Foresight evaluation: lessons from project management
Foresight. 2014. Vol. 16. No. 1. P. 75-91.
The aim of this paper is to identify ways for improvement of the foresight evaluation framework on the basis of analysis and systematisation of accumulated experience in the field of project management. The paper is based on a detailed literature review devoted to an evaluation of foresight and traditional projects. The approaches to project evaluation in the field of project management were investigated, and the main steps of traditional project evaluation process were determined. The most commonly applied steps of foresight evaluation were identified by the analysis of recent foresight evaluation projects. The comparison of evaluation frameworks for foresight projects and traditional projects allows to provide recommendations for foresight evaluation framework improvement. The paper identifies several lessons for foresight evaluation from project management. The elements which can enrich foresight evaluation framework are the following: the development of an evaluation model; the extensive use of quantitative methods; the elaboration of evaluation scales; the inclusion of economic indicators into evaluation; and the provision of more openness and transparency for evaluation results. Given the importance of foresight evaluation procedures and the lack of a commonly applied methodological approach, the value of this paper consists in identifying a foresight evaluation framework and enriching it with elements of project management.
, / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2013. No. 20.
As the impact of strategic decision-making at the corporate, sectoral and national levels increases, there are growing demands for high quality and solid Foresight outputs. In this regard, a timely detection and elimination of problems in Foresight projects is of great importance. A thorough evaluation of criteria and methods used in Foresight analysis would permit ...
Added: November 13, 2013
, Technological Forecasting and Social Change 2015 Vol. 101 P. 216-225
As the need for anticipatory strategic decision-making increases at all levels of governance, there are growing demands for high quality and relevant contributions fromForesight exercises. In this regard, identification of strong and weak aspects of Foresight design and implementation, a quality of outputs and a degree of impact as well as learning from this practice is of great importance. ...
Added: December 4, 2015
, , / Высшая школа экономики. Series MAN "Management". 2012. No. 01.
The aim of this paper is to identify ways for improvement of the Foresight evaluation framework on the basis of analysis and systematisation of accumulated experience in the field of project management. The paper is based on a detailed literature review related to an evaluation of Foresight and traditional projects. The comparison of evaluation approaches ...
Added: August 28, 2012
, , et al., / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2013. No. 22.
The paper assesses the development of the market for navigation services and devices based on the results of a recently held Foresight exercise on monitoring of global technology trends. The future of the market for Global navigation satellite systems (GNSS) devices is largely influenced by grand challenges (i.e. lifestyle change, technical safety, urbanization, rural development, ...
Added: November 16, 2013
Detecting and Validating Global Technology Trends Using Quantitative and Expert-Based Foresight Techniques
, , et al., / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2018. No. 82.
This paper contributes to the conceptualisation and operationalisation of the “technology trend” discussion in the scope of the Technology Foresight paradigm. It proposes a consistent logical approach to analysing technology trends and increase predictive potential of futures studies. The approach integrates Big Data analysis into the Foresight studies’ toolset by means of applying text mining, ...
Added: October 3, 2018
Beijing Forum（2014）the Harmony of Civilizations and Prosperity for All—China and the World:Tradition, Reality and Future
“Social Investment and Impact Measurement” session proceedings ...
Added: April 6, 2020
Возможности использования методологии Форсайта для разработки стратегических прогнозов отраслевого развития
, , , Труды МАИ 2012 № 53 С. 1-16
Article touches upon with a set of national and foreign Foresight projects devoted to future development of aviation industry including S&T Foresight until 2025, launched by the Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge, National Research University “Higher School of Economics” (ISSEK HSE). Special attention focuses on Roadmap “Use of nanotechnologies in aviation industry”. ...
Added: September 19, 2012
, , Journal of Innovation and Entrepreneurship 2016 Vol. 5 No. 1 P. 1-35
The objective of this paper is to analyse the scope for improving empirical and methodological foundation of global value chain (GVC) research and for making relevant political decisions, primarily through application of foresight methodology based on the latest trend to combine the approaches of global value chain and national innovation system research. The authors choose ...
Added: February 17, 2016
, , et al., Scientometrics 2016 Vol. 108 No. 3 P. 1013-1041
This paper introduces a systematic technology trend monitoring (TTM) methodology based on an analysis of bibliometric data. Among the key premises for developing a methodology are: (1) the increasing number of data sources addressing different phases of the STI development, and thus requiring a more holistic and integrated analysis; (2) the need for more customized ...
Added: August 28, 2016
, , et al., Foresight and STI Governance 2014 Vol. 8 No. 2 P. 30-45
The shipbuilding sector’s multiple contributions to the social and economic development, as well as to science and technology, of major maritime countries mean that the sector attracts strong interest of entrepreneurs, researchers, and government agencies. Meanwhile the diverse forms of inter-industrial interaction, and specific aspects associated with building high-technology vessels require significant investments. Hence that ...
Added: October 10, 2014
, Бренд-менеджмент 2009 № 5(48) С. 249-311
Компании, оказывающие услуги по разработке названия продуктов / услуг, в один голос критикуют названия, разработанные "собственными силами", причем не всегда безосновательно. Можно ли придумать без помощи агентства качественное имя? Да, но при условии, что данный процесс будет рассматриваться как проект. Автор статьи делится своим опытом, полученным на практике и обобщенным в тренинге "Управление проектами в ...
Added: November 26, 2012
, , et al., Инновации 2013 № 12 С. 34-43
During the last decade new systems of strategic tools of science, technology and innovation (STI) policy has been established in many developed and developing countries. Science and technology (S&T) Foresight in a variety of its forms and implementations is an integral part of these systems. The paper is devoted to the creation of the Russian ...
Added: February 4, 2014
, / National Research University Higher School of Economics. Series WP BRP "Basic research program". 2015. No. 44.
The Foresight study presented in this paper is devoted to the sustainable use of water resources in Russia. The authors analyse possible trajectories of development in the three thematic areas (i) sustainability of water systems; (ii) water use by households and in industry; and (iii) new water products and services. The Foresight methods cover expert interviews ...
Added: August 31, 2015
Концепции корпоративной социальной ответственности и устойчивого развития: сопротивление политико-правовым инновациям в российской нефтегазовой отрасли
, , , Пробелы в российском законодательстве 2016 № 5 С. 212-220
The challenge - scientific problem of this work is to identify and study the legal, socio-psychological and organizational determinants of resistance to sustainable development in the oil and gas industry. The focus of attention of researchers move consideration of issues of sustainable development concept is applicable to a particular company. This phenomenon is called corporate ...
Added: July 25, 2016
Сопротивление политико-правовым инновациям в области устойчивого развития: социально-психологический подход
, , , Научные исследования и разработки. Российский журнал управления проектами 2016 Т. 5 № 2 С. 21-30
The article examines different types of political and legal innovation in the international legal space and the directly related to them socio-psychological processes influencing the level of resistance to such projects. The stages of political and legal innovation as well as the sustainability law types are highlighted in the article. Based on the literature review ...
Added: July 25, 2016
, , Foresight 2017 Vol. 19 No. 2 P. 198-217
Purpose The goal of this paper is to apply foresight methodology to the area of nanotechnologies and new materials within the framework of Russian S&T Foresight 2030 aimed at revelation major trends, most promising products and technologies. Design/methodology/approach To achieve this goal best international practice was analyzed that provided a solid basis for Russian S&T Foresight 2030 (section ...
Added: February 25, 2017
, , / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2013. No. 15.
How can we think about the implications of radical technological change for employment and skills? Given the long lead-times required to train professionals, this is an important question, and standard approaches to modeling employment and occupational trends only provide limited parts of the answer. Innovation studies provide us with some further tools for tackling the ...
Added: July 24, 2013
, , Foresight 2013 Vol. 15 No. 1 P. 40-53
Purpose: This paper aims to analyse three individual foresight projects referring to the natural resources sector in Russia, their interconnection and influence on policy decision making. Design/methodology/approach: The three foresight studies used different methodologies depending on the project's goal. First the projects' interconnections are explained. Second, each of the studies is characterised from different viewpoints, ...
Added: March 29, 2013
, , Организационная психология 2018 Т. 8 № 4 С. 75-94
Purpose. The article presents an analysis of approaches to the definition and operationalization of the concept of group resilience in organizations. The relevance of the study is due to the reduction in the life cycle of companies in the market, the need to take into account the long-term consequences of group decisions and the growing responsibility of teams ...
Added: December 29, 2018
, / National Research University Higher School of Economics. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2016. No. 65/STI/2016.
This paper proposes a multidisciplinary approach to understanding the future perspectives of climate change. First, it analyzes the possibilities of using the media as an information source for anticipating trends and challenges in this area through exploring the topics that have been actively discussed in the news in the recent 5 years. Second, qualitative and ...
Added: October 12, 2016
, , Перспективы науки 2010 № 11 С. 38-46
The article prevents the model which allows assessing the project management maturity quantitatively and determining the development trend of the project management. This model has been approved in 10 consulting companies. The conducted survey in the companies enabled to assess project management maturity quantitatively, collect information about the time deviations and the project costs as ...
Added: November 5, 2012
, , et al., Форсайт 2014 Т. 8 № 2 С. 30-45
The shipbuilding sector’s multiple contributions to the social and economic development, as well as to science and technology, of major maritime countries mean that the sector attracts strong interest of entrepreneurs, researchers, and government agencies. Meanwhile the diverse forms of inter-industrial interaction, and specific aspects associated with building high-technology vessels require significant investments. Hence that is a significant challenge in a context ...
Added: July 2, 2014
, Foresight 2012 Vol. 14 No. 1 P. 69-81
Purpose – This paper aims to depict foresight programmes as extended service encounters between foresight practitioners, sponsors, and other stakeholders. The implications of this perspective for evaluating the outcomes of such programmes are to be explored. Design/methodology/approach – The range of activities comprising foresight is reviewed, along with the various objectives that may underpin these activities. The more substantial ...
Added: December 18, 2012
Beograd : Institute of Management, 2018
The organizers of the LIMEN 2017 conference have recognized the problem that nowadays exists in most modern organizations; so they organized Third International Scientific-Business Conference titled: Leadership and Management: Integrated Politics of Research and Innovations - LIMEN 2017 in Belgrade on December 14, 2017 . Bearing in mind the challenges of a dynamic engagement in contemporary ...
Added: April 24, 2018