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Business Climate Indicator in Manufacturing, Medium- and High-Tech Industries in Russia
Высшая школа экономики
,
2019.
No. 96/STI/2019.
Kitrar Liudmila, Lipkind Tamara
The paper presents the Business Climate Indicator (BCI) in Russian manufacturing including the medium and high-tech (MHT) manufacturing industries. The authors explain the feasibility of a new alternative measure that summarizes common information of business tendency surveys cleared up of specific fluctuations in individual variables, and give arguments to prove its effectiveness. The resulting BCI reflects the quantitative changes in manufacturing growth more accurately and with a lead compared to the traditional confidence indicator. Identification of the BCI cyclic profile and its visualization through a tracer demonstrate all significant waves of manufacturers’ optimism and pessimism for the period from January 2005 to January 2019. To construct BCI-MHT, the units of observation and the input information are divided into three groups according to the technological level of industries. The dynamics of BCI-MHT is close to those of BCI; however, during the protracted recession in 2016-2018, the sentiments of manufacturers of medium- and high-tech products were less pessimistic compared with the sentiments of all manufacturers.
Kitrar Liudmila, Lipkind Tamara, Ostapkovich Georgy, Journal of Business Cycle Research 2020 Vol. 16 No. 1 P. 59-74
This paper explores the information content of a business tendency survey on the service sector in Russia from 2012 to 2018. Two alternative survey-based indices were developed: a traditional confidence indicator as a simple arithmetic mean of the balance statistics of three respondents’ replies and a business climate indicator (BCI) as the first component of ...
Added: January 30, 2020
Lola I. S., Bakeev M., Информационное общество 2020 № 5 С. 89-97
The paper examines the benefits associated with digital technologies in Russian manufacturing enterprises, which act as drivers for management decisions on the implementation of digital technologies. The empirical basis of the study is the results of business tendency monitoring of enterprises for 2019. As the results show, among the expected benefits, the most important are ...
Added: July 15, 2020
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This paper expands the existing informational and analytical opportunities of application of the results of business tendency surveys which solve the problem of the loss of valuable statistical information in its traditional aggregation into simple and composite indicators. Based on methods of multidimensional classification, we develop and discuss an algorithm of statistical analysis that significantly ...
Added: August 13, 2020
Lola I. S., Bakeev M., Manukov A., / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2021. No. WP BRP 120/STI/2021.
The paper discusses various aspects of digital environment and activity of enterprises from the Russian manufacturing sector in 2020 using the evidence from business tendency surveys. Based on aggregate sectoral and industrial assessments, such as the Digital Climate Index (DCI), the Digital Intensity Index (DII), the Digital Employment Index (DEI) and the Digital Vulnerability index ...
Added: June 23, 2021
Lola I. S., Manukov A., Bakeev M., / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2020. No. 108.
The article proposes a methodology for using macro-level stress testing based on the results of business tendency surveys to study possible scenarios for the development of crisis dynamics triggered by external unforeseen supply and demand shocks, as in the case of the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as a review of existing approaches in the field ...
Added: May 28, 2020
Lola I. S., Bakeev M., / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2020. No. 107/STI/2020.
This paper investigates the drivers, barriers, and benefits that can be associated with management decisions regarding the implementation of digital technologies in Russian manufacturing enterprises. The empirical basis of the study is the results of the business tendencies surveys for 2018 and 2019. Potential factors for the introduction of digital technologies were divided into three ...
Added: April 7, 2020
Lola I. S., Вопросы статистики 2018 № 3 С. 25-42
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Added: February 26, 2018
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Added: February 11, 2016
Kitrar L. A., Lipkind T. M., Lola I. S. et al., Papers and Studies of Research Institute for Economic Development SGH 2016 No. 97 P. 45-66
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Added: May 10, 2016
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Added: February 26, 2020
Kitrar Liudmila, Lipkind Tamara, Ostapkovich Georgy, / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2019. No. 93/STI/2019.
The paper explores the information content of surveys of the Russian services sector using the surveys’ results since 2012Q1 to 2018Q4. To summarise entrepreneurial opinions in a one-dimensional index the indicators of confidence and business climate are calculated. To examine the reaction of GDP to impulses in the business climate indicator and to forecast GDP ...
Added: April 17, 2019
Lola I. S., Manukov A., / Высшая школа экономики. Series WP BRP "Science, Technology and Innovation". 2020. No. 113/STI/2020.
The Article Studies The Predictive Capabilities Of Qualitative Assessments Of Employment Expectations Obtained From Business Tendency Observations Of Entrepreneurial Activity, Which Are Currently A Widespread Source Of Economic Information Both In National And International Practice. The Study Is Based On Market Surveys Conducted By Rosstat, Which Characterize The Expected Level Of Business Activity In The ...
Added: October 27, 2020
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The data of business (market) surveys of entrepreneurial activity are an important source of economic information in national and international practice. Their results reflect the specific features of cognitive perception by business agents of business trends and sectoral cyclical events in various sectors of the country’s economy. Using the appropriate measurement procedures for the processing ...
Added: April 28, 2018
Siliverstov B., Smirnov S. V., Tsukhlo S., / KOF Swiss Economic Institute. Series KOF "KOF Working Papers". 2012. No. 306.
This study investigates usefulness of business tendency surveys in industrial sector for out-of-sample prediction of growth of industrial production in Russia. A special attention is paid to performance of survey-augmented models during the recent Great Recession 2008/2009. Using the real-time data vintages of the index of industrial production in Russia we conclude that the use ...
Added: April 12, 2013
Safonov G., Галенович А., Федоров Ю. Н., Энергия: экономика, техника, экология 2012 № 5 С. 37-39
The article discusses the potential role of Russia in global carbon markets, prospects and opportunities for national businesses in greenhouse gas emission reduction ...
Added: July 20, 2016
Ивлиев С. В., Penikas H. I., Экономика и управление: проблемы, решения 2016 Т. 2 № 8 С. 247-252
Под эгидой Гильдии финансовых аналитиков и риск-менеджеров и Русского общества управления рисками разработан новый профессиональный стандарт «Специалист по управлению финансовыми рисками», который предназначен для оценки квалификации риск-менеджеров. В статье описываются предпосылки создания и краткое содержание стандарта с целью его популяризации. ...
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Pilnik N., Pospelov I. G., Radionov S., Вестник АКСОР 2017 Т. 43 № 3-4 С. 71-78
In this article we consider the issues of preparing statistical data for using in applied macroeconomic models, based on balance equalities. We propose a description of every macroeconomic agent, which consists of four balances of different kind. The described construction is filled with statistical data, which describes the condition of main sectors of Russian economy, ...
Added: November 26, 2017
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Added: April 12, 2013
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The last market crash of 2008-2009 showed that the construction sphere is one of the most fragile subject to the crisis effect. The destructive effect of this crash resulted in substantial decrease in mortgage lending, price index, capital investment, and in growth of the cost level. As the construction industry remains strategically important, the eruption ...
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We discuss the evolving views on institutions and development in modern political economy, and in particular the contribution to the field by D. Acemoglu and J. Robinson, explaining root causes of successes and failures in economic development. The focus of discussion is on inclusive and extractive institutional regimes — the former sustain economic growth, whereas ...
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Предмет/тема. В статье показано, что основной проблемой социально-экономического развития монопрофильных городов Ямало-Ненецкого автономного округа является узкая специализация хозяйства, основанная на эксплуатации нефтегазовых ресурсов. Методология. Методологической базой для достижения поставленных в статье целей выступают системный подход и статистические методы анализа. Результаты. Исследование проведено на примере городов Ноябрьск, Муравленко, Губкинский, являющиеся центрами добычи углеводородов. В исследуемых городах ...
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М. : КноРус, 2012
Представлена экономическая оценка природно-ресурсного потенциала РФ, рассмотрены закономерности размещения природных ресурсов и основные особенности экологической ситуации в регионах страны, описано влияние экологических факторов на демографический потенциал и здоровье населения, приведена характеристика основных загрязнителей окружающей среды, изложены основы природно-ресурсной политики России и хозяйственный механизм ее осуществления, раскрыты региональные различия современной экологической обстановки в стране и тенденции ...
Added: March 10, 2013
Chulok A., Slobodianik S., Moiseichev E. Y., Foresight 2017 Vol. 19 No. 5 P. 511-527
Purpose
This study aims to assess future prospects for Russian energy exports until 2040, as global energy markets are undergoing major changes, with possible impacts on Russia.
Design/methodology/approach
Qualitative and quantitative approaches are integrated under a proposed foresight framework. The qualitative method involves an expert survey aimed at identifying major energy trends and their influence on ...
Added: October 3, 2017
Parshakov P., Shakina E., Barajas A., Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja 2022 Vol. 35 No. 1 P. 122-142
This article contributes to the development of contestable market theory by investigating how competitiveness in the eSports industry influences the size of this industry, as measured by the volume of monetary prizes. We use data on each gamer's prize earnings for each tournament from 1999 to 2015 to estimate panel vector autoregression (VAR) model with ...
Added: April 22, 2021