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From the World-system to the World-organism
Moscow university globalistics and geopolitics bulletin. 2013. No. 1. P. 65-72.
Malkov S. Y.
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Language:
English
Keywords: World System
Grinin L. E., Grinin A., , in : Kondratieff waves. Juglar – Kuznets – Kondratieff. : Volgograd : ., 2014. P. 354-377.
In the present paper, on the basis of the theory of production principles and production revolutions, we reveal the interrelation between K-waves and major technological breakthroughs in history and make forecasts about features of the sixth Kondratieff wave in the light of the Cybernetic Revolution that, from our point of view, started in the 1950s. ...
Added: October 13, 2015
Grinin L. E., Гринин А. Л., Историческая психология и социология истории 2015 Т. 8 № 1 С. 172-197
In the present paper, on the basis of the theory of production principles and produc-tion revolutions, we reveal the interrelation between K-waves and major technological breakthroughs in history and make forecasts about features of the sixth Kondratieff wave in the light of the Cybernetic Revolution that, from our point of view, started in the 1950s. ...
Added: October 9, 2015
Korotayev A., Shishkina A., Лухманова З. Т., Полис. Политические исследования 2017 № 6 С. 150-168
В статье анализируется глобальная динамика основных показателей социально-политической дестабилизации в 2011-2015 гг. Показано, что после начала Арабской весны взрывообразный глобальный рост фиксировался для подавляющего большинства показателей социально-политической дестабилизации – для антиправительственных демонстраций, массовых беспорядков, политических забастовок, террористических актов / “партизанских действий” и политических репрессий. Наблюдался он и для глобального интегрального индекса социально-политической дестабилизации. Статистически значимого роста не наблюдалось ...
Added: November 12, 2017
Grinin L. E., Korotayev A., , in : Kondratieff Waves. Dimensions and Prospects at the Dawn of the 21st Century. Yearbook. : Volgograd : Uchitel, 2012. P. 23-64.
The analysis of long economic cycles allows us to understand long-term world-system dynamics, to develop forecasts, to explain crises of the past, as well as the current global economic crisis. The article offers an historical sketch of research on K-waves; it analyzes the nature of Kondratieff waves that are considered as a special form of ...
Added: October 13, 2014
Grinin L. E., Век глобализации 2011 № 1 С. 80-94
The paper investigates the historical aspect of globalization and analyzes the main integration processes that have been taking place during the last several thousand years. In this respect the history of Afroeurasian world-system formation, development and its transformation into contemporary planetary World-System gives large possibilities. That is why this research has been made in the ...
Added: October 13, 2014
Grinin L. E., Korotayev A., , in : Evolution: Development within Big History, Evolutionary and World-System Paradigms. : Volgograd : Uchitel, 2013. P. 30-68.
The formation of the Afroeurasian world-system was one of the crucial points of social evolution, starting from which the social evolution rate and effectiveness increased dramatically. In the present article we analyze processes and scales of global integration in historical perspective, starting with the Agrarian Revolution. We connect the main phases of historical globalization with ...
Added: October 10, 2014
Zinkina J. V., Korotayev A., Божевольнов Ю. В. et al., , in : Globalistics and Globalization Studies. : Volgograd : Uchitel, 2012. P. 246-280.
We find rather strong evidence for the unconditional convergence among all the larger countries comprising the overwhelming majority of the world population and producing the overwhelming part of the world GDP after 1998. These findings are shown to be not as incongruent with the results of the previous convergence research as one may think – ...
Added: October 7, 2014
Grinin L. E., Korotayev A., , in : Comparing Globalizations Historical and World-Systems Approaches. : Springer Publishing Company, 2018. Ch. 2. P. 37-70.
The formation of the Afroeurasian world-system was one of the crucial points of social evolution, starting from which the social evolution rate and effectiveness increased dramatically. In the present chapter we analyze processes and scales of global integration in historical perspective, starting with the Agrarian Revolution. We connect the main phases of historical globalization with ...
Added: November 28, 2017
Korotayev A., Meshcherina K., Shishkina A., Democracy and Security 2018 Vol. 14 No. 4 P. 331-357
After the beginning of the Arab Spring in 2011, explosive global growth was observed for the majority of indicators of sociopolitical destabilization in all parts of the World System. In order to identify the structure of this destabilization wave, we apply a series of statistical techniques such as trend analysis and t-tests to study the ...
Added: August 27, 2018
Leonid Grinin, Korotayev A., World Futures 2022 P. 1-22
At present the World System is undergoing considerable transformations. We expect that in connection with the World System reconfiguration the number of revolutions as well as their role as a means of the world-system transformation may increase noticeably. We analyze the future of revolutions in a number of aspects, namely: (1) the evaluation of their ...
Added: July 30, 2022
Grinin L. E., В кн. : Системный мониторинг глобальных и региональных рисков. Ч. 1. Т. 11.: Издательство "Учитель", 2020. С. 5-14.
По мнению автора, процесс реконфигурации Мир-Системы в настоящий момент в значительной степени затронул ее центр (США и Европу), где в настоящем периоде и происходят, по- видимому, главные события процесса реконфигурации. И это неиз- бежно, по-разному, но существенно и заметно, будет отражать- ся на судьбах обществ афразийской макрозоны нестабильности. В условиях реконфигурации Мир-Системы «разломы» в ней начи- наются в наиболее неустойчивых и слабых местах, причем, как правило, эти районы являются местом противостояния различ-ных интересов и ...
Added: January 11, 2021
Grinin L. E., Гринин А., В кн. : XXIII Кондратьевские чтения: тупики глобальной экономики, поиск новой научной парадигмы. Сборник статей участников конференции. : М. : Межрегиональная общественная организация содействия изучению, пропаганде научного наследия Н.Д. Кондратьева, 2015. С. 89-105.
In the present paper, on the basis of the theory of production principles and production revolutions, we reveal the interrelation between K-waves and major technological breakthroughs in history and make forecasts about features of the sixth Kondratieff wave in the light of the Cybernetic Revolution that, from our point of view, started in the 1950s. ...
Added: June 14, 2016
Andrey Korotayev, Leonid Grinin, Anton Grinin, Social Evolution & History 2021 Vol. 20 No. 2 P. 50-78
This article offers a mathematical model describing the influence of one of the major factors of the World System's macrodynamics throughout most of its history (since the ‘urban revolution’) – the interaction between civilizations and their tribal peripheries. The proposed mathematical model is intended to describe the possible influence of the interaction between the World ...
Added: January 12, 2022
Grinin L. E., Korotayev A., Zeitschrift für Weltgeschichte 2018 Vol. 19 No. 1 P. 13-56
The formation of the Afroeurasian world-system was one of the crucial points of social evolution, starting from which the social evolution rate and effectiveness increased dramatically. In the present article we analyze processes and scales of global integration in historical perspective, starting with the Agrarian Revolution. We connect the main phases of historical globalization with ...
Added: January 11, 2019
Grinin L. E., Grinin, Anton L., Journal of Globalization Studies 2015 Vol. 6 No. 2 P. 119-142
In the present paper, on the basis of the theory of production principles and production revolutions, we reveal the interrelation between K-waves and major technological breakthroughs in history and make some predictions about features of the sixth Kondratieff wave in the light of the Cybernetic Revolution which, we think, started in the 1950s. We assume ...
Added: June 14, 2016
Чистиков М. Н., В кн. : АРКТИКА И СЕВЕР В КОНТЕКСТЕ РАЗВИТИЯ МЕЖДУНАРОДНЫХ ПРОЦЕССОВ. : Архангельск : Северный (Арктический) федеральный университет имени М.В. Ломоносова (Архангельск), 2020. С. 138-144.
The Norwegian economy is dependent on the oil and gas sector. Specialization in mining is typical for peripheral countries. At the same time, socio-political, economic and cultural phenomena characteristic of peripheral countries are not reproduced in Norway. This is due to the fact that in Norway the distribution of a significant part of oil and ...
Added: December 15, 2023
Grinin L. E., Философия и общество 2015 № 3-4 С. 7-33
The global order as a system of certain ideas and regularities predominant in the world politics had started to emerge in Europe in the sixteenth century and was finally established in the nineteenth century. However, an established world order usually endures for three-four decades and then it changes under the influence of the changing circumstances ...
Added: June 10, 2016
Медведев И. А., Korotayev A., В кн. : Системный мониторинг глобальных и региональных рисков. Ч. 1. Т. 11.: Издательство "Учитель", 2020. С. 436-457.
Added: January 12, 2021
Grinin L. E., Korotayev A., World Futures: The Journal of Global Education 2012 No. 68 P. 471-505
In a previous article, “The Coming Epoch of New Coalitions: Possible Scenarios of the Near Future” (Grinin and Korotayev 2011), it was preliminarily demonstrated that the turbulent events of late 2010 and 2011 in the Arab World may well be regarded as a start of the global reconfiguration. The subsequent events have confirmed this supposition. ...
Added: October 13, 2014
Sadovnichy V., Akaev A., Ilyin I. et al., , in : Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome. : Springer, 2023. P. 1-14.
Added: September 28, 2023
Grinin L. E., Korotayev A., , in : Globalistics and Globalization Studies. : Volgograd : Uchitel, 2012. P. 28-78.
Section 1 of this article (‘Global Urbanization Dynamics: A Quantitative Analysis’) presents a mathematical analysis of the long-term global urbanization dynamics and demonstrates that it could be described as a series of phase transitions between attraction basins. This makes it possible to suggest new approaches to the analysis of global social macroevolution. Section 2 (‘Political Development ...
Added: October 10, 2014
Grinin L. E., Korotayev A., , in : Globalistics and Globalization Studies: Aspects & Dimensions of Global Views. : Volgograd : Uchitel, 2014. P. 65-98.
The analysis of long economic cycles allows us to understand long-term world-system dynamics, to develop forecasts, to explain crises of the past, as well as the current global economic crisis. The article offers a historical sketch of research on K-waves; it analyzes the nature of Kondratieff waves that are considered as
a special form of cyclical ...
Added: October 9, 2014
Grinin L. E., Korotayev A., Journal of Globalization Studies 2014 Vol. 5 No. 1 P. 32-64
The formation of the Afroeurasian world-system was one of the crucial points of social evolution, starting from which the social evolution rate and effectiveness increased dramatically. In the present article we analyze processes and scales of global integration in historical perspective, starting with the Agrarian Revolution. We connect the main phases of historical globalization with ...
Added: October 9, 2014