### Working paper

## The procedure of excluding of the nonlinear trend for the models described by stochastic differential and difference equations

This article concerns the problem of predicting the size of company's customer base in case of solving the task of managing its clients. The author purposes a new approach to segment-oriented predicting the size of clients based on adopting the Staroverov's employees moving model. Besides the article includes the limitations of using this model and its modification for each type of relations of the client and the company.

This article discusses stochastic numerical methods of Runge-Kutta type with weak and strong convergences for systems of stochastic differential equations in Itô form. At the beginning we give a brief overview of the stochastic numerical methods and information from the theory of stochastic differential equations. Then we motivate the approach to the implementation of these methods using source code generation. We discuss the implementation details and the used programming languages and libraries

This book provides a rigorous yet accessible introduction to the theory of stochastic processes. A significant part of the book is devoted to the classic theory of stochastic processes. In turn, it also presents proofs of well-known results, sometimes together with new approaches. Moreover, the book explores topics not previously covered elsewhere, such as distributions of functionals of diffusions stopped at different random times, the Brownian local time, diffusions with jumps, and an invariance principle for random walks and local times. Supported by carefully selected material, the book showcases a wealth of examples that demonstrate how to solve concrete problems by applying theoretical results. It addresses a broad range of applications, focusing on concrete computational techniques rather than on abstract theory. The content presented here is largely self-contained, making it suitable for researchers and graduate students alike.

In the first part of the paper we consider a "random flight" process in \(R^d\) and obtain the weak limits under different transformations of the Poissonian switching times. In the second part we construct diffusion approximations for this process and investigate their accuracy. To prove the weak convergence result we use the approach of Stroock and Varadhan (1979). We consider more general model which may be called "random walk over ellipsoids in \(R^d\)". For this model we establish the Edgeworth type expansion. The main tool in this part is the parametrix method (Konakov (2012), Konakov and Mammen (2009)).

We use a Markov chains models for the analysis of Russian stock market. First problem studied in the paper is the multiperiod portfolio optimization. We show that known approaches applied for the Russian stock market produce the phenomena of non stability and propose a new methods in order to smooth it. The second problem addressed in the paper is a structural changes on the Russian stock market after the financial crisis of 2008.We propose a hidden Markov chains model to analyse a structural changes and apply it for the Russian stock market.

The textbook has passed practical tests and written on the basis of the readable authors for many years. Presented in textbook materials give students orientation in the solution of many practical problems in a number of areas, constitute the initial level to obtain a broader and deeper education in the field of probability theory. The book provides an overview of the theory of stochastic processes, detailed material on the theory of Markov processes with discrete time (Markov chains) and continuous-time. In addition to the solved problems for each Chapter of the textbook suggested problems to solve and theoretical questions to test the quality of the learning material.

This is an advanced text on ordinary differential equations (ODES) in Banach and more general locally convex spaces, most notably the ODEs on measures and various function spaces. It yields the concise exposition of the fundamentals with the fast, but rigorous and systematic transition to the up-fronts of modern research in linear and nonlinear partial and pseudo-differential equations, general kinetic equations and fractional evolutions. The level of generality is chosen to be suitable for the study of the most important nonlinear equations of mathematical physics, such as Boltzmann, Smoluchovskii, Vlasov, Landau-Fokker-Planck, Cahn-Hilliard, Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman, nonlinear Schroedinger, McKean-Vlasov diffusions and their nonlocal extensions, mass-action-law kinetics from chemistry. It also covers nonlinear evolutions arising in evolutionary biology and mean-field games, optimization theory, epidemics and system biology, in general models of interacting particles or agents describing splitting and merging, collisions and breakage, mutations and the preferential-attachment growth on networks. The book is meant for final year undergraduate and postgraduate students and researchers in differential equations and their applications. A significant amount of attention is paid to the interconnections between various topics revealing where and how a particular result is used in other chapters or may be used in other contexts, as well as to the clarification of the links between the languages of pseudo-differential operators, generalized functions, operator theory, abstract linear spaces, fractional calculus and path integrals.

A model for organizing cargo transportation between two node stations connected by a railway line which contains a certain number of intermediate stations is considered. The movement of cargo is in one direction. Such a situation may occur, for example, if one of the node stations is located in a region which produce raw material for manufacturing industry located in another region, and there is another node station. The organization of freight traﬃc is performed by means of a number of technologies. These technologies determine the rules for taking on cargo at the initial node station, the rules of interaction between neighboring stations, as well as the rule of distribution of cargo to the ﬁnal node stations. The process of cargo transportation is followed by the set rule of control. For such a model, one must determine possible modes of cargo transportation and describe their properties. This model is described by a ﬁnite-dimensional system of diﬀerential equations with nonlocal linear restrictions. The class of the solution satisfying nonlocal linear restrictions is extremely narrow. It results in the need for the “correct” extension of solutions of a system of diﬀerential equations to a class of quasi-solutions having the distinctive feature of gaps in a countable number of points. It was possible numerically using the Runge–Kutta method of the fourth order to build these quasi-solutions and determine their rate of growth. Let us note that in the technical plan the main complexity consisted in obtaining quasi-solutions satisfying the nonlocal linear restrictions. Furthermore, we investigated the dependence of quasi-solutions and, in particular, sizes of gaps (jumps) of solutions on a number of parameters of the model characterizing a rule of control, technologies for transportation of cargo and intensity of giving of cargo on a node station.

Let k be a field of characteristic zero, let G be a connected reductive algebraic group over k and let g be its Lie algebra. Let k(G), respectively, k(g), be the field of k- rational functions on G, respectively, g. The conjugation action of G on itself induces the adjoint action of G on g. We investigate the question whether or not the field extensions k(G)/k(G)^G and k(g)/k(g)^G are purely transcendental. We show that the answer is the same for k(G)/k(G)^G and k(g)/k(g)^G, and reduce the problem to the case where G is simple. For simple groups we show that the answer is positive if G is split of type A_n or C_n, and negative for groups of other types, except possibly G_2. A key ingredient in the proof of the negative result is a recent formula for the unramified Brauer group of a homogeneous space with connected stabilizers. As a byproduct of our investigation we give an affirmative answer to a question of Grothendieck about the existence of a rational section of the categorical quotient morphism for the conjugating action of G on itself.

Let G be a connected semisimple algebraic group over an algebraically closed field k. In 1965 Steinberg proved that if G is simply connected, then in G there exists a closed irreducible cross-section of the set of closures of regular conjugacy classes. We prove that in arbitrary G such a cross-section exists if and only if the universal covering isogeny Ĝ → G is bijective; this answers Grothendieck's question cited in the epigraph. In particular, for char k = 0, the converse to Steinberg's theorem holds. The existence of a cross-section in G implies, at least for char k = 0, that the algebra k[G]G of class functions on G is generated by rk G elements. We describe, for arbitrary G, a minimal generating set of k[G]G and that of the representation ring of G and answer two Grothendieck's questions on constructing generating sets of k[G]G. We prove the existence of a rational (i.e., local) section of the quotient morphism for arbitrary G and the existence of a rational cross-section in G (for char k = 0, this has been proved earlier); this answers the other question cited in the epigraph. We also prove that the existence of a rational section is equivalent to the existence of a rational W-equivariant map T- - - >G/T where T is a maximal torus of G and W the Weyl group.