• A
  • A
  • A
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • АБВ
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
  • A
Обычная версия сайта
  • RU
  • EN
  • HSE University
  • Publications
  • Articles
  • Biological and Social Phases of Big History and Universal Evolution: Similarities, Differences, and the Growth of Complexity
  • RU
  • EN
Расширенный поиск
Высшая школа экономики
Национальный исследовательский университет
Priority areas
  • business informatics
  • economics
  • engineering science
  • humanitarian
  • IT and mathematics
  • law
  • management
  • mathematics
  • sociology
  • state and public administration
by year
  • 2027
  • 2026
  • 2025
  • 2024
  • 2023
  • 2022
  • 2021
  • 2020
  • 2019
  • 2018
  • 2017
  • 2016
  • 2015
  • 2014
  • 2013
  • 2012
  • 2011
  • 2010
  • 2009
  • 2008
  • 2007
  • 2006
  • 2005
  • 2004
  • 2003
  • 2002
  • 2001
  • 2000
  • 1999
  • 1998
  • 1997
  • 1996
  • 1995
  • 1994
  • 1993
  • 1992
  • 1991
  • 1990
  • 1989
  • 1988
  • 1987
  • 1986
  • 1985
  • 1984
  • 1983
  • 1982
  • 1981
  • 1980
  • 1979
  • 1978
  • 1977
  • 1976
  • 1975
  • 1974
  • 1973
  • 1972
  • 1971
  • 1970
  • 1969
  • 1968
  • 1967
  • 1966
  • 1965
  • 1964
  • 1963
  • 1958
  • More
Subject
News
August 12, 2026
‘I Would Like My Research to Help Make the World a Calmer and Better Place
Whatever task Saraa Ali, Junior Research Fellow at the Laboratory of Methods for Big Data Analysis (LAMBDA) of the AI and Digital Science Institute (HSE Faculty of Computer Science), is working on, she thinks about how it can benefit people. She told the Young Scientists of HSE University project about her large family, diagnosing three-phase motors, and her dream of building a children’s home in her native country.
August 11, 2026
‘The Peak of Stupidity and ‘The Valley of Despair: HSE Economists Propose an Explanation for the Dunning–Kruger Effect
The Dunning–Kruger effect, which describes a sharp surge in self-confidence among beginners followed by an equally rapid decline as they gain experience, can be explained by the nature of the learning process and the acquisition of new knowledge. This conclusion was reached by Andrey Vorchik of the HSE Faculty of Economic Sciences together with independent researcher Murat Mamyshev. They developed a mathematical model of learning and demonstrated how subjective confidence is formed and changes as knowledge accumulates, as well as how teachers can reduce the ‘valley of despair’ experienced by learners.
July 24, 2026
‘I Like Self-Fulfilling Prophecies
Andrey Vorchik studies happiness, delivers popular science lectures, and believes that science should address social issues as well. In an interview for the Young Scientists of HSE University project, he spoke about how emotions influence decision-making, the Bermuda Triangle formed by the bathroom, refrigerator, and bed, and the ideal formula for education.

 

Have you spotted a typo?
Highlight it, click Ctrl+Enter and send us a message. Thank you for your help!

Publications
  • Books
  • Articles
  • Chapters of books
  • Working papers
  • Report a publication
  • Research at HSE

?

Biological and Social Phases of Big History and Universal Evolution: Similarities, Differences, and the Growth of Complexity

Journal of Big History. 2025. Vol. 8. No. 3. P. 1–51.
Leonid Grinin, Markov A., Korotayev A.

In this paper, Grinin et al. survey general similarities and differences between biological and social macroevolution and phases of Big History. The comparison of biological and social evolution is an important but (regrettably) understudied subject. The authors have endeavored to make a systematic comparison between biological and social evolution at different levels of analysis and in various aspects. They have formulated a considerable number of general principles and rules of evolution, and worked to develop a common terminology to describe some key processes in biological and social evolution. In particular, Grinin et al. have introduced the notion of ‘social aromorphosis’ to describe the process of widely diffused social innovation that enhances the complexity, adaptability, integrity, and interconnectedness of a society or social system. This work has convinced the authors that it might be possible to find mathematical models that can describe important features of both biological and social macroevolution. In the Appendix the authors consider a concrete mathematical model that they deem capable of describing important features of both biological and social macroevolution.

Research target: Political Science, International Relations, and Public Administration
Language: English
Full text
DOI
Text on another site
Keywords: mathematical modelpopulation growthbiodiversitybiological evolutionpositive feedbackhyperbolic growthsocial evolution
Similar publications
Japan’s Soft Power Policy in Africa: Comparative Analysis with China
Zelenev E., Korobochkina A., Russian Japanology Review 2026 Vol. 9 No. 1 P. 71–100
This article conducts a comparative historical analysis of the soft power strategies employed by Japan and China in Africa, emphasizing the utilization of cultural, educational, and economic instruments to augment their international influence. Moving away from the traditional post-1990s perspective, this paper introduces an enhanced form of the timeline approach in order to examine the development process of their soft ...
Added: August 12, 2026
A Big History Perspective on Complexity in Universal Evolution: Conclusions
David J. L., Leonid Grinin, Korotayev A., , in: Complexity in Universal Evolution. A Big History Perspective.: Springer, 2026. Ch. 22 P. 585–608.
This collective monograph explores focus on complexity aspects in Big History against the background of complexity growth in the Universe, on our planet, and in biological, social, and cultural systems. Complexity growth is regarded as the connecting thread of evolutionary development and as a leading trend of Big History. The cosmic development chapters examine symmetries ...
Added: August 10, 2026
Human Evolution in the Complexity Growth Perspective: Toward Periodization of the Big History Biosocial Era
Korotayev A., , in: Complexity in Universal Evolution. A Big History Perspective.: Springer, 2026. Ch. 13 P. 359–409.
We have undertaken an attempt to propose a periodization of the Big History Biosocial (Anthropogenesis) Era on the basis of the most recent scientific data. This periodization is complexity-based, that is, the boundaries of the identified epochs are marked with complexity jumps, that is, in our case, such phase transitions that result in significant increases ...
Added: August 10, 2026
Biological and Social Phases of Big History and Complexity Growth
Leonid Grinin, Alexander M., Korotayev A., , in: Complexity in Universal Evolution. A Big History Perspective.: Springer, 2026. Ch. 12 P. 283–355.
In the first half of this chapter, Grinin et al. survey general similarities and differences between biological and social macroevolution. They undertake a systematic comparison between biological and social evolution at different levels of analysis and in various aspects, formulating a considerable number of general principles and rules of evolution, and working to develop a ...
Added: August 10, 2026
Complexity in Universal Evolution: A Big History Perspective—An Introduction
David J. L., Leonid Grinin, Korotayev A., , in: Complexity in Universal Evolution. A Big History Perspective.: Springer, 2026. Ch. 1 P. 1–25.
Complexity is widely acknowledged as a foundational and pivotal concept in Big History, offering a unifying lens through which to examine the emergence and development of systems—from particles and galaxies to life, civilizations, and beyond. Yet, despite its centrality, major gaps remain in how we define, measure, and interpret complexity across different phases and scales. ...
Added: August 10, 2026
Revolutions or campaigns? Tearing down the Berlin Wall in the study of mass mobilization
Korotayev A., Guseinov R., Ustyuzhanin V., Political Studies Review 2026 P. 1–22
In recent years, a kind of “Berlin Wall” has emerged between the study of “revolutions” and “maximalist campaigns.” Although scholars in these two traditions analyze closely related phenomena, they use different terminology, bodies of literature, and empirical conventions. We argue that this separation is analytically costly and prevents fruitful dialogue. On one hand, this leads ...
Added: August 8, 2026
Complexity in Universal Evolution. A Big History Perspective
David J. L., Leonid Grinin, Korotayev A., Springer, 2026.
Complexity is widely acknowledged as a foundational and pivotal concept in Big History, offering a unifying lens through which to examine the emergence and development of systems—from particles and galaxies to life, civilizations, and beyond. Yet, despite its centrality, major gaps remain in how we define, measure, and interpret complexity across different phases and scales. ...
Added: August 7, 2026
Emotions towards algorithmic policy decision-making: direct and compensatory associations with trust in governance
Styrin E. M., Vigoda-Gadot E., Levitats Z., Asia Pacific Journal of Public Administration 2026 P. 1–23
Governance is rapidly digitising, yet how citizens’ emotions towards algorithmic policy decision-making relate to their trust in governance institutions remains understudied. Drawing on the affect-as-information model, we argue that emotions constitute a distinct input into institutional trust judgements, operating both directly and by conditioning the weight of cognitive evaluations. We test this argument with a ...
Added: August 7, 2026
Knowledge Diplomacy: Regional Perspectives and Future Trends
Manchester: Manchester University Press, 2026.
Knowledge Diplomacy examines particular and cultural antecedents to the development of the field; and its predominance in western thinking and critiques. Crucially, it does so not just from the perspective of scholars but also by consciously drawing on the perspectives of practitioners. The development of Knowledge Diplomacy allows for increased understanding of the role of research, ...
Added: August 7, 2026
Cambodia's Policy on the Artificial Intelligence: Determinants, Directions, Interim Outcomes
Kanaev E., Southeast Asia: Actual Problems of Development 2026 Vol. 1 No. 1(70) P. 153–163
The article aims to specify the degree of success Cambodia has been able to achieve in developing its Artificial Intelligence (AI) ecosystem seen through the prism of the state of the country’s non-digital assets as an outcome of its economic modernization, as well as of its digital projects and initiatives. Outlining the specifics of Cambodia’s ...
Added: July 30, 2026
Сотрудничество между АСЕАН и Россией в цифровой сфере: взгляд реалиста
Kanaev E., Юго-Восточная Азия: актуальные проблемы развития 2026 Т. 1 № 1(70) С. 22–36
The article aims to specify possibilities and system constraints of cooperation between the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and the Russian Federation (RF) in the digital field, as well as assess its most promising directions. The nature and specifics of ASEAN’s policy in the digital field from the perspective of implementation of its initiatives ...
Added: July 30, 2026
Vietnam and the RCEP: a Digital Perspective
Evgeny A. Kanaev, Berezhnaya A., Southeast Asia: Actual Problems of Development 2026 Vol. 2 No. 2(71) P. 175–187
The article examines the significance and the place of the digital tools developed by the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) in the priorities of the Socialist Republic of Vietnam (SRV). On tracing the RCEP’s origins, evolution, and interim outcomes obtained to date, the article proceeds with assessing the efficiency of the RCEP’s digital tools to ...
Added: July 30, 2026
ASEAN and the Resolution of the South China Sea Issue: Assessing Digital Limitations
Kanaev E., Southeast Asia: Actual Problems of Development 2026 Vol. 2 No. 2(71) P. 11–22
The author focuses on a strengthening digital component in the evolution of the South China Sea issue in the context of ASEAN’s evolving approach to the deepening contradictions and its policy in the digital field. On outlining ASEAN’s policy on the South China Sea issue, the author proceeds to exploring the digital agenda of ASEAN’s ...
Added: July 30, 2026
Европейский союз в мировой экономике: фактор БРИКС
Федеральное государственное бюджетное учреждение науки Институт Европы Российской академии наук, 2026.
This edited volume examines the place of the European Union in the global economy during the first quarter of the twenty-first century against the backdrop of an emerging global economic order in which BRICS countries are playing an increasingly important role. Particular attention is paid to the evolution of the EU’s integration strategy – its ...
Added: July 30, 2026
О куволюции. История и обоснование нового понятия
Fain E., Korotayev A., Полис. Политические исследования 2026 № 4 С. 170–183
In the 21st century, the theory of revolutions has encountered a number of theoretical and practical difficulties, the main one being the conceptualization of revolutions. At the moment, the theory needs new focuses and approaches. One potential innovation that could enrich the theory is the concept of “coupvolution”, which emerged after the Egyptian Revolution of ...
Added: July 30, 2026
Анализ влияния бюджетных индикаторов на уровень развития ГЧП в субъектах Российской Федерации
Biryuk D., Инженерные кадры - будущее инновационной экономики России 2025 № 1 С. 1677–1679
The article is devoted to the study of the impact of budget indicators on the level of development of public-private partnership (PPP) in the constituent entities of the Russian Federation. The relationship between such indicators as budget security, the level of subsidization, gross regional product (GRP), the volume of public debt and the volume of ...
Added: July 29, 2026
Учет и отражение бюджетных обязательств по ГЧП-проектам в бюджетной отчетности
Biryuk D., Инженерные кадры - будущее инновационной экономики России 2025 № 1 С. 1680–1682
The article examines the issues of accounting for budget obligations under public-private partnership (PPP) projects in budget reporting. International standards for budget accounting, such as the accrual method and the cash method, are highlighted. The analysis of the Russian experience is carried out, where the cash method is used, which limits the transparency of PPP ...
Added: July 29, 2026
На пороге «Четвёртой республики»? Армения после парламентских выборов 2026 года
Мкртчян Р. В., Международный дискуссионный клуб «Валдай» 2026
Проект «Четвертой республики» в Армении представляет собой попытку переосмысления постсоветской модели государственности, в рамках которой карабахский вопрос выступал центральным элементом национальной идентичности и ключевым ресурсом легитимации власти. Победа партии «Гражданский договор» и инициируемая ею конституционная реформа, предполагающая отказ от прежних правовых оснований, фиксируют переход к модели, где приоритетом становится не идеологический проект, а императив выживания государства. Инициатива ...
Added: July 29, 2026
What to do (and not do) with Foreign Interventions Data: Methodological Challenges and Solutions
Chernov D., Nesmashnyi A., Safranchuk I. et al., International Interactions 2026 Vol. 52 No. 4 P. 661–686
The determinants of foreign interventions, be they military interventions or other forms of foreign involvement, are important for modern international relations and conflict studies. Nevertheless, major methodological problems with the analysis are often overlooked. This paper proposes modeling interventions as a two-stage decision-making process. The first stage determines whether a specific target state is intervenable ...
Added: July 27, 2026
Кризис координации в трансатлантическом санкционном взаимодействии в эпоху «America First»
Galimullin E. Z., Алексеев Д. В., Вестник МГИМО Университета 2026 Т. 19 № 3 С. 142–163
The return of Donald Trump to the White House has exposed a growing mismatch between the United States’ “America First” policy and its established role as the principal coordinator of transatlantic sanctions. This article examines how US–EU sanctions coordination changed in 2025 and assesses whether these changes represent temporary policy divergence or a more systemic ...
Added: July 20, 2026
Назад в будущее: советская внешняя политика 2.0
Курылев К. П., Degterev D. A., Грачиков Е. Н. et al., Постсоветские исследования 2022 Т. 5 № 7 С. 754–763
This article is based on the understanding of the results of a one-name methodological seminar organized and conducted by the Department of Theory and History of International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences on September 8, 2022, in which the issues of the nature and features of the USSR foreign policy for the period from 1971 to ...
Added: July 18, 2026
«Общие интересы» в миротворческих операциях ООН в Африке: прикладной анализ кадрового состава
Амара Д., Degterev D. A., Эгамов Б., Проблемы национальной стратегии 2022 № 2(71) С. 76–101
The article presents an analysis of the UN personnel, engaged in African peacekeeping operations, from the perspective of emerging blocks of the «collective West» and the «collective non-West». The rationale for choosing the UN African peacekeeping missions as the subject for the study is that they are the most numerous, multi-format, expensive, and lethal ones ...
Added: July 18, 2026
The “Cultural Revolution” in China and World Political Thought
Lukin A., Telos 2026 Vol. 2026 No. 215 P. 11–41
The year 2026 marks the sixtieth anniversary of the beginning in China of the “Great Proletarian Cultural Revolution” – an unprecedented political campaign both in its duration and in the tragic nature of its results and consequences. Despite the publication of numerous books and articles devoted to it in various countries around the world, its ...
Added: July 18, 2026
Talking about the [same] revolution? A comparative analysis of main datasets of revolutionary events
Guseinov R., Ustyuzhanin V., Korotayev A., Defence and peace economics 2026 P. 1–31
We conduct a comparative analysis of the main datasets on revolutionary events, including The Nonviolent and Violent Campaigns and Outcomes (NAVCO, versions 1.3 and 2.1), Cross-National Time-Series (CNTS), Revolutionary Episodes Dataset by Mark Beissinger, Revolutionary Database by HSE University (CSRA), and Historical Regime Data (HRD). To compare these sources systematically, we develop several complementary empirical instruments designed to identify and interpret differences across datasets. We ...
Added: July 17, 2026
  • About
  • About
  • Key Figures & Facts
  • Sustainability at HSE University
  • Faculties & Departments
  • International Partnerships
  • Faculty & Staff
  • HSE Buildings
  • HSE University for Persons with Disabilities
  • Public Enquiries
  • Studies
  • Admissions
  • Programme Catalogue
  • Undergraduate
  • Graduate
  • Exchange Programmes
  • Summer University
  • Summer Schools
  • Semester in Moscow
  • Business Internship
  • Research
  • International Laboratories
  • Research Centres
  • Research Projects
  • Monitoring Studies
  • Conferences & Seminars
  • Academic Jobs
  • Yasin (April) International Academic Conference on Economic and Social Development
  • Media & Resources
  • Publications by staff
  • HSE Journals
  • Publishing House
  • iq.hse.ru: commentary by HSE experts
  • Library
  • Economic & Social Data Archive
  • Video
  • HSE Repository of Socio-Economic Information
  • HSE1993–2026
  • Contacts
  • Copyright
  • Privacy Policy
  • Site Map
Edit