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Regular version of the site
Of all publications in the section: 199
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Article
Гаман-Голутвина О. В. Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз. 2012. № 3.

July 24 marked the 90th anniversary of the domestic political science's patriarch, deputy chairman of the Editorial Board of the "Politics" Alexander Galkin. The material tells both about the scholar and its contribution to the development of social science knowledge in our country and the formation of the Russian political science community. The collection includes the texts of Boris Koval, Anatoly Chernyaev, Tatyana Alekseeva, Kirill Kholodkovsky, Sergei Mikhailov, Alexei Shestopal, Oksana Gaman-Golutvina, Olga Zdravomyslova and Leonid Blyakhar.

Added: Apr 22, 2018
Article
Гилев А. В. Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз. 2014. № 4. С. 100-117.

The article analyzes factors that promote electoral effectiveness of political leaders’ successors

based on the three Asian regions – South, Southeast and East Asia. A new interpretation of the institution of political succession is being offered within the game theoretical framework and theories of the focal point by T. Shelling and the winning coalition by B. Bueno de Mesquita et al. The evidence from the quantitative analysis demonstrates in a counterintuitive way that regime openness, lack of resources and relatively independent successor turn out to be not as adverse as it seems to be at the first glance for political succession. While belonging to former political leaders’ families plays much lesser role that expected.

Added: Oct 18, 2017
Article
Марьин-Островский А. Н. Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз. 2009. № 4(55). С. 86-102.
Added: Dec 16, 2012
Article
Кречетова М. Ю., Сатаров Г. А. Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз. 2016. № 4(83). С. 68-81.

M.Krechetova and G.Satarov continue the line of reasoning laid out in their article "Power and Violence (Russian Case)" and attempt to reconcile their thoughts with the current political situation in Russia and the results of scenario forecasting analysis that they carried out in Spring 2016. The study shows that Russia is moving a way from the inertial scenario, which seemed most likely only six month ago, towards the scenarios of a "Besieged fortress" and "Explosion" that imply an increase in physical violence.

Added: Feb 12, 2017
Article
Кречетова М. Ю., Сатаров Г. А. Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз. 2015. № 4. С. 116-139.
Added: Oct 26, 2015
Article
Щербак А. Н., Бердюженко Д. А., Мендыгалиева А. Б. и др. Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз. 2017. Т. 3. С. 99-116.

This project aims to explain the alternation of phases in the Soviet nationalities policy by developments in foreign policy. First, we explore the history of the Soviet nationalities policy and revealed the alteration of “soft” and “hard” waves. Second, using the theoretical framework of the Randall Collins’ geopolitical theory we assume the effect of geopolitical tensions/ geopolitical stability on the patterns of nationalism and nationalities policy. Collins argues that geopolitical stability positively affects the cosmopolitan/ multicultural pattern in nationalities policy, while the periods of geopolitical tension are associated with the pattern of assimilation. We composed the dataset on all geopolitical conflicts with the Soviet involvement since 1926 and correlated with the waves of nationalities policy. Our study supports the Collins’ theory: both “hard” waves coincide with periods of geopolitical tensions in 1930-50-s and 1970-80-s. In the Conclusion we extrapolate our finding to the post-Soviet nationalities policy.

 

Added: Jun 21, 2017
Article
Кынев А. В. Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз. 2015. Т. 2(77). С. 110-127.
Added: Jan 25, 2016
Article
Гельман В. Я., Стародубцев А. В. Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз. 2014. № 4. С. 6-30.
Added: Dec 18, 2014
Article
Кильдюшов О. В. Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз. 2016. Т. 80. № 1. С. 6-32.
Added: May 11, 2016
Article
Гончаров Д. В. Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз. 2001. № 4.
Added: Oct 29, 2013
Article
Фокин К. В. Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз. 2019. № 1. С. 60-80.

The article is devoted to the supernatural punishment hypothesis elaborated by Dominic D.P.Johnson, Professor at the Oxford University, and a possibility of applying this hypothesis to Political Science. The essence of the hypothesis is that religion and belief in gods improve human cooperation and form a basis for altruistic behavior. Johnson views people’s ability to believe in the “supernatural agent” who is watching them and who will surely punish them for their sins as the evolutionary meaning of religion. The author provides a detailed analysis of Johnson’s concept and demonstrates its unequivocal scientific importance, but at the same time he pinpoints its weaknesses such as data interpretation and adequacy of using the terms “religion”, “altruism” and “group cooperation”. The author proposes several alternative explanations of the evolutionary meaning of religion and considers it from the meme theory perspective. According to his conclusion, if altruistic behavior is indeed natural to human beings at the biological level, then an institution of religion can be viewed as its higher form, but not its cause. In order to make both positions in this scientific debate clear, the author invites metaphors of symbiosis and parasitism for describing relationships between a human being and a belief in a supernatural agent (religion). Johnson’s hypothesis deserves close attention and scrutiny as an argument in favor of the “symbiosis” metaphor. However, one must use it with caution, admit its limitations and avoid oversimplification of a highly complicated model of the human sociality that inevitably includes religious consciousness.

Added: Mar 25, 2019
Article
Казун А. Д. Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз. 2018. Т. 91. № 4. С. 90-105.
Added: Dec 24, 2018
Article
Кынев А. В. Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз. 2017. № 4 (87). С. 65-81.
Added: Dec 17, 2017
Article
Краснов М. А. Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз. 2006. № 4.
Added: Oct 2, 2010
Article
Задорин И. В., Зайцев Д. Г., Римский В. Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз. 2009. № 4. С. 143-157.
Added: Mar 25, 2010
Article
Климов И. А., Задорин И. В., Зайцев Д. Г. Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз. 2011. № 1. С. 98-116.
Added: Oct 10, 2011
Article
Туровский Р. Ф. Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз. 2001. № 5. С. 120-139.
Added: Apr 23, 2020
Article
Макаренко Б. И. Полития: Анализ. Хроника. Прогноз. 2019. № 1 (92). С. 97-113.

The article analyzes results of political development of post-Communist countries. It looks at various indices and quantitative measurements of modernization, democratization and state capacity, such as Bertelsmann Transformation Index, The Economist Democracy index, etc. This analysis allows the author to assert correlation between success of a country in building market economy and democratization on one hand, and attaining higher state capacity, on the other. The article further proceeds to discuss evolution of political regimes, electoral systems, effects in changes in the regimes and systems, as well as the current phase of development of political parties’ systems. In most cases the article compares and contrasts trends characteristic of respectively eastern and western parts of the post-Communist space. The article also analyzes impact of external (the aspiration to join the European family of nations) and internal factors on the choice of transformation strategies at different phases of post-Communist developement Certain attention is paid to the phenomenon of retraditionalization which is observed both in eastern and western parts of the postcommunist space. The last sub-chapter of the article constitutes a brief case-study which reveals correlation between the level of development and institutional maturity of the political parties’ system and overall progress of a given country in democratization.  The author concludes by asserting that the term of “post-Communist countries” did not exhaust its validity to this day for comparative political studies because in most of these countries transformation processes are still underway.

Added: Mar 29, 2019