The monograph presents the results of calculations of the human capital dynamics and structure for the Russian economy in 1991-2012 years, using the method of accumulated costs by analogy with the calculation of the fixed capital volume. Analysis of the human capital contribution implemented on the basis of the production function model; original mathematical-statistical methods providing stability and economic interpretability of the results developed.
The demographic situation in Russia has improved markedly in recent years. This is in large part due to the successful implementation of policy measures to support fertility, reduce harmful alcohol consumption, and improve the health care system. In 2006-2012 Russia recorded the fastest increase in total fertility rate (TFR) in Europe, and the second fastest in the world. TFR rose from 1.3 to 1.7 children per woman (30% increase). In absolute terms, the number of births in 2012 was 1,896 thousand, an increase from the 2006 value by 416 thousand children, as the crude birth rate for the period increased from 10.3 to 13.3 per 1000 (up by 29%).
Despite the recent positive dynamics of the birth rate, however, the potential for a demographic crisis is not over. In the coming years Russia will face the aftermath of the catastrophic decline of fertility of the late 1980s and the early 1990s. In 10 years the number of women in the most active reproductive age (20–29 years, when almost two thirds of all births take place), will fall by almost half; this will inevitably lead to a reduction in the number of births. Despite the recent increase in TFR to 1.7, this remains below the level for replacement. Given the sharp decline in the number of women of child-bearing age in the next generation, a considerable further increase in fertility will be necessary to stabilize Russia’s population, especially since larger cohorts will be entering their 60s and 70s and thus increasing mortality as well.
Russia's mortality rate remains very high by world standards. Despite a significant reduction in mortality in 2005-2012, Russia still rates 22nd highest in the world according to crude death rate (CDR), mainly due to the excessive mortality rate among working-age males. The gap in life expectancy between men and women is huge: men’s life expectancy is fully 12 years less than that of women. Russia’s CDR of 13.5 per 1000 in 2012 was higher than that in Mali, Burundi, or Cameroon; most importantly it remained higher than Russia’s crude birth rate, so that without immigration the population will continue to decline.
Mortality of working age males is the key component of the situation. About one in five deaths in Russia is related to alcohol (about 400 thousand deaths per year). About 300 thousand deaths annually are due to diseases associated with tobacco smoking, and no less than 100 thousand deaths result from the consequences of drug use. Continuing deficiencies of the health care delivery system also contribute to Russia’s relatively high mortality levels.
This volume contains contributions presented at the Internatio-nal Seminar that took place on December 19th, 2012 and was organised by the Department for European Studies of the Institute of Europe RAS with the support of the RAS Presidium. Experts from Latvia, Belarus and Ukraine, officials from the MFA RF, representa-tives of the EU Member states embassies, NGOs and media as well as researchers from the Institute of Europe took part in the Seminar. The participants were asked to formulate Russia’s anxieties and ex-pectations in its relations with the EU in economic, political and se-curity spheres. Most papers presented in the volume conclude that there is no alternative than to further develop the ongoing dialog with the EU. Concrete tasks of the broad cooperation agenda in economy, justice and security, science and culture make both sides look for the reasonable compromise in the dialog even if their interests and guiding principles differ.
Dramatic political, socio-economic, and cultural transformation of Russia in recent decades are often compared to the reforms of Peter the Great. The ongoing reform of education, which is part of the changer, attracts international attention. There have been voices within the Czech: pedagogical public, growing in intensity in the past few years, pointing out the lack of information on the development of education in Russia after the collapse of the Soviet Union, on the transformation of the educational system, and on the problems solved by politicians, experts, as well as school practice in the multi-ethnic and multi-national state. These problems may be of interest not only to the witnesses of the era of Soviet pedagogy and intensive work and personal contacts with its representatives, but also to the younger generation of teachers and researchers. The aim of the publication is to draw attention to education in the Russian Federation, providing the Czech educational community, professionals, and the general public with up-to-date information, as well as documenting, from a critical-analytical perspective, the development, current situation, and trends in Russian schooling.
The book presents a logically structured study of the development of global economy beginning from the 1970s. The major evolutionary processes are emphasized and the core problems for the present period of time are identified. Also, a separate scenario forecasts for the next 5-10 years are formulated. In the course of the analysis it was separately allocated problems associated with the functioning of global financial markets and their negative impact on economic growth.