 Vol. 2028 P. 1–13
In the face of rising sustainability expectations and limited resources, startups must balance financial objectives with ESG (environmental, social, and governance) goals under uncertainty. This study examines how ESG behavior influences external resource acquisition, financing choices, and strategic outcomes in early-stage enterprises. Drawing on the entrepreneurial learning perspective, we argue that startups refine ESG strategies ...
Added: September 25, 2026
Бровкина Н. Е., Терновская Е. П., Мешкова Е. И. et al., В кн.: Банк в современной экономикеКн. Банк в современной экономике.: М.: КноРус, 2026. С. 127–147.
Banks are the central link in the national financial market and the economy as a whole. The share of bank assets in the asset structure of the Russian financial market, despite a slight decline, remains dominant relative to other participants, reaching 80%.
Russian banks are multifaceted. On the one hand, they provide working capital financing, long-term ...
Added: September 3, 2026
Proskuryakova L. N., Asia-Pacific Tech Monitor 2026 Vol. 43 No. 2 P. 13–24
Innovative financing tools and models have proved their efficiency in supporting the adoption and scale-up of emerging technologies. They have been instrumental in different regions, including the Asia-Pacific region, which stands at the forefront of technological innovation. Studies point to several persistent emerging technological constraints that include high upfront capital costs, perceived risks, and limited ...
Added: September 1, 2026
Svetlana Grigorieva, Narmin Isaeva, Aliya Azizova et al., Journal of Corporate Finance Research 2026 Vol. 20 No. 1 P. 75–85
This paper identifies the determinants of green bonds on global markets, China and Russia and evaluates the hedging effect of these instruments. We contribute to the existing literature by (1) studying the emerging markets such as Russia and China, (2) providing comparative analysis of the impact of identical factors on green bond yields on global, ...
Added: August 29, 2026
Grishunin S., Burova E., Suloeva S. et al., , in: 1st International Scientific Conference “Green Taxonomy for Sustainable Development: From Green Technologies to Green Economy” (CONGREENTAX-2024)Vol. 574.: EDP Sciences, 2024.
The paper explores the evolution of greenium in European corporate primary green bond markets from 2013 to 2023. It introduces a new perspective by studying the phases of the life cycle of this market. The sample included 22,259 bond issues from 23 European countries, with 1,040 being green bonds. During this period the green bond ...
Added: June 28, 2026
EDP Sciences, 2024.
The 1st International Scientific Conference «Green taxonomy for sustainable development: From Green Technologies to Green Economy» (CONGREENTAX-2024) was held in Tashkent, Uzbekistan. For the first time, this conference unites technical and economic sciences into a single whole, to solve theoretical and practical solutions for sustainable development. The event was organized by the National Research University ...
Added: June 28, 2026
Vukovic N., Аверина А. О., Стефанова К. А., Анализ и прогноз. Журнал ИМЭМО РАН 2026 № 1 С. 26–39
Responsible business conduct and environmental, social, and governance (ESG) policies play a crucial role in advancing the global sustainable development agenda. As businesses worldwide integrate sustainability into their strategic frameworks, ESG ratings serve as key instruments for assessing corporate responsibility and guiding investment decisions. This paper conducts a comparative analysis of major international ESG ratings ...
Added: June 19, 2026
Popov K., Писчикова Е. А., Российский журнал менеджмента 2026 Т. 24 № 1 С. 45–70
Purpose: this study aims to assess the impact of independent directors’ characteristics on voluntary ESG disclosure by Russian public non-financial companies. Methodology: this study conducts an econometric analysis of panel data on 56 large Russian public non-financial companies listed on the Moscow Stock Exchange, which published standalone ESG and sustainability reports from 2017 to 2023. Findings: the significant positive impact ...
Added: June 16, 2026