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Regular version of the site

Article

The integrated approach for Foresight evaluation: the Russian case

Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 2015. Vol. 101. P. 216-225.

As the need for anticipatory strategic decision-making increases at all levels of governance, there
are growing demands for high quality and relevant contributions fromForesight exercises. In this
regard, identification of strong and weak aspects of Foresight design and implementation, a
quality of outputs and a degree of impact as well as learning from this practice is of great
importance. Strong evaluation procedures contribute to further Foresight development and its
effectiveness.
Literature analysis reveals the diversity of different approaches and criteria for Foresight
evaluation at the national level however its basic principles are not yet consolidated and spread
for use. The purpose of this paper is to start such consolidation through the development of an
integrated approach for ex-post national Foresight evaluation. The proposed methodology was
tested in the Russian National Foresight 2030 and the article presents and analyzes the results.
Further ways of developing this approach are suggested.