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Regular version of the site

Article

Оценка вклада основных факторов в динамику потребительских цен

Пильник Н. П., Корищенко К. Н.

The purpose of the article is to identify the main growth determinants of consumer prices in the Russian economy. The authors defined the degree of impact of the Bank of Russia’s monetary policy, tariff regulation and the ruble exchange rate on inflation. The econometric model of inflation formation depending on the dynamics of the key factors is used as a research tool. The authors also used official monthly data of the Bank of Russia and Rosstat for the period from January 2005 to August 2015. A special focus is made on the modelling of volatility development in the Russian currency market, the main factors of which are oil price volatility, capital outflow and the Bank of Russia’s currency policy.